9.6% Below Target

The consensus price target for BP is $42.87, close to the current price of $39.1 (9.6% implied move). Based on 44 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

BP has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 23 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $42.87 implies 9.6% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 7.4497x, BP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $42.87 implies 9.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $57 for BP, while the most conservative target is $31. The consensus of $42.87 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $109 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

BP is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 44 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 19 have Buy ratings, 23 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month BP stock forecast based on 44 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $42.87, with estimates ranging from $31 (bear case) to $57 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $83, with bear/bull scenarios of $52/$109.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates BP's fair value at $83 (base case), with a bear case of $52 and bull case of $109. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

BP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 1916.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

BP appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $42.87 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

BP analyst price targets range from $31 to $57, a 61% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $42.87 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $52-$109 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.