EAT trades 14.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $187.92.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes EAT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 15.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 47 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $187.92, based on estimates from 47 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $164.89, this represents a potential upside of +14.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.07B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $166.00 to a high of $210.00, representing a 23% spread in expectations. The median target of $190.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 25 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, EAT trades at a trailing P/E of 19.8x and forward P/E of 15.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.23 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $193.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $122.07 and $255.31 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. | $25.3B | $213.45 | $230.14 | +7.8% | Buy | 20.1x | 59 |
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. | $11.7B | $177.75 | $191.46 | +7.7% | Hold | 27.7x | 44 |
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc. | $687M | $8.06 | $8.83 | +9.6% | Hold | 9.2x | 28 |
DENNDenny's Corporation | $322M | $6.25 | $7.00 | +12.0% | Buy | 15.0x | 21 |
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | $3.8B | $77.19 | $65.50 | -15.1% | Hold | 19.1x | 48 |
BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc. | $1.1B | $54.55 | $41.00 | -24.8% | Buy | 24.6x | 31 |
MCDMcDonald's Corporation | $198.0B | $278.61 | $347.33 | +24.7% | Buy | 21.5x | 62 |
YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $42.0B | $151.99 | $178.00 | +17.1% | Hold | 22.4x | 51 |
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. | $25.4B | $73.44 | $83.73 | +14.0% | Buy | 18.1x | 44 |
JACKJack in the Box Inc. | $244M | $12.80 | $16.23 | +26.8% | Hold | 3.8x | 41 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EAT stock.
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) has a consensus 12-month price target of $187.92, implying 14.0% upside from $164.89. The 47 analysts covering EAT see moderate appreciation potential.
EAT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 47 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 25 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $187.92 implies 14.0% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 15.3189x, EAT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $187.92 implies 14.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $210 for EAT, while the most conservative target is $166. The consensus of $187.92 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $255 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
EAT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 47 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month EAT stock forecast based on 47 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $187.92, with estimates ranging from $166 (bear case) to $210 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $194, with bear/bull scenarios of $122/$255.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EAT's fair value at $194 (base case), with a bear case of $122 and bull case of $255. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
EAT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on EAT, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $187.92 price target (14.0% upside). 25 of 47 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EAT analyst price targets range from $166 to $210, a 23% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $187.92 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $122-$255 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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