Insurance - Property & Casualty
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PGR vs KMPR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
PGR vs KMPR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $115.90B | $1.98B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $85.18B | $4.84B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $10.71B | $249M |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 1.3% |
| Operating Margin | 15.9% | 6.1% |
| Forward P/E | 12.1x | 8.7x |
| Total Debt | $6.89B | $1.39B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $143M | $65M |
PGR vs KMPR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Cor… (PGR) | 100 | 254.6 | +154.6% |
| Kemper Corporation (KMPR) | 100 | 51.9 | -48.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: PGR vs KMPR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
PGR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.5%
- 6.1% 10Y total return vs KMPR's 42.9%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.07, Low D/E 26.9%
KMPR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.58, yield 3.8%
- Beta 0.58, yield 3.8%
- Lower P/E (8.7x vs 12.1x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs KMPR's -5.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.7x vs 12.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.9 vs KMPR's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (26.9% vs 50.0%) | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, vs PGR's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -25.0% vs KMPR's -44.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.8% ROA vs KMPR's 2.0%, ROIC 27.0% vs 7.3% |
PGR vs KMPR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
PGR vs KMPR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR is the larger business by revenue, generating $85.2B annually — 17.6x KMPR's $4.8B. PGR is the more profitable business, keeping 12.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KMPR's 5.1%. On growth, PGR holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $85.2B | $4.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $13.8B | $368M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $10.7B | $249M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $17.0B | $606M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +1.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.9% | +6.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.6% | +5.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +20.0% | +12.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.2% | +5.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +12.1% | -129.8% |
Valuation Metrics
KMPR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.7x trailing earnings, KMPR trades at a 51% valuation discount to PGR's 13.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, KMPR's 7.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than PGR's 11.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $115.9B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $122.6B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.73x | 6.70x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.12x | 8.75x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.83x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.15x | 7.47x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.54x | 0.43x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.54x | 0.76x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.81x | 6.00x |
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR delivers a 30.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $9 for KMPR. PGR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.27x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KMPR's 0.50x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PGR scores 7/9 vs KMPR's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +30.2% | +9.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.8% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +27.0% | +7.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.0% | +3.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.27x | 0.50x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.8B | $1.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $143M | $65M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.9B | $1.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 49.44x | 7.66x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PGR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGR five years ago would be worth $21,194 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,023 for KMPR. Over the past 12 months, PGR leads with a -25.0% total return vs KMPR's -44.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PGR at 18.9% vs KMPR's -7.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -0.3% | -16.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.0% | -44.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +68.1% | -19.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +111.9% | -49.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +605.5% | +42.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.9% | -7.0% |
Risk & Volatility
PGR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KMPR's 0.58 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PGR currently trades 68.2% from its 52-week high vs KMPR's 49.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.07x | 0.58x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $289.96 | $66.13 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $192.02 | $28.57 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +68.2% | +49.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.0 | 58.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.6M | 787K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — PGR and KMPR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates PGR as "Hold" and KMPR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.0% upside for KMPR (target: $48) vs 16.5% for PGR (target: $230). For income investors, KMPR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.76% vs PGR's 0.58%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $230.27 | $48.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 41 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.15 | $1.24 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | +2.0% |
PGR leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KMPR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
PGR vs KMPR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is PGR or KMPR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 7% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). Kemper Corporation (KMPR) offers the better valuation at 6. 7x trailing P/E (8. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Kemper Corporation (KMPR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — PGR or KMPR?
On trailing P/E, Kemper Corporation (KMPR) is the cheapest at 6.
7x versus The Progressive Corporation at 13. 7x. On forward P/E, Kemper Corporation is actually cheaper at 8. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — PGR or KMPR?
Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +111.
9%, compared to -49. 8% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +605. 5% versus KMPR's +42. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — PGR or KMPR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
07β versus Kemper Corporation's 0. 58β — meaning KMPR is approximately -929% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 27% versus 50% for Kemper Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — PGR or KMPR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.
4% versus -5. 7% for Kemper Corporation (KMPR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kemper Corporation grew EPS 215. 5% year-over-year, compared to 118. 8% for The Progressive Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — PGR or KMPR?
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
3% net margin versus 6. 9% for Kemper Corporation — meaning it keeps 11. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PGR leads at 14. 2% versus 8. 4% for KMPR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PGR leads at 27. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is PGR or KMPR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Kemper Corporation (KMPR) trades at 8.
7x forward P/E versus 12. 1x for The Progressive Corporation — 3. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for KMPR: 46. 0% to $48. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — PGR or KMPR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Kemper Corporation (KMPR) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).
09Is PGR or KMPR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
07), 0. 6% yield, +605. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +605. 5%, KMPR: +42. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between PGR and KMPR?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; KMPR is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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