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UNPUnion Pacific Corporation
$275.53$163.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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UNP logo

Union Pacific Corporation

UNP
NYSE · Railroads
$275.53
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$163.69B
P/E23.0x
52W High$315.99
Volume1.88M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Volume-Led Recovery Drives Record Cash Generation

Union Pacific is experiencing a cyclical demand inflection, with revenue growth accelerating to 11.5% YoY in 2026Q2, the strongest in ten quarters. This volume-led recovery is translating into robust cash generation, as operating cash flow reached $3.1B (1.54x...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UNP price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-25% Peers

P/E is 25% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 63 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 63)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 23
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 11.5% YoY in 2026Q2, the strongest in ten quarters, while gross margin held steady at 45.5% and operating margin expanded to 40.3%, reflecting operating leverage despite an EPS miss of $0.09.

Analyst Consensus+21.0% target
Buy(47 analysts)
29 Buy17 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Operational Performance

Union Pacific has exceeded earnings per share expectations and maintains a high return on equity, reflecting effective management.

Market Confidence and Valuation

The stock is near its 52-week high, indicating strong market performance, with some metrics suggesting it may be modestly undervalued.

Economic Tailwinds

Inflation and tariff headwinds could boost goods movement, supported by a resilient economy and increased capital expenditure.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Liquidity and Debt Concerns

Union Pacific's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.53, indicating potential liquidity issues and higher debt risks.

Overvaluation Concerns

Discounted cash flow analyses suggest UNP may be overvalued, with a PEG ratio of 3.7x indicating potential overvaluation.

Economic Slowdown and Volatility

Projected slower global economic growth could dampen industrial production and consumer demand, impacting freight volumes.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UNP+20.61%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
UNP+23.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
UNP+39.93%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.87%
5-Year Return
UNP+49.66%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.81%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
23.0x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.1x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
15.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
23.0x
20.6x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
15.8x
14.0x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
29.8x
25.0x
80th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$174.53-36.7%
Base (Fair)$368.16+31.8%
Bull$560.20+103.3%
$174.53 Bear$368.16 Base$560.20 Bull
Current Market Price: $275.53
Trades at a 25.2% discount to Base DCF ($368.16)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$24.51B+1.1% YoY
Net income
$7.14B+5.8% YoY
Free cash flow
$5.5B-6.7% YoY
Operating margin
40.1%+0.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)15.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)40.4%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 23, 2026
$3.41+4.6%
vs $3.26
$6.9B+2.2%
vs $6.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 23, 2026
$2.93+2.4%
vs $2.86
$6.2B-0.2%
vs $6.2B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$2.86+0.0%
vs $2.86
$6.1B-0.4%
vs $6.1B
Q4 2025
Oct 23, 2025
$3.08+3.0%
vs $2.99
$6.2B-0.1%
vs $6.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

Reuters·Sep 16, 2026
Union Pacific says high diesel prices shifting freight from trucks to rail

Union Pacific on Wednesday said soaring diesel prices were prompting some shippers to move ​freight from trucks to rail, boosting demand ‌for the railroad as customers seek lower transportation costs.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 16, 2026
Why Union Pacific (UNP) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now

Dividends are one of the best benefits to being a shareholder, but finding a great dividend stock is no easy task. Does Union Pacific (UNP) have what it takes?

Benzinga·Sep 16, 2026
This Union Pacific Analyst Turns Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Upgrades For Wednesday

Top Wall Street analysts changed their outlook on these top names. For a complete view of all analyst rating changes, including upgrades, downgrades and initiations, please see our analyst ratings page.

Filtered for Union Pacific CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UNP against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UNP logoUNPUnion Pacific CorporationCurrent
$275.53$163.69B23.021.07%29.12%40.38%1.98%
CSX logoCSXCSX Corporation
$47.19$87.42B30.64-3.08%22.21%24.06%—
NSC logoNSCNorfolk Southern Corporation
$315.01$70.75B24.710.47%21.02%16.8%—
CP logoCPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
$88.28$77.61B27.623.66%18.76%9.58%—
CNI logoCNICanadian National Railway Company
$119.49$72.28B22.301.43%26.91%22.19%—
JBHT logoJBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.
$234.63$22.13B38.34-0.73%5.31%18.75%—

Compare UNP vs Peers

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CSX

Most directly comparable listed peer for UNP.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare UNP against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CSX, NSC, CP, CNI

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

UNP SEC Filings & Documents

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 6, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

4
FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

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UNP Frequently Asked Questions

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Union Pacific Corporation's revenue?

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) reported $25.41B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 189% increase from $8.79B in 1996.

How fast is Union Pacific Corporation growing?

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) grew revenue by 1.1% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is UNP profitable?

Yes, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is profitable, generating $7.33B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (29.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does UNP pay dividends?

Yes, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.98%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is UNP's return on equity?

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) has a return on equity (ROE) of 40.4%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Union Pacific Corporation's free cash flow?

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) generated $6.50B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in UNP back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →