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Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$685.59
Market reference
Price Target
$630.91
-8.0% Upside
Target Range
$530.00 — $730.00
Moderate consensus
Analyst Rating
Buy
24 analysts
Forward P/E39.5x
Trailing P/E46.8x
Forward PEG2.53
Implied Growth+6.7%
Median Target$625.00
Analyst Spread31.7%

CASY trades 8.0% above the consensus target of $630.91. Current price reflects optimism beyond analyst expectations.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$685.59
Consensus$630.91
High$730.00
Low$530.00
Model$889.59
Bear Case
$530
-22.7%
Consensus
$631
-8.0%
Bull Case
$730
+6.5%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 67/100
Bear$411
Base$890
Bull$1105

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 24 published analyst recommendations for CASY

33% hold / mixed conviction
+29
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 24 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage24 Analysts
Net Score+29
Bull / Bear63% / 4%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1563%
Hold833%
Sell14%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1563%
Hold
833%
Sell
14%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix63% Buy · 33% Hold · 4% Sell
Buy (15)Hold (8)Sell (1)

CASY Price Target Analysis

Updated February 28, 2026

As of February 28, 2026, Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $630.91, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $685.59, this represents a potential downside of -8.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $25.41B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $530.00 to a high of $730.00, representing a 32% spread in expectations. The median target of $625.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 15 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, CASY trades at a trailing P/E of 46.8x and forward P/E of 39.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.53 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +6.7% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $889.59, with bear and bull scenarios of $410.66 and $1104.58 respectively. Model confidence stands at 67/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+13.0%
Avg Forward P/E25.0x
Peers with Coverage4 / 6
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.
$25.4B$685.59$630.91-8.0%Buy39.5x24
CARTInstacart (Maplebear Inc.)$10.0B$37.51$47.54+26.7%Buy15.7x26
MUSAMurphy USA Inc.$7.3B$390.74$451.25+15.5%Hold15.6x11
ARKOArko Corp.$713M$6.43$7.58+17.9%Hold29.2x4
WNWMeiwu Technology Company Limited$98M$1.54—————
WBUYWEBUY GLOBAL Ltd. Ordinary Shares$97M$1.06—————

Upside Potential Comparison

CART
+26.7%
ARKO
+17.9%
MUSA
+15.5%
CASY
-8.0%

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Is CASY Undervalued?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the CASY stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for CASY is $630.91, -8.0% from its current price of $685.59. The below-market target from 24 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is CASY a buy, sell, or hold?

CASY has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 15 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $630.91 implies -8.0% downside from current levels.

Is CASY stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 39.4675x, CASY trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $630.91 (-8.0% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

How high can CASY stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $730 for CASY, while the most conservative target is $530. The consensus of $630.91 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1105 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover CASY stock?

CASY is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the CASY stock forecast?

The 12-month CASY stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $630.91, with estimates ranging from $530 (bear case) to $730 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $890, with bear/bull scenarios of $411/$1105.

What is CASY's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates CASY's fair value at $890 (base case), with a bear case of $411 and bull case of $1105. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 67/100.

What is CASY's forward P/E ratio?

CASY trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 46.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy CASY stock?

Analysts are cautious on CASY, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $630.91 (-8.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do CASY price targets vary so much?

CASY analyst price targets range from $530 to $730, a 32% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $630.91 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $411-$1105 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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