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UNP vs NSC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Railroads
UNP vs NSC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Railroads |
| Market Cap | $159.24B | $71.25B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $18.49B | $12.19B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $5.51B | $2.67B |
| Gross Margin | 45.8% | 51.1% |
| Operating Margin | 40.3% | 32.4% |
| Forward P/E | 21.3x | 26.2x |
| Total Debt | $31.81B | $17.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.27B | $1.53B |
UNP vs NSC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corpo… (UNP) | 100 | 157.9 | +57.9% |
| Norfolk Southern Co… (NSC) | 100 | 177.9 | +77.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UNP vs NSC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UNP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 1.1%, EPS growth 7.9%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.5%
- PEG 2.45 vs NSC's 2.57
- Beta 0.64, yield 2.0%, current ratio 0.91x
NSC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 24 yrs, beta 0.63, yield 1.7%
- 299.2% 10Y total return vs UNP's 261.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, current ratio 0.85x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% revenue growth vs NSC's 0.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.3x vs 26.2x), PEG 2.45 vs 2.57 | |
| Quality / Margins | 29.8% margin vs NSC's 21.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs UNP's 0.64, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield, 9-year raise streak, vs NSC's 1.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +47.0% vs UNP's +28.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.7% ROA vs NSC's 6.0%, ROIC 15.2% vs 9.8% |
UNP vs NSC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UNP vs NSC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — UNP and NSC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UNP is the larger business by revenue, generating $18.5B annually — 1.5x NSC's $12.2B. UNP is the more profitable business, keeping 29.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NSC's 21.9%. On growth, NSC holds the edge at +0.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $18.5B | $12.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $9.3B | $5.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $5.5B | $2.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.2B | $4.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +45.8% | +51.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +40.3% | +32.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +29.8% | +21.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +22.7% | +34.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -99.9% | +0.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.2% | -26.6% |
Valuation Metrics
UNP leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 22.4x trailing earnings, UNP trades at a 10% valuation discount to NSC's 24.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NSC offers better value at 2.44x vs UNP's 2.57x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $159.2B | $71.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $189.8B | $86.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.41x | 24.88x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.34x | 26.21x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.57x | 2.44x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.42x | 16.07x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.50x | 5.85x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.62x | 4.59x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.96x | 33.03x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UNP leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UNP delivers a 42.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $42 in annual profit, vs $17 for NSC. NSC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.10x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UNP's 1.72x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UNP scores 8/9 vs NSC's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +42.4% | +17.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.7% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.2% | +9.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +15.5% | +9.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.72x | 1.10x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $30.5B | $15.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.3B | $1.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $31.8B | $17.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.13x | 4.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NSC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UNP five years ago would be worth $12,936 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,950 for NSC. Over the past 12 months, NSC leads with a +47.0% total return vs UNP's +28.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NSC at 17.1% vs UNP's 12.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.3% | +10.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +28.4% | +47.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.2% | +60.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +29.4% | +19.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +261.3% | +299.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +12.4% | +17.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — UNP and NSC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NSC is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UNP's 0.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.64x | 0.63x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $273.17 | $323.37 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $210.84 | $218.05 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.2% | +98.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.3 | 59.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.8M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — UNP and NSC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UNP as "Buy" and NSC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 7.1% upside for UNP (target: $287) vs 4.6% for NSC (target: $332). For income investors, UNP offers the higher dividend yield at 2.03% vs NSC's 1.70%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $287.30 | $332.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 47 | 48 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 9 | 24 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.45 | $5.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.7% | +0.7% |
UNP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). NSC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
UNP vs NSC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UNP or NSC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the stronger pick with 1.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) offers the better valuation at 22. 4x trailing P/E (21. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) a "Buy" — based on 47 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UNP or NSC?
On trailing P/E, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the cheapest at 22.
4x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation at 24. 9x. On forward P/E, Union Pacific Corporation is actually cheaper at 21. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Union Pacific Corporation wins at 2. 45x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation's 2. 57x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UNP or NSC?
Over the past 5 years, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) delivered a total return of +29.
4%, compared to +19. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NSC returned +299. 2% versus UNP's +261. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UNP or NSC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
63β versus Union Pacific Corporation's 0. 64β — meaning UNP is approximately 1% more volatile than NSC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 110% versus 172% for Union Pacific Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UNP or NSC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is pulling ahead at 1.
1% versus 0. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Norfolk Southern Corporation grew EPS 10. 2% year-over-year, compared to 7. 9% for Union Pacific Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, UNP leads at -0. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UNP or NSC?
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the more profitable company, earning 29.
1% net margin versus 23. 6% for Norfolk Southern Corporation — meaning it keeps 29. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UNP leads at 40. 1% versus 32. 9% for NSC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UNP leads at 59. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UNP or NSC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 45x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation's 2. 57x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trades at 21. 3x forward P/E versus 26. 2x for Norfolk Southern Corporation — 4. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UNP: 7. 1% to $287. 30.
08Which pays a better dividend — UNP or NSC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) offers the highest yield at 2. 0%, versus 1. 7% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC).
09Is UNP or NSC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
63), 1. 7% yield, +299. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NSC: +299. 2%, UNP: +261. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UNP and NSC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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