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HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Recreational Vehicles | Auto - Recreational Vehicles | Auto - Parts | Auto - Parts | Auto - Manufacturers |
| Market Cap | $2.64B | $3.80B | $779M | $7.22B | $47.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.32B | $7.27B | $1.48B | $2.01B | $189.86B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $230M | $-446M | $-300M | $-4.11B | $-6.11B |
| Gross Margin | 23.0% | 19.6% | 29.7% | 48.3% | 9.2% |
| Operating Margin | 5.9% | -0.5% | -18.0% | -209.5% | 1.8% |
| Forward P/E | 57.5x | 37.3x | 18.4x | 31.4x | 7.7x |
| Total Debt | $3.05B | $1.54B | $780M | $0.00 | $167.57B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.09B | $138M | $58M | $1.84B | $23.36B |
HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harley-Davidson, In… (HOG) | 100 | 55.0 | -45.0% |
| Polaris Inc. (PII) | 100 | 66.0 | -34.0% |
| Fox Factory Holding… (FOXF) | 100 | 21.1 | -78.9% |
| Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) | 100 | 33.6 | -66.4% |
| Ford Motor Company (F) | 100 | 91.1 | -8.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HOG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.96, Low D/E 96.7%, current ratio 2.10x
- 5.3% margin vs MBLY's -204.0%
- Beta 0.96 vs MBLY's 1.80
- 2.4% ROA vs MBLY's -35.5%, ROIC 5.0% vs -3.2%
PII ranks third and is worth considering specifically for momentum.
- +107.0% vs MBLY's -39.9%
Among these 5 stocks, FOXF doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
MBLY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 14.5%, EPS growth 87.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.4%
- 14.5% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8%
F is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and long-term compounding is your priority.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.97, yield 6.2%
- 36.2% 10Y total return vs PII's 4.3%
- Beta 0.97, yield 6.2%, current ratio 1.07x
- Lower P/E (7.7x vs 31.4x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.5% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.7x vs 31.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.3% margin vs MBLY's -204.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.96 vs MBLY's 1.80 | |
| Dividends | 6.2% yield, vs PII's 3.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +107.0% vs MBLY's -39.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.4% ROA vs MBLY's -35.5%, ROIC 5.0% vs -3.2% |
HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
F leads in 2 of 6 categories
MBLY leads 1 • HOG leads 1 • PII leads 0 • FOXF leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MBLY leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
F is the larger business by revenue, generating $189.9B annually — 128.2x FOXF's $1.5B. HOG is the more profitable business, keeping 5.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MBLY's -2.0%. On growth, MBLY holds the edge at +27.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $7.3B | $1.5B | $2.0B | $189.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $366M | $178M | -$196M | -$3.8B | $10.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $230M | -$446M | -$300M | -$4.1B | -$6.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $44M | $161M | $12M | $482M | $11.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.0% | +19.6% | +29.7% | +48.3% | +9.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.9% | -0.5% | -18.0% | -2.1% | +1.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.3% | -6.1% | -20.2% | -2.0% | -3.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +23.9% | +6.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.8% | +8.0% | +3.8% | +27.4% | +6.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -79.4% | +29.1% | +94.2% | -35.0% | +4.3% |
Valuation Metrics
F leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, HOG's 5.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MBLY's 70.0x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.6B | $3.8B | $779M | $7.2B | $47.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $5.2B | $1.5B | $5.4B | $191.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.50x | -8.20x | -1.42x | -18.48x | -5.91x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 57.47x | 37.25x | 18.42x | 31.38x | 7.72x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.04x | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.29x | 20.20x | — | 69.97x | 22.51x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.59x | 0.53x | 0.53x | 3.81x | 0.25x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.91x | 4.54x | 1.16x | 0.61x | 1.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.37x | 6.81x | 28.89x | 13.81x | 3.83x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG delivers a 7.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-45 for PII. HOG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.97x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to F's 4.66x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HOG scores 7/9 vs F's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.0% | -45.2% | -37.0% | -37.3% | -14.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | -8.6% | -16.5% | -35.5% | -2.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.0% | -0.8% | -24.2% | -3.2% | +1.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | -1.0% | -30.9% | -3.6% | +1.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.97x | 1.83x | 1.16x | — | 4.66x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$38M | $1.4B | $722M | -$1.8B | $144.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.1B | $138M | $58M | $1.8B | $23.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.1B | $1.5B | $780M | $0 | $167.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.87x | -3.26x | -5.17x | — | 0.93x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
F leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in F five years ago would be worth $13,291 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,158 for FOXF. Over the past 12 months, PII leads with a +107.0% total return vs MBLY's -39.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors F at 5.6% vs FOXF's -42.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.4% | +1.9% | +6.6% | -21.0% | -7.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +6.0% | +107.0% | -8.6% | -39.9% | +24.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.8% | -29.0% | -80.6% | -77.3% | +17.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.8% | -44.6% | -88.4% | -69.4% | +32.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.0% | +4.3% | +7.0% | -69.4% | +36.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.3% | -10.8% | -42.1% | -39.0% | +5.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HOG and PII each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HOG is the less volatile stock with a 0.96 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MBLY's 1.80 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PII currently trades 89.1% from its 52-week high vs MBLY's 44.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.96x | 1.56x | 1.55x | 1.80x | 0.97x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.25 | $75.25 | $31.18 | $20.18 | $14.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.09 | $33.23 | $13.08 | $6.47 | $9.88 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +89.1% | +59.6% | +44.0% | +82.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.1 | 62.2 | 57.0 | 65.5 | 49.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.5M | 1.3M | 658K | 6.2M | 42.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — PII and F each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HOG as "Hold", PII as "Hold", FOXF as "Buy", MBLY as "Buy", F as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 62.8% upside for MBLY (target: $14) vs -12.0% for HOG (target: $21). For income investors, F offers the higher dividend yield at 6.17% vs HOG's 3.02%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $20.80 | $68.75 | $21.50 | $14.44 | $13.96 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 27 | 18 | 26 | 46 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | +3.9% | — | — | +6.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.71 | $2.64 | — | — | $0.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +13.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
F leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). MBLY leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
HOG vs PII vs FOXF vs MBLY vs F: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Mobileye Global Inc.
(MBLY) is the stronger pick with 14. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) offers the better valuation at 8. 5x trailing P/E (57. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
On forward P/E, Ford Motor Company is actually cheaper at 7.
7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
Over the past 5 years, Ford Motor Company (F) delivered a total return of +32.
9%, compared to -88. 4% for Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: F returned +36. 2% versus MBLY's -69. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 96β versus Mobileye Global Inc. 's 1. 80β — meaning MBLY is approximately 87% more volatile than HOG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 97% versus 5% for Ford Motor Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Mobileye Global Inc.
(MBLY) is pulling ahead at 14. 5% versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mobileye Global Inc. grew EPS 87. 4% year-over-year, compared to -82. 5% for Fox Factory Holding Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, F leads at 5. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 6% net margin versus -37. 1% for Fox Factory Holding Corp. — meaning it keeps 7. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HOG leads at 8. 6% versus -35. 6% for FOXF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MBLY leads at 47. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ford Motor Company (F) trades at 7.
7x forward P/E versus 57. 5x for Harley-Davidson, Inc. — 49. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MBLY: 62. 8% to $14. 44.
08Which pays a better dividend — HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F?
In this comparison, F (6.
2% yield), PII (3. 9% yield), HOG (3. 0% yield) pay a dividend. FOXF, MBLY do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is HOG or PII or FOXF or MBLY or F better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ford Motor Company (F) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
97), 6. 2% yield). Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) carries a higher beta of 1. 80 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (F: +36. 2%, MBLY: -69. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HOG and PII and FOXF and MBLY and F?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HOG is a small-cap deep-value stock; PII is a small-cap income-oriented stock; FOXF is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MBLY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; F is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. HOG, PII, F pay a dividend while FOXF, MBLY do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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