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TSLATesla, Inc.
$378.90$1.50T
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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Hold82 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$463+22.1% Upside
Current: $378.90
Analyst Range
Low $360High $840
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
33 Buy·34 Hold·15 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Miss 34.0%
Forward P/E: 224.2x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates TSLA hold with a 12-month price target of $463 (+22.1% upside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for Tesla, Inc..

Recent Analyst Actions

TSLA Analyst Upgrades & Price Target Changes

1 of 3 analysts raised targets. Recent price target changes and ratings for TSLA.

Updated Jun 2026
FirmActionRatingPrice Target
GLJ ResearchMaintainedSell$25$25
JP MorganRaisedNeutral$145$475
TD CowenMaintainedBuy$490$490

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for TSLA.

Current setup

TSLA missed estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • AI and Robotaxis PotentialTesla is positioned as a leader in AI and robotics, with potential massive revenue from robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid robot, which could make current stock prices appear undervalued.
  • Strong Energy Storage GrowthThe energy storage segment is a significant value driver, showing consistent growth and high margins, with strong demand from utility customers and AI data center operators.
  • Resilient Financial PerformanceTesla's gross margins rebounded to 21.1% in Q1 2026, reflecting effective cost management while scaling operations and reporting increased revenue and free cash flow.
  • Growing FSD SubscriptionsFull Self-Driving subscriptions surged to over 1.28 million in Q1 2026, indicating strong consumer interest and potential recurring revenue.

Wall Street rates TSLA hold, giving the bull case institutional backing from 82 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • Intensifying CompetitionTesla faces fierce competition, particularly from Chinese manufacturers like BYD, which has surpassed Tesla in EV sales, and established automakers launching competitive EVs at lower prices.
  • High Execution RisksProjected capital expenditures for AI infrastructure could reach $25 billion in 2026, raising concerns about the execution risks associated with developing robotaxis and humanoid robots.
  • Regulatory Scrutiny RisksTesla is under investigation by the NHTSA for its FSD system, and a negative outcome could severely impact its valuation narrative related to AI.
  • Automotive Demand ConcernsThere are signs of a structural decline in demand for Tesla's automotive products, with inventory build-ups and price cuts affecting gross margins.
  • High Valuation MultiplesTesla's stock trades at forward P/E ratios often exceeding 300, necessitating near-perfect execution across all ventures to justify its premium valuation.

Watch whether new negative commentary on TSLA points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

TSLA Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$0.33 vs $0.50 est.Miss 34.0%
Revenue
$28.2B vs $26.4B est.Beat 6.9%
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TSLA — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TSLA stock.

What is the analyst consensus on TSLA?
Verdict

TSLA looks attractive at current levels — Wall Street's consensus rating is "Hold" with a $463 price target (+22.1% upside from $378.90). This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for TSLA?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Hold" with +22.1% upside to the $463 target. In the past 30 days, 1 of 3 covering analysts raised their price targets — a bullish signal.

What is the price target for TSLA stock?
Price Target

TSLA's consensus 12-month price target is $463, set by 82 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $840 and the bear case low is $360. From the current price of $378.90, this implies +22.1% upside.

Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

TSLA appears undervalued — the $463 consensus target is +22.1% above today's $378.90. It trades at a forward P/E of 224.2x. Targets range from $360 (bear) to $840 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were TSLA's latest earnings results?
Earnings

TSLA reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Hold" with a $463 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for TSLA?
Coverage

Of 82 analysts covering Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): 0 Strong Buy, 33 Buy, 34 Hold, 15 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Hold" consensus. The 12-month price target is $463 (range $360–$840). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in TSLA?
Risks

15 of the 82 analysts covering TSLA rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on Tesla, Inc..

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.