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PCAR logo

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 45 analysts

7.1% Below Target

PCAR trades 7.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $127.40.

Current Price$118.95
Average Target$127.40
Target
Current
Low$109.00
Median$126.00
High$139.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E21.0x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio1.66
(Fair)
Implied Growth+20.9%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread23.5%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$118.95
Consensus$127.40
High$139.00
Low$109.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes PCAR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 21.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 45 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 45 published analyst recommendations for PCAR

62% hold / mixed conviction
+13
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 45 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage45 Analysts
Net Score+13
Bull / Bear31% / 7%
Strong Buy12%
Buy1329%
Hold2862%
Sell37%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
12%
Buy
1329%
Hold
2862%
Sell
37%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix31% Buy · 62% Hold · 7% Sell
Buy (14)Hold (28)Sell (3)

PCAR Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $127.40, based on estimates from 45 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $118.95, this represents a potential upside of +7.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $62.60B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $109.00 to a high of $139.00, representing a 24% spread in expectations. The median target of $126.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,28 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, PCAR trades at a trailing P/E of 26.4x and forward P/E of 21.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.66 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +20.9% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $148.83, with bear and bull scenarios of $93.76 and $196.10 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+4.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
19.8x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
CMI logo
CMICummins Inc.
$99.0B$716.86$750.09
+4.6%
Buy24.7x51
OSK logo
OSKOshkosh Corporation
$66.5B$139.54$171.20
+22.7%
Buy12.8x37
CAT logo
CATCaterpillar Inc.
$458.7B$985.82$882.20
-10.5%
Buy40.0x53
DE logo
DEDeere & Company
$159.1B$589.24$690.00
+17.1%
Hold32.6x46
AGCO logo
AGCOAGCO Corporation
$8.2B$113.66$124.63
+9.7%
Buy19.0x29
ALV logo
ALVAutoliv, Inc.
$8.8B$118.24$129.86
+9.8%
Hold11.3x37
BWA logo
BWABorgWarner Inc.
$14.8B$71.84$77.09
+7.3%
Buy13.8x38
VC logo
VCVisteon Corporation
$3.1B$113.81$121.00
+6.3%
Buy13.3x23
ALSN logo
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
$9.9B$119.10$118.50
-0.5%
Hold13.4x29
ATMU logo
ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
$4.2B$51.79$40.33
-22.1%
Buy17.6x5

PCAR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PCAR stock.

What is the PCAR stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for PCAR is $127.4, close to the current price of $118.95 (7.1% implied move). Based on 45 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is PCAR a buy, sell, or hold?

PCAR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 45 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 28 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $127.4 implies 7.1% upside from current levels.

Is PCAR stock overvalued or undervalued?

PCAR trades at a forward P/E of 20.9581x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $127.4 (7.1% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

How high can PCAR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $139 for PCAR, while the most conservative target is $109. The consensus of $127.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $196 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover PCAR stock?

PCAR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 45 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 28 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the PCAR stock forecast?

The 12-month PCAR stock forecast based on 45 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $127.4, with estimates ranging from $109 (bear case) to $139 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $149, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$196.

What is PCAR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates PCAR's fair value at $149 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $196. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.

What is PCAR's forward P/E ratio?

PCAR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy PCAR stock?

PCAR appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $127.4 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do PCAR price targets vary so much?

PCAR analyst price targets range from $109 to $139, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $127.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$196 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into PCAR consensus models and risk factors.

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10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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