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UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.
$7.66$8.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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UGP logo

Ultrapar Participações S.A.

UGP
NYSE · Oil Refining & Marketing
$7.66
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$8.19B
P/E18.1x
52W High$7.78
Volume4.79M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Growth Masks Volatile Cash Conversion and Margin Risk

Ultrapar's recent acceleration to 24.7% revenue growth and a 7.7% operating margin in 2026Q2 suggests improving operational leverage, but the sustainability of this margin expansion is questionable given its historical 6-7% gross margin range. The company's fi...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UGP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+19% Peers

P/E is 19% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 91 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 91% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated sharply to 24.7% year-over-year in 2026Q2, driving a significant gross margin expansion to 11.1%, though this level appears anomalous compared to the company's historical 6-7% range.

Analyst Consensus-8.5% target
Hold(11 analysts)
4 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Ipiranga margin expansion

Ipiranga's performance has revitalized Ultrapar's growth narrative, with a notable margin spike in 1Q26, though some of it appears inventory-driven.

Strong SEC filings transparency

Ultrapar maintains robust disclosure practices with regular SEC filings, including 6-K reports and Form 20-F, enhancing investor confidence.

Management margin guidance

Management's commentary on sustaining R$200/m³ margins supports the bullish outlook, despite questions about the sustainability of recent spikes.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UGP+105.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
UGP+99.95%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
UGP+122.45%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.46%
5-Year Return
UGP+182.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.78%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
17.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.8x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
9.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.7%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
17.7x
1.7x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
9.3x
2.7x
100th· High
Price/FCF
27.3x
2.3x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$142.37B+6.6% YoY
Net income
$2.45B+3.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.52B-22.1% YoY
Operating margin
3.4%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)11%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)14.6%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (55%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (64%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 12, 2026
$0.28+3.7%
vs $0.27
$8.1B-1.4%
vs $8.2B
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.15+7.1%
vs $0.14
$7.2B-9.2%
vs $7.9B
Q2 2026
Mar 4, 2026
$0.06-14.3%
vs $0.07
$7.6B+11.9%
vs $6.8B
Q1 2026
Feb 25, 2026
$0.05-8.9%
vs $0.06
$6.9B-1.4%
vs $7.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·17h ago
Ultrapar Participacoes (NYSE:UGP) Hits New 52-Week High – Should You Buy?

Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (NYSE: UGP - Get Free Report)'s stock price hit a new 52-week high during mid-day trading on Thursday. The company traded as high as $7.78 and last traded at $7.6660, with a volume of 4792493 shares trading hands. The stock had previously closed at $7.69. Analyst Ratings Changes UGP has been the

Seeking Alpha·5d ago
Our Top 10 High Growth Dividend Stocks - September 2026

The article provides a methodology for selecting high-growth dividend-paying stocks, focusing on dividend growth and sustainability rather than high current yield. We use our proprietary models to rate both quantitatively and qualitatively and select the top 10 names from an initial list of nearly 500 dividend stocks. The final list of ten stocks is chosen based on sector diversity, high-growth quality scores, and positive momentum and is suitable for investors in the accumulation phase.

Defense World·6d ago
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. $UGP Shares Acquired by Engineers Gate Manager LP

Engineers Gate Manager LP increased its holdings in Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (NYSE: UGP) by 419.7% during the second quarter, according to its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm owned 257,957 shares of the oil and gas company's stock after acquiring an additional 208,319 shares during the quarter.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 17, 2026
5 Value Stocks With Incredibly Low EV-to-EBITDA Ratios to Snap Up

KSS, LCUT, MATV, UGP and CLDT stand out with attractive EV-to-EBITDA ratios and strong earnings outlook.

Filtered for Ultrapar Participações S.A.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UGP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UGP logoUGPUltrapar Participações S.A.Current
$7.66$8.19B18.126.64%1.72%14.63%4.9%
SBS logoSBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP
$5.17$17.67B11.073.32%19.6%18.14%—
CIG logoCIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais
$2.09$5.98B6.377.36%8.92%10.67%—
VALE logoVALEVale S.A.
$13.82$58.94B23.830.46%4.92%5.3%—
PBR logoPBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$21.14$136.23B6.91-3.62%24.52%30.54%—
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$388.38$113.38B29.27-4.44%5.56%35.23%—

Compare UGP vs Peers

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SBS

Most directly comparable listed peer for UGP.

Scale Benchmark

vs PBR

Larger-name benchmark to compare UGP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SBS, CIG, VALE, PBR

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UGP Frequently Asked Questions

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s revenue?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) reported $154.20B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 8952% increase from $1.70B in 1999.

How fast is Ultrapar Participações S.A. growing?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) grew revenue by 6.6% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is UGP profitable?

Yes, Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is profitable, generating $3.49B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (1.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does UGP pay dividends?

Yes, Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) pays a dividend with a yield of 4.90%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is UGP's return on equity?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) has a return on equity (ROE) of 14.6%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s free cash flow?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) generated $4.82B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in UGP back in 1999?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 27+ years of data

See returns →