1.2% Below Target

The consensus price target for ARKO is $7.58, close to the current price of $7.49 (1.2% implied move). Based on 4 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

ARKO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $7.58 implies 1.2% upside from current levels.

ARKO trades at a forward P/E of 25.8276x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $7.58 (1.2% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $8.75 for ARKO, while the most conservative target is $6. The consensus of $7.58 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $15 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ARKO is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ARKO stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $7.58, with estimates ranging from $6 (bear case) to $8.75 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$15.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARKO's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $15. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

ARKO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 49.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

ARKO appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $7.58 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ARKO analyst price targets range from $6 to $8.75, a 36% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $7.58 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$15 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.