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SHOP vs PYPL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
SHOP vs PYPL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $139.72B | $42.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $9.20B | $33.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.33B | $5.06B |
| Gross Margin | 64.5% | 46.6% |
| Operating Margin | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| Forward P/E | 58.7x | 8.8x |
| Total Debt | $188M | $9.99B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.53B | $8.05B |
SHOP vs PYPL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shopify Inc. (SHOP) | 100 | 139.1 | +39.1% |
| PayPal Holdings, In… (PYPL) | 100 | 32.3 | -67.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SHOP vs PYPL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SHOP is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 30.1%, EPS growth -39.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 27.3%
- 36.7% 10Y total return vs PYPL's 20.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.64, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 5.96x
PYPL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.39, yield 0.3%
- PEG 0.99 vs SHOP's 2.00
- Beta 1.39, yield 0.3%, current ratio 1.29x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 30.1% revenue growth vs PYPL's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.8x vs 58.7x), PEG 0.99 vs 2.00 | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.8% margin vs SHOP's 14.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.39 vs SHOP's 2.64 | |
| Dividends | 0.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +9.4% vs PYPL's -31.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.0% ROA vs PYPL's 6.3%, ROIC 9.4% vs 15.0% |
SHOP vs PYPL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SHOP vs PYPL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHOP leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PYPL is the larger business by revenue, generating $33.2B annually — 3.6x SHOP's $9.2B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 15.8% (PYPL) to 14.5% (SHOP).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $9.2B | $33.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.7B | $6.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $5.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.1B | $5.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +64.5% | +46.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.9% | +18.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +14.5% | +15.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +16.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.1% | -6.2% |
Valuation Metrics
PYPL leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.6x trailing earnings, PYPL trades at a 92% valuation discount to SHOP's 114.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), PYPL offers better value at 0.97x vs SHOP's 3.91x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $139.7B | $42.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $138.4B | $44.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 114.48x | 8.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 58.66x | 8.75x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.91x | 0.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 92.31x | 6.36x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 12.09x | 1.29x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 10.42x | 2.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 69.62x | 7.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — SHOP and PYPL each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PYPL delivers a 25.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $11 for SHOP. SHOP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PYPL's 0.49x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), PYPL scores 8/9 vs SHOP's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.5% | +25.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +9.0% | +6.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.4% | +15.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.4% | +18.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.49x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.3B | $1.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $8.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $188M | $10.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 19.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SHOP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SHOP five years ago would be worth $9,605 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,890 for PYPL. Over the past 12 months, SHOP leads with a +9.4% total return vs PYPL's -31.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SHOP at 20.2% vs PYPL's -14.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -31.5% | -19.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.4% | -31.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +73.5% | -37.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -3.9% | -81.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3673.3% | +20.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +20.2% | -14.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SHOP and PYPL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PYPL is the less volatile stock with a 1.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SHOP's 2.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.64x | 1.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $182.19 | $79.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $88.14 | $38.46 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.1% | +58.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.9 | 58.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8.2M | 16.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SHOP as "Buy" and PYPL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 53.1% upside for SHOP (target: $165) vs 11.2% for PYPL (target: $52). PYPL is the only dividend payer here at 0.29% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $164.75 | $51.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 63 | 70 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.13 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +14.2% |
SHOP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). PYPL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
SHOP vs PYPL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SHOP or PYPL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shopify Inc.
(SHOP) is the stronger pick with 30. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL). PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) offers the better valuation at 8. 6x trailing P/E (8. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Shopify Inc. (SHOP) a "Buy" — based on 63 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SHOP or PYPL?
On trailing P/E, PayPal Holdings, Inc.
(PYPL) is the cheapest at 8. 6x versus Shopify Inc. at 114. 5x. On forward P/E, PayPal Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 8. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: PayPal Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 99x versus Shopify Inc. 's 2. 00x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SHOP or PYPL?
Over the past 5 years, Shopify Inc.
(SHOP) delivered a total return of -3. 9%, compared to -81. 1% for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHOP returned +36. 7% versus PYPL's +20. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SHOP or PYPL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PayPal Holdings, Inc.
(PYPL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 39β versus Shopify Inc. 's 2. 64β — meaning SHOP is approximately 89% more volatile than PYPL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Shopify Inc. (SHOP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 49% for PayPal Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SHOP or PYPL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shopify Inc.
(SHOP) is pulling ahead at 30. 1% versus 4. 3% for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: PayPal Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 35. 6% year-over-year, compared to -39. 4% for Shopify Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SHOP or PYPL?
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
(PYPL) is the more profitable company, earning 15. 8% net margin versus 10. 7% for Shopify Inc. — meaning it keeps 15. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PYPL leads at 18. 3% versus 12. 7% for SHOP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SHOP leads at 48. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SHOP or PYPL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 99x versus Shopify Inc. 's 2. 00x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) trades at 8. 8x forward P/E versus 58. 7x for Shopify Inc. — 49. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHOP: 53. 1% to $164. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — SHOP or PYPL?
In this comparison, PYPL (0.
3% yield) pays a dividend. SHOP does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SHOP or PYPL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PayPal Holdings, Inc.
(PYPL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Shopify Inc. (SHOP) carries a higher beta of 2. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PYPL: +20. 1%, SHOP: +36. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SHOP and PYPL?
These companies operate in different sectors (SHOP (Technology) and PYPL (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: SHOP is a mid-cap high-growth stock; PYPL is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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