CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$21.17
Price Target
$15.50
Target Range
$14.00 — $17.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E14.0x
Trailing P/E19.6x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth—
Median Target$15.50
Analyst Spread19.4%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$14
-33.9%
Consensus
$16
-26.8%
Bull Case
$17
-19.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 53/100
Bear$15
Base$43
Bull$39
CXW Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $15.50, based on estimates from 12 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $21.17, this represents a potential downside of -26.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.09B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $17.00, representing a 19% spread in expectations. The median target of $15.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, CXW trades at a trailing P/E of 19.6x and forward P/E of 14.0x.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $43.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $15.05 and $39.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+37.2%
Avg Forward P/E21.3x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GEOThe GEO Group, Inc. | $2.9B | $22.20 | $24.50 | +10.4% | Buy | 19.4x | 12 |
 ABMABM Industries Incorporated | $2.4B | $40.64 | $50.00 | +23.0% | Hold | 10.3x | 11 |
 CTASCintas Corporation | $68.2B | $169.36 | $223.40 | +31.9% | Hold | 34.6x | 30 |
 ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. | $10.3B | $175.93 | $222.33 | +26.4% | Buy | 23.4x | 13 |
 ADUSAddus HomeCare Corporation | $1.8B | $96.64 | $128.67 | +33.1% | Buy | 14.0x | 15 |
 AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc. | $31.1B | $385.86 | $726.71 | +88.3% | Buy | 49.7x | 21 |
 MSAMSA Safety Incorporated | $6.7B | $173.97 | $235.00 | +35.1% | Buy | 20.0x | 11 |
 LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc. | $17.0B | $134.90 | $204.00 | +51.2% | Buy | 11.4x | 27 |
 CACICACI International Inc | $11.0B | $499.42 | $725.50 | +45.3% | Buy | 17.7x | 29 |
 BAHBooz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | $12.9B | $76.28 | $97.20 | +27.4% | Hold | 12.6x | 21 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonCXW — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CXW stock.
What is the CXW stock price target for 2026?
CXW's consensus price target is $15.5, -26.8% below the current price of $21.17. The 12 analysts tracking CXW see downside risk at present valuations.
Is CXW a buy, sell, or hold?
CXW has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $15.5 implies -26.8% downside from current levels.
Is CXW stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 14.0199x, CXW trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $15.5 implies -26.8% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can CXW stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $17 for CXW, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $15.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $39 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CXW stock?
CXW is moderately covered, with 12 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CXW stock forecast?
The 12-month CXW stock forecast based on 12 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $15.5, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $17 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $43, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$39.
What is CXW's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CXW's fair value at $43 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $39. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
What is CXW's forward P/E ratio?
CXW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 19.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CXW stock?
Analysts are cautious on CXW, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $15.5 (-26.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CXW price targets vary so much?
CXW analyst price targets range from $14 to $17, a 19% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $15.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$39 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.