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WCN vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
WCN vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Waste Management | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $39.14B | $416.75B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $9.65B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.06B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 39.1% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 27.9x | 38.8x |
| Total Debt | $9.40B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $46M | $9.98B |
WCN vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Connections, … (WCN) | 100 | 163.3 | +63.3% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 745.6 | +645.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WCN vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WCN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta -0.03, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 6.5%, EPS growth 74.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 9.6%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.03, current ratio 0.62x
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 12.3% 10Y total return vs WCN's 253.8%
- 13.3% margin vs WCN's 11.0%
- +181.5% vs WCN's -21.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.5% revenue growth vs CAT's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (27.9x vs 38.8x), PEG 0.70 vs 1.38 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs WCN's 11.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (114.2% vs 203.3%) | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield, 15-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.5% vs WCN's -21.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs WCN's 5.0%, ROIC 15.9% vs 7.7% |
WCN vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
WCN vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — WCN and CAT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 7.3x WCN's $9.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.3% (CAT) to 11.0% (WCN). On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $9.6B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.7B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.2B | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +39.1% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.6% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.0% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.4% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.5% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
WCN leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 36.7x trailing earnings, WCN trades at a 23% valuation discount to CAT's 47.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), WCN offers better value at 0.92x vs CAT's 1.69x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $39.1B | $416.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $48.5B | $450.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 36.74x | 47.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 27.92x | 38.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.92x | 1.69x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.38x | 33.41x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.12x | 6.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.79x | 19.71x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 31.54x | 40.56x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $13 for WCN. WCN carries lower financial leverage with a 1.14x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.9% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.0% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.7% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.3% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.14x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.3B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $46M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.4B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.31x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $38,251 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,923 for WCN. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +181.5% total return vs WCN's -21.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 62.0% vs WCN's 3.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.4% | +50.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -21.7% | +181.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +11.0% | +324.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +29.2% | +282.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +253.8% | +1227.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.5% | +62.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — WCN and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
WCN is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 96.2% from its 52-week high vs WCN's 77.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.03x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $199.00 | $931.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $152.76 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.2% | +96.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
WCN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates WCN as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.9% upside for WCN (target: $204) vs -7.9% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, WCN offers the higher dividend yield at 0.86% vs CAT's 0.65%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $204.08 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 33 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.9% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 15 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.32 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.3% | +1.2% |
WCN leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). CAT leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
WCN vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WCN or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Waste Connections, Inc.
(WCN) is the stronger pick with 6. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) offers the better valuation at 36. 7x trailing P/E (27. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) a "Buy" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — WCN or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Waste Connections, Inc.
(WCN) is the cheapest at 36. 7x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 47. 6x. On forward P/E, Waste Connections, Inc. is actually cheaper at 27. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Waste Connections, Inc. wins at 0. 70x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 38x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — WCN or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +282. 5%, compared to +29. 2% for Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1228% versus WCN's +253. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — WCN or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Waste Connections, Inc.
(WCN) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 03β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately -4699% more volatile than WCN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 114% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — WCN or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Waste Connections, Inc.
(WCN) is pulling ahead at 6. 5% versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Waste Connections, Inc. grew EPS 74. 9% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WCN leads at 9. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — WCN or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 11. 4% for Waste Connections, Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WCN leads at 18. 1% versus 16. 6% for CAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — WCN leads at 39. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is WCN or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 70x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 38x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) trades at 27. 9x forward P/E versus 38. 8x for Caterpillar Inc. — 10. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for WCN: 32. 9% to $204. 08.
08Which pays a better dividend — WCN or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) offers the highest yield at 0. 9%, versus 0. 7% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is WCN or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Waste Connections, Inc.
(WCN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 03), 0. 9% yield, +253. 8% 10Y return). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) carries a higher beta of 1. 54 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (WCN: +253. 8%, CAT: +1228%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between WCN and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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