AGRO trades 38.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AGRO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 6.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.10, this represents a potential upside of +38.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.70B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $13.20 to a high of $14.80, representing a 11% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, AGRO trades at a trailing P/E of -615.9x and forward P/E of 6.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +2126.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $4.15, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.61 and $5.47 respectively. Model confidence stands at 35/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CRESYCresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria | $736M | $11.34 | $12.68 | +11.8% | Buy | 0.1x | 1 |
 CAAPCorporacion America Airports S.A. | $4.0B | $24.30 | $24.40 | +0.4% | Buy | 13.2x | 6 |
 LNDBrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas | $350M | $3.51 | — | — | — | — | — |
 TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $18.4B | $51.89 | $67.40 | +29.9% | Buy | 14.4x | 30 |
 ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company | $38.8B | $80.45 | $88.00 | +9.4% | Hold | 15.0x | 36 |
 BGBunge Global S.A. | $20.5B | $106.72 | $151.67 | +42.1% | Buy | 11.2x | 25 |
 INGRIngredion Incorporated | $6.0B | $95.33 | $116.00 | +21.7% | Hold | 9.1x | 21 |
 DEDeere & Company | $185.4B | $687.00 | $731.20 | +6.4% | Buy | 37.9x | 46 |
 AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.3B | $114.61 | $131.00 | +14.3% | Buy | 20.3x | 29 |
 CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc. | $17.7B | $115.01 | $128.63 | +11.8% | Buy | 7.7x | 42 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AGRO stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for AGRO is $14, representing 38.6% upside from the current price of $10.1. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
AGRO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $14 implies 38.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 6.6799x, AGRO trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $14 implies 38.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14.8 for AGRO, while the most conservative target is $13.2. The consensus of $14 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $5 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AGRO is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AGRO stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $13.2 (bear case) to $14.8 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $4, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$5.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGRO's fair value at $4 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $5. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 35/100.
AGRO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AGRO, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $14 price target (38.6% upside). 3 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AGRO analyst price targets range from $13.2 to $14.8, a 11% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$5 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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