Banks - Regional
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KEY vs CFG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
KEY vs CFG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $24.51B | $28.31B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.19B | $12.35B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.83B | $1.70B |
| Gross Margin | 62.3% | 57.6% |
| Operating Margin | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| Forward P/E | 12.2x | 12.7x |
| Total Debt | $11.00B | $12.40B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.29B | $11.24B |
KEY vs CFG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| KeyCorp (KEY) | 100 | 187.6 | +87.6% |
| Citizens Financial … (CFG) | 100 | 272.3 | +172.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KEY vs CFG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KEY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.12
- Rev growth 23.6%, EPS growth 5.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.12, Low D/E 54.0%, current ratio 0.77x
CFG is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and bank quality.
- 260.3% 10Y total return vs KEY's 144.8%
- NIM 2.6% vs KEY's 2.5%
- 2.6% yield; 3-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.6% NII/revenue growth vs CFG's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.2x vs 12.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs CFG's 0.4% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.12 vs CFG's 1.33 | |
| Dividends | 2.6% yield; 3-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +76.5% vs KEY's +50.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.4% vs CFG's 0.4% |
KEY vs CFG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KEY vs CFG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KEY leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CFG and KEY operate at a comparable scale, with $12.3B and $11.2B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 16.3% (KEY) to 12.2% (CFG).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $11.2B | $12.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.3B | $2.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.8B | $1.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.4B | $2.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +62.3% | +57.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +20.6% | +15.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +16.3% | +12.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +15.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.5% | +38.2% |
Valuation Metrics
KEY leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.6x trailing earnings, KEY trades at a 32% valuation discount to CFG's 21.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, CFG's 12.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KEY's 14.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $24.5B | $28.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $34.2B | $29.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.63x | 21.66x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.24x | 12.66x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 4.00x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.74x | 12.35x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.19x | 2.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.19x | 1.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 15.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KEY leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KEY delivers a 9.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $7 for CFG. CFG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KEY's 0.54x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CFG scores 7/9 vs KEY's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.0% | +6.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.4% | +3.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +4.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.54x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.7B | $1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $11.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $11.0B | $12.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.61x | 0.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CFG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CFG five years ago would be worth $15,060 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,468 for KEY. Over the past 12 months, CFG leads with a +76.5% total return vs KEY's +50.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CFG at 40.1% vs KEY's 36.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.9% | +12.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +50.7% | +76.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +155.1% | +174.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.7% | +50.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +144.8% | +260.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +36.6% | +40.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KEY and CFG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KEY is the less volatile stock with a 1.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CFG's 1.33 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.12x | 1.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.35 | $68.79 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.16 | $37.93 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.2% | +95.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.1 | 54.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 13.9M | 4.6M |
Analyst Outlook
CFG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates KEY as "Buy" and CFG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 10.4% upside for CFG (target: $72) vs 4.0% for KEY (target: $23). CFG is the only dividend payer here at 2.58% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.11 | $72.42 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 51 | 38 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.70 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +4.8% |
KEY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CFG leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
KEY vs CFG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KEY or CFG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, KeyCorp (KEY) is the stronger pick with 23.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG). KeyCorp (KEY) offers the better valuation at 14. 6x trailing P/E (12. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate KeyCorp (KEY) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KEY or CFG?
On trailing P/E, KeyCorp (KEY) is the cheapest at 14.
6x versus Citizens Financial Group, Inc. at 21. 7x. On forward P/E, KeyCorp is actually cheaper at 12. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KEY or CFG?
Over the past 5 years, Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
(CFG) delivered a total return of +50. 6%, compared to +14. 7% for KeyCorp (KEY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CFG returned +260. 3% versus KEY's +144. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KEY or CFG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), KeyCorp (KEY) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
12β versus Citizens Financial Group, Inc. 's 1. 33β — meaning CFG is approximately 18% more volatile than KEY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 54% for KeyCorp — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KEY or CFG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), KeyCorp (KEY) is pulling ahead at 23.
6% versus 1. 3% for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: KeyCorp grew EPS 575. 0% year-over-year, compared to -3. 2% for Citizens Financial Group, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KEY or CFG?
KeyCorp (KEY) is the more profitable company, earning 16.
3% net margin versus 12. 2% for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 16. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KEY leads at 20. 6% versus 15. 3% for CFG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KEY leads at 62. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KEY or CFG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, KeyCorp (KEY) trades at 12.
2x forward P/E versus 12. 7x for Citizens Financial Group, Inc. — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CFG: 10. 4% to $72. 42.
08Which pays a better dividend — KEY or CFG?
In this comparison, CFG (2.
6% yield) pays a dividend. KEY does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is KEY or CFG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
(CFG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (2. 6% yield, +260. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CFG: +260. 3%, KEY: +144. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KEY and CFG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: KEY is a mid-cap high-growth stock; CFG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. CFG pays a dividend while KEY does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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