Financial - Conglomerates
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4 / 10Stock Comparison
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Financial - Credit Services
Financial - Credit Services
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Conglomerates | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $563M | $4.39B | $2.98B | $20.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.12B | $821M | $1.08B | $4.77B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $181M | $-139M | $49M | $481M |
| Gross Margin | 94.3% | 47.6% | 95.2% | 75.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.3% | -16.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% |
| Forward P/E | 7.1x | — | 15.8x | 27.0x |
| Total Debt | $435M | $182M | $1.85B | $1.82B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $81M | $385M | $657M | $4.93B |
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) | 100 | 14.5 | -85.5% |
| Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) | 100 | 43.3 | -56.7% |
| Upstart Holdings, I… (UPST) | 100 | 70.4 | -29.6% |
| SoFi Technologies, … (SOFI) | 100 | 131.0 | +31.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TREE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.55
- Lower volatility, beta 1.55, current ratio 1.75x
- Beta 1.55, current ratio 1.75x
- Lower P/E (7.1x vs 15.8x)
LMND is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if momentum is your priority.
- +90.6% vs UPST's -40.1%
UPST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and bank quality.
- Rev growth 58.9%, EPS growth 131.3%
- NIM 5.1% vs SOFI's 4.4%
- 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs TREE's 24.1%
SOFI is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 52.9% 10Y total return vs UPST's 5.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs TREE's 24.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.1x vs 15.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.5% margin vs LMND's -16.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.55 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 4 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +90.6% vs UPST's -40.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.8% ROA vs LMND's -7.4%, ROIC 9.0% vs -36.8% |
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
TREE leads in 3 of 6 categories
LMND leads 1 • UPST leads 0 • SOFI leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TREE leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SOFI is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.8B annually — 5.8x LMND's $821M. TREE is the more profitable business, keeping 13.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LMND's -16.9%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.1B | $821M | $1.1B | $4.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $120M | -$121M | $68M | $760M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $181M | -$139M | $49M | $481M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $73M | $20M | -$146M | -$2.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +94.3% | +47.6% | +95.2% | +75.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.3% | -16.3% | +5.1% | +11.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.5% | -16.9% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.4% | +2.4% | -15.4% | -83.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +55.0% | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.3% | +45.3% | -169.2% | -56.7% |
Valuation Metrics
TREE leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 3.8x trailing earnings, TREE trades at a 95% valuation discount to UPST's 69.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TREE's 8.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than UPST's 52.8x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $563M | $4.4B | $3.0B | $20.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $917M | $4.2B | $4.2B | $17.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 3.77x | -24.86x | 69.27x | 41.08x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.08x | — | 15.79x | 26.95x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 4.82x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.84x | — | 52.75x | 22.78x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.50x | 5.95x | 2.77x | 4.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.99x | 7.69x | 4.19x | 1.91x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.28x | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TREE leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TREE delivers a 86.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $86 in annual profit, vs $-27 for LMND. SOFI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPST's 2.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TREE scores 6/9 vs SOFI's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +86.0% | -26.5% | +6.6% | +5.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +21.8% | -7.4% | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.0% | -36.8% | +1.7% | +3.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.2% | -22.7% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.52x | 0.34x | 2.32x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $354M | -$203M | $1.2B | -$3.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $81M | $385M | $657M | $4.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $435M | $182M | $1.9B | $1.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.45x | — | 1.66x | 0.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LMND leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SOFI five years ago would be worth $10,309 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,103 for TREE. Over the past 12 months, LMND leads with a +90.6% total return vs UPST's -40.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LMND at 57.5% vs TREE's 29.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -21.1% | -24.7% | -32.0% | -41.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2.7% | +90.6% | -40.1% | +24.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +117.8% | +290.5% | +135.4% | +210.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -79.0% | -29.5% | -68.3% | +3.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -48.9% | -17.6% | +5.8% | +52.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +29.6% | +57.5% | +33.0% | +45.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TREE and LMND each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TREE is the less volatile stock with a 1.55 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPST's 2.96 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LMND currently trades 57.2% from its 52-week high vs UPST's 35.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.55x | 2.75x | 2.96x | 2.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $77.35 | $99.90 | $87.30 | $32.73 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $32.65 | $28.71 | $23.96 | $12.43 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +52.5% | +57.2% | +35.7% | +48.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.5 | 37.3 | 53.9 | 40.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 341K | 2.0M | 4.6M | 66.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: TREE as "Buy", LMND as "Buy", UPST as "Buy", SOFI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 69.9% upside for TREE (target: $69) vs 27.1% for LMND (target: $73).
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $69.00 | $72.67 | $45.17 | $20.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 15 | 22 | 27 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.3% |
TREE leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). LMND leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
TREE vs LMND vs UPST vs SOFI: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger pick with 58. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 24. 1% for LendingTree, Inc. (TREE). LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) offers the better valuation at 3. 8x trailing P/E (7. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
On trailing P/E, LendingTree, Inc.
(TREE) is the cheapest at 3. 8x versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. at 69. 3x. On forward P/E, LendingTree, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
Over the past 5 years, SoFi Technologies, Inc.
(SOFI) delivered a total return of +3. 1%, compared to -79. 0% for LendingTree, Inc. (TREE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SOFI returned +55. 5% versus TREE's -47. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), LendingTree, Inc.
(TREE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 55β versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 96β — meaning UPST is approximately 91% more volatile than TREE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 2% for Upstart Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is pulling ahead at 58. 9% versus 24. 1% for LendingTree, Inc. (TREE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: LendingTree, Inc. grew EPS 443. 3% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for SoFi Technologies, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
LendingTree, Inc.
(TREE) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 5% net margin versus -22. 4% for Lemonade, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SOFI leads at 11. 0% versus -21. 8% for LMND. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UPST leads at 95. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, LendingTree, Inc.
(TREE) trades at 7. 1x forward P/E versus 27. 0x for SoFi Technologies, Inc. — 19. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TREE: 69. 9% to $69. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is TREE or LMND or UPST or SOFI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, LendingTree, Inc.
(TREE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) carries a higher beta of 2. 75 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TREE: -47. 5%, LMND: -17. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TREE and LMND and UPST and SOFI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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