Packaged Foods
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $5.83B | $10.56B | $6.76B | $6.21B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.53B | $8.93B | $11.18B | $10.04B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $450M | $-1.26B | $13M | $550M |
| Gross Margin | 22.2% | 33.6% | 24.6% | 29.3% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | -8.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% |
| Forward P/E | 15.2x | 11.0x | 8.3x | 9.6x |
| Total Debt | $4.16B | $7.76B | $8.31B | $7.21B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $71M | $70M | $68M | $132M |
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamb Weston Holding… (LW) | 100 | 69.9 | -30.1% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.1 | -12.9% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 40.6 | -59.4% |
| Campbell Soup Compa… (CPB) | 100 | 40.9 | -59.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
LW is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- 52.8% 10Y total return vs SJM's 5.4%
- 6.9% margin vs SJM's -14.1%
- 6.2% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 8.6% vs -3.4%
SJM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.03, yield 4.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.03, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.03, yield 4.3%, current ratio 0.81x
- 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is value and dividends.
- Lower P/E (8.3x vs 9.6x)
- 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3%
CPB is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 6.4%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.3x vs 9.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.9% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.03 vs LW's 0.69, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 9.9% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs SJM's 4.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.5% vs CPB's -37.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.2% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 8.6% vs -3.4% |
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SJM leads in 2 of 6 categories
CAG leads 1 • LW leads 1 • CPB leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SJM leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAG is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.2B annually — 1.7x LW's $6.5B. LW is the more profitable business, keeping 6.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, SJM holds the edge at +7.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.5B | $8.9B | $11.2B | $10.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.2B | -$595M | $1.9B | $1.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $450M | -$1.3B | $13M | $550M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $845M | $971M | $634M | $919M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +22.2% | +33.6% | +24.6% | +29.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | -8.0% | +13.1% | +12.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.9% | -14.1% | +0.1% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +10.9% | +5.7% | +9.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.3% | +7.0% | -6.8% | -4.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -47.7% | -9.3% | -3.4% | -17.2% |
Valuation Metrics
CAG leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.9x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 65% valuation discount to LW's 16.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAG offers better value at 0.84x vs LW's 189.58x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.8B | $10.6B | $6.8B | $6.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.9B | $18.3B | $15.0B | $13.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 16.80x | -8.58x | 5.86x | 10.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.20x | 10.99x | 8.31x | 9.55x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 189.58x | — | 0.84x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.25x | — | 8.55x | 7.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.90x | 1.21x | 0.58x | 0.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.45x | 1.74x | 0.76x | 1.60x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.36x | 12.94x | 5.19x | 8.81x |
Profitability & Efficiency
LW leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LW delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. CAG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LW's 2.39x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CPB scores 7/9 vs SJM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.1% | -24.0% | +0.2% | +14.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.2% | -7.7% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.6% | -3.4% | +6.0% | +9.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.2% | -4.3% | +8.2% | +11.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.39x | 1.28x | 0.93x | 1.85x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.1B | $7.7B | $8.2B | $7.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $71M | $70M | $68M | $132M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.2B | $7.8B | $8.3B | $7.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.33x | -1.88x | 1.56x | 3.14x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SJM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SJM five years ago would be worth $8,668 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,463 for CAG. Over the past 12 months, SJM leads with a -7.5% total return vs CPB's -37.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SJM at -10.6% vs LW's -25.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.1% | +3.8% | -14.3% | -22.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -15.4% | -7.5% | -33.1% | -37.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.8% | -28.6% | -51.4% | -53.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.8% | -13.3% | -45.4% | -43.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +52.8% | +5.4% | -28.5% | -45.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.6% | -10.6% | -21.4% | -22.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SJM and CPB each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CPB is the less volatile stock with a -0.02 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than LW's 0.69 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SJM currently trades 83.1% from its 52-week high vs CPB's 57.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.69x | 0.03x | 0.07x | -0.02x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $67.07 | $119.39 | $23.47 | $36.16 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $37.64 | $88.25 | $13.61 | $19.76 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.6% | +83.1% | +60.2% | +57.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 49.2 | 59.0 | 42.5 | 51.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 2.0M | 14.0M | 9.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — SJM and CAG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: LW as "Hold", SJM as "Hold", CAG as "Hold", CPB as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 24.2% upside for CAG (target: $18) vs 16.9% for SJM (target: $116). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.91% vs LW's 3.45%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $49.60 | $116.00 | $17.55 | $25.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.5% | +4.3% | +9.9% | +7.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 7 | 15 | 6 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.45 | $4.28 | $1.40 | $1.53 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% |
SJM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). CAG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
LW vs SJM vs CAG vs CPB: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is LW or SJM or CAG or CPB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 4% for Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 5. 9x trailing P/E (8. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) a "Hold" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 5. 9x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. at 16. 8x. On forward P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Conagra Brands, Inc. wins at 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
Over the past 5 years, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered a total return of -13. 3%, compared to -45. 4% for Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LW returned +52. 8% versus CPB's -45. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
02β versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 69β — meaning LW is approximately -3531% more volatile than CPB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 93% versus 2% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus 6. 4% for Campbell Soup Company (CPB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Campbell Soup Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, LW leads at 16. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CPB leads at 13. 2% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is LW or SJM or CAG or CPB more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 19x versus Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. 's 189. 58x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) trades at 8. 3x forward P/E versus 15. 2x for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. — 6. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAG: 24. 2% to $17. 55.
08Which pays a better dividend — LW or SJM or CAG or CPB?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 9%, versus 3. 5% for Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW).
09Is LW or SJM or CAG or CPB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
02), 7. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CPB: -45. 5%, LW: +52. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between LW and SJM and CAG and CPB?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: LW is a small-cap deep-value stock; SJM is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; CPB is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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