Packaged Foods
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5 / 10Stock Comparison
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $5.98B | $6.86B | $1.44B | $1.24B | $2.74B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.53B | $11.18B | $3.03B | $1.45B | $1.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $450M | $13M | $137M | $91M | $200M |
| Gross Margin | 22.2% | 24.6% | 27.1% | 34.0% | 38.9% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Forward P/E | 15.6x | 8.4x | 6.9x | 7.5x | 41.1x |
| Total Debt | $4.16B | $8.31B | $2.29B | $304M | $560M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $68M | $325M | $98M | $278M |
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamb Weston Holding… (LW) | 100 | 71.7 | -28.3% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 41.2 | -58.8% |
| Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) | 100 | 47.8 | -52.2% |
| The Simply Good Foo… (SMPL) | 100 | 73.0 | -27.0% |
| Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) | 100 | 72.4 | -27.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- 54.7% 10Y total return vs FRPT's 5.2%
- 3.4% yield, 7-year raise streak, vs CAG's 9.8%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
- -13.1% vs SMPL's -64.8%
CAG ranks third and is worth considering specifically for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 9.8%
- Beta 0.06, yield 9.8%, current ratio 0.71x
- Beta 0.06 vs FRPT's 0.91
NOMD is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (6.9x vs 41.1x)
SMPL is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and valuation efficiency.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.38, Low D/E 16.8%, current ratio 3.64x
- PEG 0.31 vs CAG's 1.21
FRPT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 13.0%, EPS growth 183.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.8%
- 13.0% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
- 17.6% margin vs CAG's 0.1%
- 11.4% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 5.3% vs 6.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.0% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.9x vs 41.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.6% margin vs CAG's 0.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs FRPT's 0.91 | |
| Dividends | 3.4% yield, 7-year raise streak, vs CAG's 9.8%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -13.1% vs SMPL's -64.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.4% ROA vs CAG's 0.1%, ROIC 5.3% vs 6.0% |
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
FRPT leads in 1 of 6 categories
NOMD leads 1 • LW leads 0 • CAG leads 0 • SMPL leads 0 • 4 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FRPT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.2B annually — 9.8x FRPT's $1.1B. FRPT is the more profitable business, keeping 17.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAG's 0.1%. On growth, FRPT holds the edge at +13.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $11.2B | $3.0B | $1.4B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | $1.9B | $435M | $231M | $165M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $450M | $13M | $137M | $91M | $200M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $845M | $634M | $252M | $174M | $223M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.2% | +24.6% | +27.1% | +34.0% | +38.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | +13.1% | +10.7% | +14.4% | +8.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.9% | +0.1% | +4.5% | +6.3% | +17.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +5.7% | +8.3% | +12.0% | +19.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.3% | -6.8% | -2.6% | -0.3% | +13.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.7% | -3.4% | -123.1% | -31.6% | +4.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NOMD leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.0x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 72% valuation discount to FRPT's 21.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SMPL offers better value at 0.51x vs LW's 193.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.0B | $6.9B | $1.4B | $1.2B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.1B | $15.1B | $3.7B | $1.4B | $3.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 17.22x | 5.95x | 9.46x | 12.20x | 21.16x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.55x | 8.44x | 6.86x | 7.45x | 41.11x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 193.92x | 0.85x | — | 0.51x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.38x | 8.61x | 7.34x | 5.97x | 16.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.93x | 0.59x | 0.40x | 0.86x | 2.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.53x | 0.77x | 0.52x | 0.70x | 2.59x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.98x | 5.27x | 4.85x | 7.86x | 221.45x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — LW and SMPL and FRPT each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LW delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $0 for CAG. SMPL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LW's 2.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs NOMD's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.1% | +0.2% | +5.3% | +5.2% | +17.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.2% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +11.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.6% | +6.0% | +5.5% | +8.1% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.2% | +8.2% | +6.2% | +9.4% | +6.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.39x | 0.93x | 0.92x | 0.17x | 0.