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UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.
$5.42$5.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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UGP logo

Ultrapar Participações S.A.

UGP
NYSE · Refining & Fuel Marketing
$5.42
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$5.79B
P/E9.3x
52W High$8.28
Volume4.38M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Growth Masks Volatile Cash Conversion and Margin Risk

Ultrapar's recent acceleration to 24.7% revenue growth and a 7.7% operating margin in 2026Q2 suggests improving operational leverage, but the sustainability of this margin expansion is questionable given its historical 6-7% gross margin range.

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UGP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+19% Peers

P/E is 19% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 47 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 53% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated sharply to 24.7% year-over-year in 2026Q2, driving a significant gross margin expansion to 11.1%, though this level appears anomalous compared to the company's historical 6-7% range.

Analyst Consensus+26.4% target
Hold(11 analysts)
4 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Ipiranga margin expansion

Ipiranga's performance has revitalized Ultrapar's growth narrative, with a notable margin spike in 1Q26, though some of it appears inventory-driven.

Strong SEC filings transparency

Ultrapar maintains robust disclosure practices with regular SEC filings, including 6-K reports and Form 20-F, enhancing investor confidence.

Management margin guidance

Management's commentary on sustaining R$200/m³ margins supports the bullish outlook, despite questions about the sustainability of recent spikes.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UGP+47.01%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
UGP+40.39%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
UGP+37.36%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.18%
5-Year Return
UGP+173.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+52.94%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
9.3x
Forward P/EExpansion
1.2x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
5.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
15.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.3x
1.7x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
2.6x
80th· High
Price/FCF
6.6x
2.3x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$142.37B+6.6% YoY
Net income FY25
$2.45B+3.9% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.52B-22.1% YoY
Operating margin FY25
3.4%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)11.1%
Avg ROIC 5Y11.8%
ROE (TTM)23.2%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 12, 2026
$0.28+3.7%
vs $0.27
$8.1B-1.4%
vs $8.2B
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$0.15+7.1%
vs $0.14
$7.2B-9.2%
vs $7.9B
Q2 2026
Mar 4, 2026
$0.06-14.3%
vs $0.07
$7.6B+11.9%
vs $6.8B
Q4 2025
Nov 12, 2025
$0.12+33.3%
vs $0.09
$7.1B+6.8%
vs $6.6B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
New Strong Buy Stocks for November 3rd

HPE, AER, UGP, ONC and BWFG have been added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on November 3, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
Best Income Stocks to Buy for November 3rd

UGP, HPE and PAA made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) income stocks list on November 3, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·5d ago
Best Value Stocks to Buy for November 3rd

UGP, AII, and HPE made it to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) value stocks list on November 3, 2026.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
5 Valuable Price-to-Book Stocks to Buy in November

Discover five valuable price-to-book stocks to buy in November: CNXC, HPE, NEXA, SHG and UGP, with attractive valuations and projected earnings growth.

Filtered for Ultrapar Participações S.A.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UGP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UGP logoUGPUltrapar Participações S.A.Current
$5.42$5.79B9.346.64%2.26%23.24%6.53%
SBS logoSBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP
$4.81$16.44B11.833.32%19.6%18.14%2.56%
CIG logoCIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais
$1.86$5.32B6.377.36%10.53%15.98%13.3%
VALE logoVALEVale S.A.
$11.59$49.43B82.490.46%1.45%1.6%7.22%
PBR logoPBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$18.53$119.41B4.67-3.62%24.52%30.54%6.91%
MPC logoMPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
$372.74$108.82B7.13-4.44%8.35%56.77%1%

Compare UGP vs Peers

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs SBS

Most directly comparable listed peer for UGP.

Scale Benchmark

vs PBR

Larger-name benchmark to compare UGP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs SBS, CIG, VALE, PBR

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UGP Frequently Asked Questions

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s revenue?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) reported $154.20B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $142.37B in fiscal year 2025. That is 8258% more than the $1.70B of fiscal year 1999.

How fast is Ultrapar Participações S.A. growing?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) grew revenue by 11.6% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is UGP profitable?

Yes. Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) earned $3.49B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 2.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does UGP pay dividends?

Yes. Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) pays a dividend that yields 6.53% at the current price, a high yield.

What is UGP's return on equity?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) had a return on equity (ROE) of 23.2% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Ultrapar Participações S.A.'s free cash flow?

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) generated $4.82B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in UGP back in 1999?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 27+ years of data

See returns →