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TSLATesla, Inc.
$378.90$1.50T
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗AnalysisVisualize
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Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc.

TSLA
NASDAQ · Auto Manufacturers
$378.90
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$1.5T
P/E350.8x
52W High$498.83
Volume27.98M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Compression and AI Capex Surge Test Tesla

Tesla's fundamental outlook is increasingly bifurcated: near-term automotive profitability is strained by price cuts and margin compression, with gross margin down to 16.8% in 2026Q2 from 19.8% in 2024Q3, while the company pivots toward AI and robotics, eviden...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TSLA price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

4/12 Beats

EPS beat 4 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+980% Peers

P/E is 980% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 33 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 67% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has stalled and margins have compressed, with gross margin down to 16.8% in 2026Q2 from 19.8% in 2024Q3, and operating margin falling to 1.4% as R&D and SG&A expenses outpaced revenue growth.

Analyst Consensus+22.1% target
Hold(82 analysts)
33 Buy34 Hold15 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

AI and Robotaxis Potential

Tesla is positioned as a leader in AI and robotics, with potential massive revenue from robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid robot, which could make current stock prices appear undervalued.

Strong Energy Storage Growth

The energy storage segment is a significant value driver, showing consistent growth and high margins, with strong demand from utility customers and AI data center operators.

Resilient Financial Performance

Tesla's gross margins rebounded to 21.1% in Q1 2026, reflecting effective cost management while scaling operations and reporting increased revenue and free cash flow.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Intensifying Competition

Tesla faces fierce competition, particularly from Chinese manufacturers like BYD, which has surpassed Tesla in EV sales, and established automakers launching competitive EVs at lower prices.

High Execution Risks

Projected capital expenditures for AI infrastructure could reach $25 billion in 2026, raising concerns about the execution risks associated with developing robotaxis and humanoid robots.

Regulatory Scrutiny Risks

Tesla is under investigation by the NHTSA for its FSD system, and a negative outcome could severely impact its valuation narrative related to AI.

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TSLA-13.51%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
TSLA-12.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
TSLA+54.73%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+88.82%
5-Year Return
TSLA+51.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+75.42%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
350.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
224.2x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
141.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
0.4%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
350.8x
198.1x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
141.7x
113.3x
80th· High
Price/FCF
240.6x
255.1x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$7.39-98.0%
Base (Fair)$318.29-12.6%
Bull$14.22-96.2%
$7.39 Bear$318.29 Base$14.22 Bull
Current Market Price: $378.90
Trades at a 19.0% premium to Base DCF ($318.29)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$94.83B-2.9% YoY
Net income
$3.79B-46.8% YoY
Free cash flow
$6.22B+73.7% YoY
Operating margin
4.6%-2.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)4.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)4.8%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate4/12 (33%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 22, 2026
$0.33-34.0%
vs $0.50
$28.2B+6.9%
vs $26.4B
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$0.41+15.9%
vs $0.35
$22.4B+1.3%
vs $22.1B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$0.50+9.9%
vs $0.45
$24.9B+0.5%
vs $24.8B
Q4 2025
Oct 22, 2025
$0.50-10.4%
vs $0.56
$28.1B+5.9%
vs $26.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
InvestorPlace·19h ago
3 Analysts, 3 Trades to Make Today

Louis says buy the AI dip

24/7 Wall Street·20h ago
Saudi Arabia Plans To Compete With Tesla

A new EV company in Saudi Arabia has just launched its first EVs. Ceer has just released two models.

Finbold·1d ago
Cybertruck sales are running 94% below Elon Musk's original sales estimate

While Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) maintained electric vehicle (EV) market share dominance in the first half (H1) of 2026 with roughly 52.3%, its Cybertruck has been severely underperforming.

Investors Business Daily·1d ago
Tesla Opens Roadster Preorders; More SpaceX Merger Talks Surface

A combined Tesla and SpaceX would dominate physical AI applications, according to Morgan Stanley. Both stocks gained on Monday.

Filtered for Tesla, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TSLA against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TSLA logoTSLATesla, Inc.Current
$378.90$1.5T350.83-2.93%4%4.85%—
GM logoGMGeneral Motors Company
$83.45$75.48B25.52-1.29%1.03%2.95%—
F logoFFord Motor Company
$13.10$52.24B-6.361.23%-3.93%-18.89%—
RIVN logoRIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$15.14$18.38B-4.938.39%-54.95%-67.16%—
LCID logoLCIDLucid Group, Inc.
$4.32$1.37B-0.3767.58%-263.72%-254.84%—
NIO logoNIONIO Inc.
$3.72$8.77B-3.7529.47%-23.75%-230.85%—

Compare TSLA vs Peers

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs GM

Most directly comparable listed peer for TSLA.

Scale Benchmark

vs NVDA

Larger-name benchmark to compare TSLA against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs GM, F, RIVN, LCID

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TSLA SEC Filings & Documents

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 2, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 22, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Jan 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Jan 30, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 23, 2025·SEC

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TSLA Frequently Asked Questions

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Tesla, Inc.'s revenue?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) reported $103.62B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 141943736% increase from $0.1M in 2007.

How fast is Tesla, Inc. growing?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) saw revenue decline by 2.9% over the past year.

Is TSLA profitable?

Yes, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is profitable, generating $3.82B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (4.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is TSLA's return on equity?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a return on equity (ROE) of 4.8%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is Tesla, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) generated $5.76B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in TSLA back in 2007?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 19+ years of data

See returns →