Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 28 analysts9.6% Below Target
BLMN trades 9.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $8.83.
Current Price$8.06
Average Target$8.83
Target
Current
Low$8.50
Median$9.00
High$9.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.2x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+246.9%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread5.7%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes BLMN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 28 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
BLMN Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $8.83, based on estimates from 28 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.06, this represents a potential upside of +9.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $687M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $8.50 to a high of $9.00, representing a 6% spread in expectations. The median target of $9.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,14 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, BLMN trades at a trailing P/E of 127.7x and forward P/E of 9.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +246.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $29.19, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.39 and $38.46 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+5.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
19.9x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. | $25.3B | $213.45 | $230.14 | +7.8% | Buy | 20.1x | 59 |
 TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. | $11.7B | $177.75 | $191.46 | +7.7% | Hold | 27.7x | 44 |
 CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | $3.8B | $77.19 | $65.50 | -15.1% | Hold | 19.1x | 48 |
 EATBrinker International, Inc. | $7.1B | $164.89 | $187.92 | +14.0% | Buy | 15.3x | 47 |
 DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $7.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
 BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc. | $1.1B | $54.55 | $41.00 | -24.8% | Buy | 24.6x | 31 |
 CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. | $1.1B | $47.34 | $49.00 | +3.5% | Hold | — | 31 |
 RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. | $116M | $6.26 | $8.00 | +27.8% | Hold | — | 38 |
 ARKRArk Restaurants Corp. | $22M | $6.20 | — | — | — | — | — |
 SYYSysco Corporation | $37.7B | $78.70 | $90.44 | +14.9% | Buy | 17.2x | 30 |
BLMN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BLMN stock.
What is the BLMN stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for BLMN is $8.83, close to the current price of $8.06 (9.6% implied move). Based on 28 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is BLMN a buy, sell, or hold?
BLMN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 28 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 14 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $8.83 implies 9.6% upside from current levels.
Is BLMN stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.1653x, BLMN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $8.83 implies 9.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can BLMN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $9 for BLMN, while the most conservative target is $8.5. The consensus of $8.83 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $38 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover BLMN stock?
BLMN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 28 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the BLMN stock forecast?
The 12-month BLMN stock forecast based on 28 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $8.83, with estimates ranging from $8.5 (bear case) to $9 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $29, with bear/bull scenarios of $18/$38.
What is BLMN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BLMN's fair value at $29 (base case), with a bear case of $18 and bull case of $38. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
What is BLMN's forward P/E ratio?
BLMN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 127.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy BLMN stock?
BLMN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $8.83 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do BLMN price targets vary so much?
BLMN analyst price targets range from $8.5 to $9, a 6% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $8.83 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $18-$38 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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