13.2% Below Target

Farmers National Banc Corp. (FMNB) has a consensus 12-month price target of $16, implying 13.2% upside from $14.14. The 7 analysts covering FMNB see moderate appreciation potential.

FMNB has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $16 implies 13.2% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 9.3642x, FMNB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $16 implies 13.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for FMNB, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $16 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $21 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

FMNB is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month FMNB stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $16, with bear/bull scenarios of $10/$21.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates FMNB's fair value at $16 (base case), with a bear case of $10 and bull case of $21. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.

FMNB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on FMNB, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $16 price target (13.2% upside). 2 of 7 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

FMNB analyst price targets range from $14 to $18, a 25% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $10-$21 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.