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WCNWaste Connections, Inc.
$155.42$39.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
WCN logo

Waste Connections, Inc.

WCN
NYSE · Waste Management
$155.42
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$39.17B
P/E37.2x
52W High$179.74
Volume1.34M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Resilient Margins Amid Decelerating Growth and Rising Leverage

Waste Connections demonstrates resilient gross margins around 42% despite decelerating revenue growth to 6.4% in 2026Q2, supported by pricing power in secondary markets. However, operating margin contraction to 17.1% and rising leverage (D/E 1.21) from debt-fu...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WCN price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+20% Peers

P/E is 20% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 39 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 61% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 6.4% in 2026Q2 from 13.3% in 2024Q3, while gross margin remained stable near 42.3%, but operating margin contracted to 17.1% from 20.3% over the same period.

Analyst Consensus+31.1% target
Buy(33 analysts)
26 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Underserved rural focus

Waste Connections operates in underserved rural regions, leveraging pricing power and service quality to create a defensible niche.

Strong financial metrics

Waste Connections' trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate strong earnings potential, with shares trading at $167.23 as of January 29th.

Bullish investor sentiment

Multiple bullish theses highlight Waste Connections as a compelling investment, with analysts emphasizing its growth prospects.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WCN-10.14%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
WCN-9.34%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
WCN+15.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+80.64%
5-Year Return
WCN+23.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.10%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
37.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
27.3x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
16.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
37.2x
50.6x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
20.3x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
32.1x
36.9x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$59.52-61.7%
Base (Fair)$146.12-5.9%
Bull$244.16+57.1%
$59.52 Bear$146.12 Base$244.16 Bull
Current Market Price: $155.42
Trades at a 6.4% premium to Base DCF ($146.12)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$9.5B+6.5% YoY
Net income
$1.08B+75.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$1.22B+4.0% YoY
Operating margin
18.1%+6.2 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)13.4%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$1.50+11.1%
vs $1.35
$2.5B+1.1%
vs $2.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$1.23+3.4%
vs $1.19
$2.3B+0.3%
vs $2.3B
Q1 2026
Feb 11, 2026
$1.29+0.8%
vs $1.28
$2.4B-1.3%
vs $2.4B
Q4 2025
Oct 21, 2025
$1.44+4.3%
vs $1.38
$2.5B+3.7%
vs $2.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·Sep 16, 2026
Reviewing Knightscope (NASDAQ:KSCP) & Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN)

Knightscope (NASDAQ: KSCP - Get Free Report) and Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN - Get Free Report) are both industrials companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their profitability, institutional ownership, earnings, valuation, dividends, analyst recommendations and risk. Risk and Volatility Knightscope has a beta of 1.28,

Defense World·Sep 9, 2026
Waste Connections, Inc. $WCN Shares Acquired by Allworth Financial LP

Allworth Financial LP lifted its stake in Waste Connections, Inc. (NYSE: WCN) by 5.0% in the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm owned 72,524 shares of the business services provider's stock after purchasing an additional 3,473 shares during the period.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 2, 2026
WCN Shares Rise 8.6% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know

Waste Connections gains 8.6% in three months as market tailwinds, acquisitions and strong cash generation support its growth momentum.

Defense World·Aug 31, 2026
Reviewing Questor Technology (OTCMKTS:QUTIF) and Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN)

Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN - Get Free Report) and Questor Technology (OTCMKTS:QUTIF - Get Free Report) are both industrials companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two companies based on the strength of their profitability, valuation, analyst recommendations, risk, earnings, dividends and institutional ownership. Profitability This table compares Waste Connections and Questor

Filtered for Waste Connections, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WCN against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WCN logoWCNWaste Connections, Inc.Current
$155.42$39.17B37.186.55%11.37%13.43%0.84%
WM logoWMWaste Management, Inc.
$207.68$83.01B31.0014.24%11.12%28.92%—
RSG logoRSGRepublic Services, Inc.
$213.88$65.8B31.223.49%12.94%18.26%—
CWST logoCWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.
$85.76$5.37B714.6717.95%0.29%0.36%—
CLH logoCLHClean Harbors, Inc.
$312.85$16.51B42.972.39%7.03%15.65%—
CEVA logoCEVACEVA, Inc.
$33.36$929.39M-75.822.49%-9.48%-3.42%—

Compare WCN vs Peers

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WM

Most directly comparable listed peer for WCN.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare WCN against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WM, RSG, CWST, CLH

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

WCN SEC Filings & Documents

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 15, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 13, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 22, 2025·SEC

Get notified when WCN posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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WCN Frequently Asked Questions

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Waste Connections, Inc.'s revenue?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) reported $9.80B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 157971% increase from $6.2M in 1997.

How fast is Waste Connections, Inc. growing?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) grew revenue by 6.5% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is WCN profitable?

Yes, Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) is profitable, generating $1.06B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (11.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does WCN pay dividends?

Yes, Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.84%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is WCN's return on equity?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) has a return on equity (ROE) of 13.4%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Waste Connections, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) generated $1.82B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in WCN back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →