First Bancorp (FBNC) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$59.18
Price Target
$63.00
Target Range
$62.00 — $64.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E12.6x
Trailing P/E22.1x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+74.6%
Median Target$63.00
Analyst Spread3.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$62
+4.8%
Consensus
$63
+6.5%
Bull Case
$64
+8.1%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 52/100
Bear$39
Base$70
Bull$179
FBNC Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, First Bancorp (FBNC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $63.00, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $59.18, this represents a potential upside of +6.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.45B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $62.00 to a high of $64.00, representing a 3% spread in expectations. The median target of $63.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, FBNC trades at a trailing P/E of 22.1x and forward P/E of 12.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +74.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $70.36, with bear and bull scenarios of $39.24 and $178.92 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+9.9%
Avg Forward P/E11.4x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.1B | $21.36 | $22.67 | +6.1% | Buy | 10.3x | 9 |
 HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.3B | $26.86 | $32.00 | +19.1% | Hold | 10.8x | 19 |
 FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.6B | $32.39 | $39.25 | +21.2% | Hold | 15.9x | 15 |
 UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc. | $6.1B | $43.41 | $46.67 | +7.5% | Hold | 12.0x | 11 |
 NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $45.07 | $46.00 | +2.1% | Hold | 10.8x | 10 |
 WSFSWSFS Financial Corporation | $3.8B | $72.06 | $74.67 | +3.6% | Hold | 11.8x | 13 |
 TOWNTowneBank | $2.7B | $34.83 | — | — | Buy | 10.7x | 6 |
 BANRBanner Corporation | $2.2B | $65.58 | $70.00 | +6.7% | Hold | 10.5x | 13 |
 GABCGerman American Bancorp, Inc. | $1.7B | $44.08 | $48.00 | +8.9% | Hold | 11.7x | 8 |
 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. | $1.5B | $29.91 | $34.00 | +13.7% | Buy | 9.3x | 11 |
Upside Potential Comparison
FFINHOMBCNOBGABCUBSIBANRSFNCWSFSSee FBNC's True Return
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Start ComparisonFBNC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FBNC stock.
What is the FBNC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for FBNC is $63, close to the current price of $59.18 (6.5% implied move). Based on 16 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is FBNC a buy, sell, or hold?
FBNC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $63 implies 6.5% upside from current levels.
Is FBNC stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.6183x, FBNC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $63 implies 6.5% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can FBNC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $64 for FBNC, while the most conservative target is $62. The consensus of $63 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $179 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FBNC stock?
FBNC is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FBNC stock forecast?
The 12-month FBNC stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $63, with estimates ranging from $62 (bear case) to $64 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $70, with bear/bull scenarios of $39/$179.
What is FBNC's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FBNC's fair value at $70 (base case), with a bear case of $39 and bull case of $179. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is FBNC's forward P/E ratio?
FBNC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 22.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FBNC stock?
FBNC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $63 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FBNC price targets vary so much?
FBNC analyst price targets range from $62 to $64, a 3% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $63 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $39-$179 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.