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OLLI vs DLTR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
OLLI vs DLTR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $5.02B | $19.21B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.65B | $19.41B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $1.28B |
| Gross Margin | 40.5% | 36.4% |
| Operating Margin | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Forward P/E | 21.1x | 14.4x |
| Total Debt | $686M | $4.62B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $260M | $718M |
OLLI vs DLTR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie's Bargain Out… (OLLI) | 100 | 89.4 | -10.6% |
| Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) | 100 | 98.9 | -1.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OLLI vs DLTR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OLLI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 16.6%, EPS growth 20.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.2%
- 221.8% 10Y total return vs DLTR's 17.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.03, Low D/E 36.3%, current ratio 2.41x
DLTR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 3 yrs, beta 0.83
- PEG 14.29 vs OLLI's 18.93
- Beta 0.83, current ratio 1.07x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.6% revenue growth vs DLTR's 10.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.4x vs 21.1x), PEG 14.29 vs 18.93 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs DLTR's 6.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.83 vs OLLI's 1.03 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.6% vs OLLI's -26.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.7% ROA vs OLLI's 8.5%, ROIC 13.2% vs 11.1% |
OLLI vs DLTR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
OLLI vs DLTR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OLLI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DLTR is the larger business by revenue, generating $19.4B annually — 7.3x OLLI's $2.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.1% (OLLI) to 6.6% (DLTR). On growth, OLLI holds the edge at +16.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.6B | $19.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $375M | $2.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $213M | $1.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.5% | +36.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | +8.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | +6.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.0% | +5.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.8% | +9.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.2% | +114.7% |
Valuation Metrics
DLTR leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.3x trailing earnings, DLTR trades at a 23% valuation discount to OLLI's 21.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), DLTR offers better value at 16.19x vs OLLI's 18.83x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $19.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.4B | $23.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.02x | 16.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.13x | 14.38x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 18.83x | 16.19x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.39x | 10.29x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.89x | 0.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.68x | 5.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.91x | 18.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DLTR leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
DLTR delivers a 34.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $35 in annual profit, vs $13 for OLLI. OLLI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DLTR's 1.23x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), DLTR scores 9/9 vs OLLI's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.3% | +34.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.5% | +8.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.1% | +13.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.4% | +15.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.36x | 1.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $426M | $3.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $260M | $718M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $686M | $4.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 19.79x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
OLLI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OLLI five years ago would be worth $9,623 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,323 for DLTR. Over the past 12 months, DLTR leads with a +14.6% total return vs OLLI's -26.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors OLLI at 6.5% vs DLTR's -14.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.5% | -24.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -26.0% | +14.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.0% | -37.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -3.8% | -16.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +221.8% | +17.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.5% | -14.6% |
Risk & Volatility
DLTR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DLTR is the less volatile stock with a 0.83 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OLLI's 1.03 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DLTR currently trades 67.9% from its 52-week high vs OLLI's 57.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.03x | 0.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $141.74 | $142.40 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.81 | $83.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.7% | +67.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.5 | 40.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 3.1M |
Analyst Outlook
DLTR leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OLLI as "Buy" and DLTR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 70.8% upside for OLLI (target: $140) vs 33.3% for DLTR (target: $129).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $139.67 | $129.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +8.1% |
DLTR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). OLLI leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns).
OLLI vs DLTR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OLLI or DLTR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the stronger pick with 16. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 10. 4% for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR). Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) offers the better valuation at 16. 3x trailing P/E (14. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OLLI or DLTR?
On trailing P/E, Dollar Tree, Inc.
(DLTR) is the cheapest at 16. 3x versus Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. at 21. 0x. On forward P/E, Dollar Tree, Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Dollar Tree, Inc. wins at 14. 29x versus Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 's 18. 93x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OLLI or DLTR?
Over the past 5 years, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) delivered a total return of -3. 8%, compared to -16. 8% for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OLLI returned +221. 8% versus DLTR's +17. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OLLI or DLTR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Dollar Tree, Inc.
(DLTR) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 83β versus Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 03β — meaning OLLI is approximately 24% more volatile than DLTR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 123% for Dollar Tree, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OLLI or DLTR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is pulling ahead at 16. 6% versus 10. 4% for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Dollar Tree, Inc. grew EPS 142. 3% year-over-year, compared to 20. 4% for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, OLLI leads at 13. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OLLI or DLTR?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 1% net margin versus 6. 6% for Dollar Tree, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OLLI leads at 12. 2% versus 8. 2% for DLTR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — OLLI leads at 40. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OLLI or DLTR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 14. 29x versus Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 's 18. 93x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) trades at 14. 4x forward P/E versus 21. 1x for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — 6. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OLLI: 70. 8% to $139. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — OLLI or DLTR?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is OLLI or DLTR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Dollar Tree, Inc.
(DLTR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 83)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DLTR: +17. 8%, OLLI: +221. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OLLI and DLTR?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: OLLI is a small-cap high-growth stock; DLTR is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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