Bull case
The bull case prices BNT at 23x on FY1 earnings, assuming continued execution and no meaningful deceleration in the core business.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where BNT stock could go
The bull case prices BNT at 23x on FY1 earnings, assuming continued execution and no meaningful deceleration in the core business.
At 18x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push BNT down roughly 57% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Brookfield Reinsurance is a financial services company that provides insurance and reinsurance products to individuals and institutions globally. It generates revenue through three main segments: Direct Insurance (offering life, casualty, property, and health insurance), Reinsurance (annuity-based products), and Pension Risk Transfer (corporate pension plan transfers). The company benefits from Brookfield's global scale and investment expertise—particularly in managing long-duration liabilities—which creates a competitive advantage in pricing and risk management.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.06/— | — | $3.0B/— | — |
| Q4 2025 | $0.06/— | — | $3.1B/— | — |
| Q1 2026 | $0.06/— | — | $3.1B/— | — |
| Q2 2026 | $0.07/— | — | $1.6B/— | — |
BNT beat EPS estimates in 0 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $36 — implies -18.2% from today's price.
| Metric | BNT | S&P 500 | Financial Services | 5Y Avg BNT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | — | 18.8x | 10.7x | — |
| Trailing PE | 17.8x | 24.4x-27% | 13.6x+31% | 7.6x+136% |
| PEG Ratio | 0.13x | 1.66x-92% | 0.95x-86% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.5x | 15.2x-64% | 11.4x-52% | 4.3x+26% |
| Price/FCF | 5.7x | 20.7x-72% | 11.1x-49% | 2.3x+146% |
| Price/Sales | 1.3x | 3.1x-60% | 2.3x-46% | 0.7x+67% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.91% | 2.63% | 0.52% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolBNT posts 4.6% net margin with 2.9% ROE — the core signals of underwriting discipline and capital efficiency.
Premium revenue, margins, and returns
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
Traditional FCF and debt/FCF ratios are not meaningful for financial companies. Focus on ROE and ROA above.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. For financial companies, ROE and ROA are the primary health signals — FCF-based metrics are not applicable.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
Based on the latest company results, valuation, and market data
BNT trades at 17.8x trailing earnings versus 24.4x for the S&P 500 and 13.6x for its sector. If earnings delivery or sentiment slips, the stock could re-rate lower and move closer to the bear case target of $19.
The next fiscal year requires Street estimates of $12.0B in revenue (12.0% growth) and $1.73 in EPS. Missing those operating targets would undermine the premium multiple investors are paying today.
Part of the per-share support comes from capital returns, backed by $2.5B in trailing free cash flow, a 0.8% buyback yield. If cash generation softens, the EPS lift and downside cushion from repurchases can narrow.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
Based on recent company results and analyst estimates
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. already operates from a position of scale, with 43.3% gross margin, 6.5% operating margin, and $2.5B in trailing free cash flow. That combination gives management room to keep funding product investment without relying on outside capital.
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. still has room to compound if management converts its existing scale into steadier revenue growth and margin discipline. The bull case does not require perfection; it requires the core business to keep translating operating strength into higher per-share earnings.
Consensus still points to —, while the modeled bull target reaches $40. If $12.0B in forward revenue and $1.73 in EPS are delivered, ongoing shareholder returns running at 0.8% can amplify the equity upside.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BNT BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. | $14.8B | — | +12.0% | 4.6% | — | — |
RGA RGA Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | $13.8B | 7.8x | +9.6% | 5.0% | Buy | +19.1% |
GL GL Globe Life Inc. | $13.4B | 10.9x | +4.5% | 19.4% | Hold | +2.2% |
FG FG F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | $3.7B | 7.0x | +11.1% | 9.1% | Hold | +12.8% |
MET MET MetLife, Inc. | $55.8B | 8.6x | +5.5% | 4.7% | Buy | +10.2% |
PRU PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | $37.1B | 7.8x | -2.5% | 5.6% | Hold | -4.8% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
BNT returns 0.8% annually — null% through dividends and 0.8% through buybacks.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.14 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $0.24 | +12.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 2024 | $0.21 | +14.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2023 | $0.19 | -94.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2022 | $3.35 | +1832.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. (BNT) has limited published analyst coverage at this time. The model scenario range runs from $19 to $40 around a current price of $45. Use the scenario targets and valuation multiples on this page as a guide.
Forward earnings data for BNT is not currently available. Review the valuation table above for trailing P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales comparisons against market and sector benchmarks.
The primary risks for BNT in 2026 are: (1) Valuation de-rating — BNT trades at 17. (2) Estimate execution — The next fiscal year requires Street estimates of $12. (3) Capital return support — Part of the per-share support comes from capital returns, backed by $2. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates BNT will report consensus revenue of $12.0B (+12.0% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.73 (-4.0% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $13.2B in revenue.
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-08-13..
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. (BNT) generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 23.5%. BNT returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($114M TTM).