Software - Application
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ONTF vs HUBS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
ONTF vs HUBS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $345M | $12.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $139M | $3.30B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-29M | $100M |
| Gross Margin | 74.6% | 83.7% |
| Operating Margin | -25.7% | 1.9% |
| Forward P/E | 61.1x | 19.6x |
| Total Debt | $6M | $485M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $37M | $882M |
ONTF vs HUBS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 21 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ON24, Inc. (ONTF) | 100 | 14.3 | -85.7% |
| HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) | 100 | 47.4 | -52.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ONTF vs HUBS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ONTF is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.06
- Lower volatility, beta 1.06, Low D/E 4.0%, current ratio 2.48x
- Beta 1.06, current ratio 2.48x
HUBS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 19.2%, EPS growth 8.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 21.8%
- 469.1% 10Y total return vs ONTF's -87.0%
- 19.2% revenue growth vs ONTF's -5.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.2% revenue growth vs ONTF's -5.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.6x vs 61.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.0% margin vs ONTF's -20.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.06 vs HUBS's 1.18, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +71.6% vs HUBS's -62.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.7% ROA vs ONTF's -12.4%, ROIC 0.4% vs -21.0% |
ONTF vs HUBS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ONTF vs HUBS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HUBS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HUBS is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.3B annually — 23.7x ONTF's $139M. HUBS is the more profitable business, keeping 3.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ONTF's -20.7%. On growth, HUBS holds the edge at +23.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $139M | $3.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$31M | $166M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$29M | $100M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4M | $712M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.6% | +83.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -25.7% | +1.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -20.7% | +3.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.8% | +21.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.6% | +23.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +28.6% | +2.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ONTF leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $345M | $12.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $314M | $12.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -11.91x | 284.08x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 61.13x | 19.61x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 69.24x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.48x | 4.02x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.47x | 6.29x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 87.05x | 17.77x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBS leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HUBS delivers a 5.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-20 for ONTF. ONTF carries lower financial leverage with a 0.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HUBS's 0.23x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HUBS scores 6/9 vs ONTF's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -19.6% | +5.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -12.4% | +2.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -21.0% | +0.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -23.2% | +0.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.04x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$31M | -$397M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $37M | $882M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6M | $485M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -173.57x | 4753.07x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ONTF leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in HUBS five years ago would be worth $4,794 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,233 for ONTF. Over the past 12 months, ONTF leads with a +71.6% total return vs HUBS's -62.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ONTF at 3.0% vs HUBS's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.8% | -36.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +71.6% | -62.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.3% | -45.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -77.7% | -52.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.0% | +469.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.0% | -18.1% |
Risk & Volatility
ONTF leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ONTF is the less volatile stock with a 1.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HUBS's 1.18 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ONTF currently trades 99.9% from its 52-week high vs HUBS's 35.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.06x | 1.18x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.11 | $682.57 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.62 | $187.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.9% | +35.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 68.1 | 51.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 632K | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ONTF as "Hold" and HUBS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 47.7% upside for HUBS (target: $361) vs 0.0% for ONTF (target: $8).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.10 | $360.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.4% | +4.0% |
ONTF leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). HUBS leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency).
ONTF vs HUBS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ONTF or HUBS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) is the stronger pick with 19. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 9% for ON24, Inc. (ONTF). HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) offers the better valuation at 284. 1x trailing P/E (19. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) a "Buy" — based on 47 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ONTF or HUBS?
On forward P/E, HubSpot, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 19. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ONTF or HUBS?
Over the past 5 years, HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) delivered a total return of -52. 1%, compared to -77. 7% for ON24, Inc. (ONTF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HUBS returned +469. 1% versus ONTF's -87. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ONTF or HUBS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), ON24, Inc.
(ONTF) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 06β versus HubSpot, Inc. 's 1. 18β — meaning HUBS is approximately 11% more volatile than ONTF relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, ON24, Inc. (ONTF) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 4% versus 23% for HubSpot, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ONTF or HUBS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) is pulling ahead at 19. 2% versus -5. 9% for ON24, Inc. (ONTF). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: HubSpot, Inc. grew EPS 863. 0% year-over-year, compared to 32. 7% for ON24, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, HUBS leads at 21. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ONTF or HUBS?
HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 5% net margin versus -20. 7% for ON24, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HUBS leads at 0. 4% versus -25. 7% for ONTF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HUBS leads at 83. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ONTF or HUBS more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) trades at 19. 6x forward P/E versus 61. 1x for ON24, Inc. — 41. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HUBS: 47. 7% to $360. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — ONTF or HUBS?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is ONTF or HUBS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, HubSpot, Inc.
(HUBS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 18), +469. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (HUBS: +469. 1%, ONTF: -87. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ONTF and HUBS?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ONTF is a small-cap quality compounder stock; HUBS is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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