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Arko Corp. (ARKO) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$6.43
Market reference
Price Target
$7.58
+17.9% Upside
Target Range
$6.00 — $8.75
Moderate consensus
Analyst Rating
Hold
4 analysts
Forward P/E29.2x
Trailing P/E42.9x
Forward PEG1.81
Implied Growth-28.4%
Median Target$8.00
Analyst Spread36.3%

Analysts see +17.9% upside to their consensus target of $7.58.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$6.43
Consensus$7.58
High$8.75
Low$6.00
Model$11.50
Bear Case
$6
-6.7%
Consensus
$8
+17.9%
Bull Case
$9
+36.1%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 51/100
Bear$1
Base$12
Bull$38

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 4 published analyst recommendations for ARKO

75% hold / mixed conviction
+25
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 4 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage4 Analysts
Net Score+25
Bull / Bear25% / 0%
Strong Buy125%
Buy00%
Hold375%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
125%
Buy
00%
Hold
375%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix25% Buy · 75% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (1)Hold (3)Sell (0)

ARKO Price Target Analysis

Updated March 1, 2026

As of March 1, 2026, Arko Corp. (ARKO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $7.58, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $6.43, this represents a potential upside of +17.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $713M.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $6.00 to a high of $8.75, representing a 36% spread in expectations. The median target of $8.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, ARKO trades at a trailing P/E of 42.9x and forward P/E of 29.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.81 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -28.4% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $11.50, with bear and bull scenarios of $1.31 and $38.25 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+13.0%
Avg Forward P/E25.0x
Peers with Coverage4 / 6
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
ARKOArko Corp.
$713M$6.43$7.58+17.9%Hold29.2x4
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.$25.4B$685.59$630.91-8.0%Buy39.5x24
CARTInstacart (Maplebear Inc.)$10.0B$37.51$47.54+26.7%Buy15.7x26
MUSAMurphy USA Inc.$7.3B$390.74$451.25+15.5%Hold15.6x11
WNWMeiwu Technology Company Limited$98M$1.54—————
WBUYWEBUY GLOBAL Ltd. Ordinary Shares$97M$1.06—————

Upside Potential Comparison

CART
+26.7%
ARKO
+17.9%
MUSA
+15.5%
CASY
-8.0%

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Is ARKO Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ARKO stock price target for 2026?

Arko Corp. (ARKO) has a consensus 12-month price target of $7.58, implying 17.9% upside from $6.43. The 4 analysts covering ARKO see moderate appreciation potential.

Is ARKO a buy, sell, or hold?

ARKO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $7.58 implies 17.9% upside from current levels.

Is ARKO stock overvalued or undervalued?

ARKO trades at a forward P/E of 29.2273x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $7.58 (17.9% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

How high can ARKO stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $8.75 for ARKO, while the most conservative target is $6. The consensus of $7.58 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $38 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover ARKO stock?

ARKO is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the ARKO stock forecast?

The 12-month ARKO stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $7.58, with estimates ranging from $6 (bear case) to $8.75 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $12, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$38.

What is ARKO's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARKO's fair value at $12 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $38. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

What is ARKO's forward P/E ratio?

ARKO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 42.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy ARKO stock?

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on ARKO, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $7.58 price target (17.9% upside). 1 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do ARKO price targets vary so much?

ARKO analyst price targets range from $6 to $8.75, a 36% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $7.58 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$38 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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