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.1B | $8.2B | $2.0B | $206M | $282M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $68M | $325M | $98M | $278M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.2B | $8.3B | $2.3B | $304M | $560M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.33x | 1.56x | 2.52x | 6.77x | 13.29x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — LW and FRPT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LW five years ago would be worth $6,194 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,165 for FRPT. Over the past 12 months, LW leads with a -13.1% total return vs SMPL's -64.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FRPT at -6.2% vs SMPL's -31.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.7% | -13.0% | -15.4% | -36.4% | -7.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -13.1% | -31.5% | -43.5% | -64.8% | -31.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.2% | -50.8% | -40.3% | -67.8% | -17.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.1% | -44.3% | -59.7% | -64.3% | -68.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +54.7% | -27.9% | +40.1% | +3.7% | +517.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.2% | -21.1% | -15.8% | -31.5% | -6.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — LW and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAG is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FRPT's 0.91 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LW currently trades 64.2% from its 52-week high vs SMPL's 33.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.67x | 0.06x | 0.07x | 0.38x | 0.91x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.07 | $23.47 | $19.71 | $36.92 | $89.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $37.64 | $13.61 | $9.17 | $10.21 | $46.76 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.2% | +61.1% | +51.3% | +33.7% | +62.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.2 | 36.1 | 58.6 | 42.9 | 29.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.3M | 14.1M | 1.6M | 2.8M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — LW and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: LW as "Hold", CAG as "Hold", NOMD as "Buy", SMPL as "Buy", FRPT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 62.1% upside for SMPL (target: $20) vs 15.2% for LW (target: $50). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.75% vs LW's 3.37%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.60 | $17.55 | $13.50 | $20.17 | $73.42 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.4% | +9.8% | +7.1% | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.45 | $1.40 | $0.61 | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.9% | +0.9% | +16.5% | +4.1% | 0.0% |
FRPT leads in 1 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow). NOMD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 4 tied.
LW vs CAG vs NOMD vs SMPL vs FRPT: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Freshpet, Inc.
(FRPT) is the stronger pick with 13. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 6. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 6. 0x versus Freshpet, Inc. at 21. 2x. On forward P/E, Nomad Foods Limited is actually cheaper at 6. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Simply Good Foods Company wins at 0. 31x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 193. 92x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
Over the past 5 years, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
(LW) delivered a total return of -38. 1%, compared to -68. 4% for Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FRPT returned +517. 3% versus CAG's -27. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 06β versus Freshpet, Inc. 's 0. 91β — meaning FRPT is approximately 1366% more volatile than CAG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 2% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Freshpet, Inc.
(FRPT) is pulling ahead at 13. 0% versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Freshpet, Inc. grew EPS 183. 9% year-over-year, compared to -35. 0% for Nomad Foods Limited. Over a 3-year CAGR, FRPT leads at 22. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
Freshpet, Inc.
(FRPT) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 6% net margin versus 4. 5% for Nomad Foods Limited — meaning it keeps 12. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SMPL leads at 15. 1% versus 8. 6% for FRPT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FRPT leads at 38. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 31x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 193. 92x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) trades at 6. 9x forward P/E versus 41. 1x for Freshpet, Inc. — 34. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SMPL: 62. 1% to $20. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT?
In this comparison, CAG (9.
8% yield), NOMD (7. 1% yield), LW (3. 4% yield) pay a dividend. SMPL, FRPT do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is LW or CAG or NOMD or SMPL or FRPT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
07), 7. 1% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NOMD: +40. 1%, FRPT: +517. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LW and CAG and NOMD and SMPL and FRPT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LW is a small-cap deep-value stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; NOMD is a small-cap deep-value stock; SMPL is a small-cap deep-value stock; FRPT is a small-cap quality compounder stock. LW, CAG, NOMD pay a dividend while SMPL, FRPT do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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