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KFS vs ERIE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
KFS vs ERIE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $293M | $10.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $147M | $4.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-10M | $571M |
| Gross Margin | 67.2% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | -3.4% | 17.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 17.1x |
| Total Debt | $78M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $16M | $346M |
KFS vs ERIE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsway Financial … (KFS) | 100 | 459.6 | +359.6% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KFS vs ERIE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KFS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 21.5%, EPS growth -26.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.0%
- 21.5% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2%
- +13.9% vs ERIE's -38.7%
ERIE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 2.2%
- 171.6% 10Y total return vs KFS's 122.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.5% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.2% margin vs KFS's -7.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs KFS's 1.04 | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs KFS's 0.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +13.9% vs ERIE's -38.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs KFS's -4.5%, ROIC 29.5% vs -5.4% |
KFS vs ERIE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KFS vs ERIE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — KFS and ERIE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ERIE is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.3B annually — 29.4x KFS's $147M. ERIE is the more profitable business, keeping 13.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KFS's -7.0%. On growth, KFS holds the edge at +35.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $147M | $4.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2M | $786M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$10M | $571M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$346,000 | $537M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +67.2% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.4% | +17.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.0% | +13.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.2% | +12.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.9% | +2.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +23.1% | +7.9% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — KFS and ERIE each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, ERIE's 12.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KFS's 114.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $293M | $10.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $355M | $9.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -23.83x | 20.41x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 17.15x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 114.59x | 12.14x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.15x | 2.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.30x | 5.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 17.53x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE delivers a 25.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $-34 for KFS. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ERIE scores 4/9 vs KFS's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -34.4% | +25.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.5% | +17.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.4% | +29.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.9% | +32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.27x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $62M | -$346M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $16M | $346M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $78M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.83x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KFS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KFS five years ago would be worth $20,578 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,482 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, KFS leads with a +13.9% total return vs ERIE's -38.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KFS at 5.1% vs ERIE's -0.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.2% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.9% | -38.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.2% | -0.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +105.8% | +14.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.8% | +171.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +5.1% | -0.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KFS and ERIE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ERIE is the less volatile stock with a 0.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KFS's 1.04 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KFS currently trades 61.0% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.04x | 0.16x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.80 | $380.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.82 | $210.06 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.0% | +56.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.6 | 33.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 82K | 231K |
Analyst Outlook
ERIE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, ERIE offers the higher dividend yield at 2.23% vs KFS's 0.36%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.04 | $4.83 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
ERIE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Analyst Outlook). KFS leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
KFS vs ERIE: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KFS or ERIE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
(KFS) is the stronger pick with 21. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the better valuation at 20. 4x trailing P/E (17. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — KFS or ERIE?
Over the past 5 years, Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
(KFS) delivered a total return of +105. 8%, compared to +14. 8% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ERIE returned +171. 6% versus KFS's +122. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — KFS or ERIE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
16β versus Kingsway Financial Services Inc. 's 1. 04β — meaning KFS is approximately 534% more volatile than ERIE relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — KFS or ERIE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
(KFS) is pulling ahead at 21. 5% versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Erie Indemnity Company grew EPS -7. 5% year-over-year, compared to -26. 5% for Kingsway Financial Services Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERIE leads at 12. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — KFS or ERIE?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus -7. 8% for Kingsway Financial Services Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus -4. 5% for KFS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KFS leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — KFS or ERIE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the highest yield at 2. 2%, versus 0. 4% for Kingsway Financial Services Inc. (KFS).
07Is KFS or ERIE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
16), 2. 2% yield, +171. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ERIE: +171. 6%, KFS: +122. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between KFS and ERIE?
These companies operate in different sectors (KFS (Consumer Cyclical) and ERIE (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: KFS is a small-cap high-growth stock; ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. ERIE pays a dividend while KFS does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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