UGP
Ultrapar Participações S.A.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap$6.42B
5Y Perf.+85.5%
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Stock Comparison
UGP vs MPC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap$70.73B
5Y Perf.+589.4%
UGP vs MPC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | UGP | MPC |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Cap | $6.42B | $70.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $142.95B | $135.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.46B | $4.63B |
| Gross Margin | 6.6% | 8.8% |
| Operating Margin | 3.6% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 2.5x | 10.9x |
| Total Debt | $21.82B | $34.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.17B | $3.67B |
UGP vs MPC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
UGP
MPC
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultrapar Participaç… (UGP) | 100 | 185.5 | +85.5% |
| Marathon Petroleum … (MPC) | 100 | 689.4 | +589.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UGP vs MPC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: UGP leads in 4 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and valuation and capital efficiency. Marathon Petroleum Corporation is the stronger pick specifically for profitability and margin quality and capital preservation and lower volatility. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
UGP
Ultrapar Participações S.A.
The Growth Play
UGP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 4.5%, EPS growth 3.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.91, current ratio 1.62x
- Beta 0.91, yield 6.7%, current ratio 1.62x
Best for: growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
The Income Pick
MPC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.30, yield 1.5%
- 6.6% 10Y total return vs UGP's -26.4%
- 3.4% margin vs UGP's 1.7%
Best for: income & stability and long-term compounding
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | UGP | 4.5% revenue growth vs MPC's -4.4% |
| Value | UGP | Lower P/E (2.5x vs 10.9x) |
| Quality / Margins | MPC | 3.4% margin vs UGP's 1.7% |
| Stability / Safety | MPC | Beta 0.30 vs UGP's 0.91 |
| Dividends | UGP | 6.7% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs MPC's 1.5% |
| Momentum (1Y) | UGP | +106.0% vs MPC's +70.1% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | MPC | 5.5% ROA vs UGP's 5.5%, ROIC 8.3% vs 10.2% |
UGP vs MPC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FY 2025
UGP vs MPC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLUGPLAGGINGMPC
MPCMarathon Petroleum Co…
2leads
UGPUltrapar Participaçõe…
2leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs MPCMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
MPC6/6
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
UGP5/6
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
UGP5/9
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
MPC4/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
Tied
—
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
Tied
—
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MPC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UGP and MPC operate at a comparable scale, with $142.9B and $135.8B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.4% (MPC) to 1.7% (UGP).
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $142.9B | $135.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $6.7B | $10.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.5B | $4.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.4B | $5.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +6.6% | +8.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.6% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.7% | +3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.8% | +9.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -60.5% | +8.2% |
MPC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
UGP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.3x trailing earnings, UGP trades at a 27% valuation discount to MPC's 18.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, UGP's 8.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MPC's 11.2x.
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.4B | $70.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.2B | $101.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.34x | 18.26x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 2.50x | 10.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.61x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.32x | 11.24x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.23x | 0.53x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.80x | 3.07x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 20.93x | 14.84x |
UGP leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UGP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MPC delivers a 19.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $14 for UGP. UGP carries lower financial leverage with a 1.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MPC's 1.43x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MPC scores 7/9 vs UGP's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.9% | +19.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.2% | +8.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.3% | +9.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.23x | 1.43x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18.6B | $30.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.2B | $3.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $21.8B | $34.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.51x | 6.36x |
UGP leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MPC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MPC five years ago would be worth $42,948 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,790 for UGP. Over the past 12 months, UGP leads with a +106.0% total return vs MPC's +70.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MPC at 32.5% vs UGP's 24.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +54.5% | +47.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +106.0% | +70.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +93.7% | +132.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +67.9% | +329.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -26.4% | +664.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.7% | +32.5% |
MPC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — UGP and MPC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MPC is the less volatile stock with a 0.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UGP's 0.91 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. UGP currently trades 95.9% from its 52-week high vs MPC's 92.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.91x | 0.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $6.15 | $261.61 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.80 | $142.73 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.9% | +92.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.7 | 58.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 2.5M |
Evenly matched — UGP and MPC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — UGP and MPC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UGP as "Buy" and MPC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -8.5% upside for UGP (target: $5) vs -11.3% for MPC (target: $215). For income investors, UGP offers the higher dividend yield at 6.66% vs MPC's 1.54%.
| Metric | UGPUltrapar Particip… | MPCMarathon Petroleu… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.40 | $214.78 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 10 | 33 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +6.7% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.94 | $3.74 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.8% | +4.9% |
Evenly matched — UGP and MPC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Key Takeaway
MPC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). UGP leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
Best OverallUltrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)Leads 2 of 6 categories
Loading custom metrics...
UGP vs MPC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UGP or MPC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ultrapar Participações S.
A. (UGP) is the stronger pick with 4. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 4% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). Ultrapar Participações S. A. (UGP) offers the better valuation at 13. 3x trailing P/E (2. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ultrapar Participações S. A. (UGP) a "Buy" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UGP or MPC?
On trailing P/E, Ultrapar Participações S.
A. (UGP) is the cheapest at 13. 3x versus Marathon Petroleum Corporation at 18. 3x. On forward P/E, Ultrapar Participações S. A. is actually cheaper at 2. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UGP or MPC?
Over the past 5 years, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) delivered a total return of +329.
5%, compared to +67. 9% for Ultrapar Participações S. A. (UGP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MPC returned +664. 3% versus UGP's -26. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UGP or MPC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
30β versus Ultrapar Participações S. A. 's 0. 91β — meaning UGP is approximately 202% more volatile than MPC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ultrapar Participações S. A. (UGP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 123% versus 143% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UGP or MPC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ultrapar Participações S.
A. (UGP) is pulling ahead at 4. 5% versus -4. 4% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Marathon Petroleum Corporation grew EPS 31. 5% year-over-year, compared to 3. 8% for Ultrapar Participações S. A.. Over a 3-year CAGR, UGP leads at -1. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UGP or MPC?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
0% net margin versus 1. 7% for Ultrapar Participações S. A. — meaning it keeps 3. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MPC leads at 4. 3% versus 3. 2% for UGP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MPC leads at 7. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UGP or MPC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ultrapar Participações S.
A. (UGP) trades at 2. 5x forward P/E versus 10. 9x for Marathon Petroleum Corporation — 8. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UGP: -8. 5% to $5. 40.
08Which pays a better dividend — UGP or MPC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Ultrapar Participações S. A. (UGP) offers the highest yield at 6. 7%, versus 1. 5% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC).
09Is UGP or MPC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
30), 1. 5% yield, +664. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MPC: +664. 3%, UGP: -26. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UGP and MPC?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: UGP is a small-cap deep-value stock; MPC is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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(UGP: 8.8% · MPC: 9.7%)P/E Ratio<
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