BUR trades 25.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $5.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BUR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 20, 2026, Burford Capital Limited (BUR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $5.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $3.97, this represents a potential upside of +25.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $870M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $5.00 to a high of $5.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $5.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BUR trades at a trailing P/E of 14.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $4.53, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.85 and $5.96 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LPROOpen Lending Corporation | $372M | $3.14 | $3.15 | +0.3% | Hold | 33.9x | 12 |
 PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. | $696M | $7.01 | $9.00 | +28.4% | Buy | 6.6x | 11 |
 ECPGEncore Capital Group, Inc. | $2.1B | $99.54 | $100.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 7.4x | 15 |
 PRAProAssurance Corporation | $1.3B | $25.00 | $18.33 | -26.7% | Hold | 20.4x | 11 |
 PRAAPRA Group, Inc. | $801M | $21.00 | $25.00 | +19.0% | Hold | 6.3x | 13 |
 FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. | $24.1B | $2111.89 | $2289.83 | +8.4% | Hold | 10.9x | 11 |
 LZLegalZoom.com, Inc. | $1.0B | $5.91 | $11.42 | +93.2% | Hold | 8.1x | 12 |
 CSGPCoStar Group, Inc. | $11.8B | $29.09 | $36.36 | +25.0% | Buy | 21.3x | 27 |
 ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc. | $87.7B | $155.47 | $184.50 | +18.7% | Buy | 19.2x | 36 |
 MSCIMSCI Inc. | $40.2B | $552.87 | $701.71 | +26.9% | Buy | 28.0x | 27 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BUR stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for BUR is $5, representing 25.9% upside from the current price of $3.97. With 3 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
BUR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $5 implies 25.9% upside from current levels.
BUR's current price is $3.97 with a consensus target of $5 (25.9% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $5 for BUR, while the most conservative target is $5. The consensus of $5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $6 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BUR is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BUR stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $5 (bear case) to $5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $5, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$6.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BUR's fair value at $5 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $6. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on BUR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $5 price target (25.9% upside). 2 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BUR analyst price targets range from $5 to $5, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$6 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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