Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 1, 2026, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $146.77, based on estimates from 53 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $152.59, this represents a potential downside of -3.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $637.69B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $123.00 to a high of $183.00, representing a 41% spread in expectations. The median target of $145.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 22 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,27 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, XOM trades at a trailing P/E of 22.8x and forward P/E of 22.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $168.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $-145.49 and $353.19 respectively. Model confidence stands at 54/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Start ComparisonWall Street's consensus price target for XOM is $146.77, -3.8% from its current price of $152.595. The below-market target from 53 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
XOM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 53 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 27 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $146.77 implies -3.8% downside from current levels.
XOM trades at a forward P/E of 22.5366x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $146.77 (-3.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $183 for XOM, while the most conservative target is $123. The consensus of $146.77 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $353 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
XOM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 53 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 21 have Buy ratings, 27 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month XOM stock forecast based on 53 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $146.77, with estimates ranging from $123 (bear case) to $183 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $168, with bear/bull scenarios of $-145/$353.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates XOM's fair value at $168 (base case), with a bear case of $-145 and bull case of $353. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 54/100.
XOM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 22.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on XOM, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $146.77 (-3.8% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XOM analyst price targets range from $123 to $183, a 41% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $146.77 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-145-$353 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.