ARKO trades 265.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ARKO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 36.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Arko Corp. (ARKO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $3.97, this represents a potential upside of +265.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $445M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $7.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 103% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, ARKO trades at a trailing P/E of 38.2x and forward P/E of 36.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.24 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -13.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $4.70, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.96 and $6.20 respectively. Model confidence stands at 39/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MUSAMurphy USA Inc. | $9.6B | $521.89 | $637.20 | +22.1% | Hold | 14.8x | 12 |
 CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. | $25.5B | $687.64 | $817.50 | +18.9% | Buy | 32.2x | 26 |
 DINOHF Sinclair Corporation | $17.5B | $97.18 | $130.50 | +34.3% | Buy | 4.1x | 17 |
 CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LP | $754M | $19.77 | — | — | Hold | 14.4x | 15 |
 SUNSSunrise Realty Trust, Inc. | $91M | $6.76 | $10.00 | +47.9% | Hold | 5.4x | 8 |
 ANGIAngi Inc. | $280M | $6.92 | $11.00 | +59.0% | Hold | — | 55 |
 NTBThe Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited | $2.2B | $54.74 | $65.00 | +18.7% | Hold | 9.4x | 7 |
 VLOValero Energy Corporation | $102.9B | $346.45 | $451.11 | +30.2% | Buy | 5.8x | 38 |
 MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation | $108.8B | $372.74 | $445.20 | +19.4% | Buy | 5.7x | 33 |
 PSXPhillips 66 | $98.5B | $245.72 | $290.50 | +18.2% | Buy | 7.3x | 35 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ARKO stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for ARKO is $14.5, representing 265.2% upside from the current price of $3.97. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
ARKO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $14.5 implies 265.2% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 36.0909x, ARKO trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $14.5 (265.2% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for ARKO, while the most conservative target is $7. The consensus of $14.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $6 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ARKO is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ARKO stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14.5, with estimates ranging from $7 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $5, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$6.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARKO's fair value at $5 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $6. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 39/100.
ARKO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 38.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ARKO, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $14.5 price target (265.2% upside). 1 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ARKO analyst price targets range from $7 to $22, a 103% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$6 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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