REIT - Mortgage
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RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
REIT - Mortgage
REIT - Mortgage
RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $5.42B | $16.08B | $9.62B | $1.29B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.55B | $6.70B | $3.46B | $765M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $681M | $2.03B | $838M | $-343M |
| Gross Margin | 92.2% | 99.2% | 100.0% | 88.0% |
| Operating Margin | 45.6% | 102.6% | 107.1% | 57.3% |
| Forward P/E | 4.3x | 7.5x | 6.9x | 11.9x |
| Total Debt | $39.58B | $111.86B | $64M | $8.56B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.85B | $2.04B | $505M | $842M |
RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) | 100 | 135.3 | +35.3% |
| Annaly Capital Mana… (NLY) | 100 | 90.8 | -9.2% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 85.2 | -14.8% |
| Two Harbors Investm… (TWO) | 100 | 64.0 | -36.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RITM is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 78.7% 10Y total return vs AGNC's 49.5%
- Lower P/E (4.3x vs 6.9x)
NLY is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.64, yield 13.1%
- 30.3% margin vs TWO's -44.8%
- 1.7% ROA vs TWO's -3.0%, ROIC 6.4% vs 3.1%
AGNC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 384.7%, EPS growth 17.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.4%
- 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs TWO's -28.4%
- 14.7% yield, vs NLY's 13.1%
- +38.8% vs RITM's -5.7%
TWO is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.49, current ratio 0.13x
- Beta 0.49, yield 13.4%, current ratio 0.13x
- Beta 0.49 vs RITM's 0.86
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs TWO's -28.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.3x vs 6.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.3% margin vs TWO's -44.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.49 vs RITM's 0.86 | |
| Dividends | 14.7% yield, vs NLY's 13.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +38.8% vs RITM's -5.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.7% ROA vs TWO's -3.0%, ROIC 6.4% vs 3.1% |
RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AGNC leads in 2 of 6 categories
RITM leads 2 • NLY leads 0 • TWO leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.7B annually — 8.8x TWO's $765M. NLY is the more profitable business, keeping 30.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TWO's -44.8%. On growth, AGNC holds the edge at +2.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.6B | $6.7B | $3.5B | $765M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.6B | $6.9B | $3.7B | $70M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $681M | $2.0B | $838M | -$343M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $0 | -$222M | $604M | -$66M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +92.2% | +99.2% | +100.0% | +88.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +45.6% | +102.6% | +107.1% | +57.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +30.3% | +24.2% | -44.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -13.4% | -3.3% | +17.5% | -8.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +52.6% | -8.4% | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -82.0% | +79.5% | +84.6% | +120.2% |
Valuation Metrics
RITM leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.7x trailing earnings, NLY trades at a 34% valuation discount to AGNC's 11.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TWO's 197.8x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.4B | $16.1B | $9.6B | $1.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $43.1B | $125.9B | $9.2B | $9.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.33x | 7.66x | 11.53x | -2.81x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 4.27x | 7.45x | 6.87x | 11.86x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.34x | 18.32x | 2.42x | 197.80x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.95x | 2.40x | 1.97x | 2.13x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.59x | 0.89x | 0.86x | 0.71x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | 111.86x | 14.48x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGNC leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY delivers a 14.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-19 for TWO. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NLY's 6.92x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NLY scores 5/9 vs TWO's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.9% | +14.1% | +7.3% | -19.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.4% | +1.7% | +0.8% | -3.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.4% | +6.4% | +34.0% | +3.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.7% | +19.7% | +4.9% | +16.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.28x | 6.92x | 0.01x | 4.79x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $37.7B | $109.8B | -$441M | $7.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.8B | $2.0B | $505M | $842M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $39.6B | $111.9B | $64M | $8.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.83x | 1.42x | 1.32x | 0.09x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
RITM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in RITM five years ago would be worth $13,899 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,182 for TWO. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +38.8% total return vs RITM's -5.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors RITM at 17.2% vs TWO's 13.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.4% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +22.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.7% | +30.7% | +38.8% | +15.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.2% | +59.6% | +58.8% | +45.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +39.0% | +2.2% | -1.2% | -28.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.7% | +39.3% | +49.5% | -3.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +16.9% | +16.7% | +13.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NLY and TWO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TWO is the less volatile stock with a 0.49 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than RITM's 0.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NLY currently trades 91.3% from its 52-week high vs RITM's 76.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.86x | 0.64x | 0.74x | 0.49x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.74 | $24.52 | $12.19 | $14.17 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.43 | $18.43 | $8.61 | $8.78 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.1% | +91.3% | +87.9% | +86.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 49.6 | 47.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 10.8M | 7.1M | 18.7M | 3.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NLY and AGNC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: RITM as "Buy", NLY as "Buy", AGNC as "Hold", TWO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 40.5% upside for RITM (target: $14) vs 3.8% for AGNC (target: $11). For income investors, AGNC offers the higher dividend yield at 14.73% vs RITM's 11.74%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $13.63 | $24.50 | $11.13 | $14.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 28 | 35 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +11.7% | +13.1% | +14.7% | +13.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.14 | $2.94 | $1.58 | $1.64 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
AGNC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RITM leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 2 tied.
RITM vs NLY vs AGNC vs TWO: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the stronger pick with 384. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -28. 4% for Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO). Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) offers the better valuation at 7. 7x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
On trailing P/E, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the cheapest at 7. 7x versus AGNC Investment Corp. at 11. 5x. On forward P/E, Rithm Capital Corp. is actually cheaper at 4. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
Over the past 5 years, Rithm Capital Corp.
(RITM) delivered a total return of +39. 0%, compared to -28. 2% for Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: RITM returned +78. 7% versus TWO's -3. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Two Harbors Investment Corp.
(TWO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 49β versus Rithm Capital Corp. 's 0. 86β — meaning RITM is approximately 74% more volatile than TWO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 7% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is pulling ahead at 384. 7% versus -28. 4% for Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to -284. 0% for Two Harbors Investment Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, TWO leads at 263. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 3% net margin versus -75. 0% for Two Harbors Investment Corp. — meaning it keeps 30. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NLY leads at 102. 6% versus 44. 6% for RITM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Rithm Capital Corp.
(RITM) trades at 4. 3x forward P/E versus 11. 9x for Two Harbors Investment Corp. — 7. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RITM: 40. 5% to $13. 63.
08Which pays a better dividend — RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) offers the highest yield at 14. 7%, versus 11. 7% for Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM).
09Is RITM or NLY or AGNC or TWO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Two Harbors Investment Corp.
(TWO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 49), 13. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TWO: -3. 9%, RITM: +78. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between RITM and NLY and AGNC and TWO?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RITM is a small-cap high-growth stock; NLY is a mid-cap deep-value stock; AGNC is a small-cap high-growth stock; TWO is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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