FMNB trades 10.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes FMNB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Farmers National Banc Corp. (FMNB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.00, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.42, this represents a potential upside of +10.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $686M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $17.00 to a high of $17.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, FMNB trades at a trailing P/E of 13.4x and forward P/E of 10.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $15.93, with bear and bull scenarios of $10.04 and $20.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OVBCOhio Valley Banc Corp. | $229M | $48.61 | — | — | Buy | — | 1 |
CFFIC&F Financial Corporation | $342M | $105.12 | $115.00 | +9.4% | Buy | 11.0x | 1 |
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp, Inc. | $225M | $23.38 | $24.00 | +2.7% | Buy | 15.0x | 3 |
LARKLandmark Bancorp, Inc. | $193M | $31.72 | — | — | — | 9.2x | — |
MVBFMVB Financial Corp. | $333M | $25.91 | $30.00 | +15.8% | Buy | 19.8x | 8 |
FRSTPrimis Financial Corp | $360M | $14.48 | $18.00 | +24.3% | Buy | 11.5x | 4 |
CHMGChemung Financial Corporation | $408M | $84.75 | $93.00 | +9.7% | Hold | 10.1x | 7 |
FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc. | $11.8B | $43.84 | $54.33 | +23.9% | Buy | 8.9x | 17 |
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | $12.3B | $173.23 | $188.50 | +8.8% | Buy | 25.3x | 24 |
FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | $14.8B | $28.73 | $42.93 | +49.4% | Hold | 4.6x | 40 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FMNB stock.
Farmers National Banc Corp. (FMNB) has a consensus 12-month price target of $17, implying 10.2% upside from $15.42. The 7 analysts covering FMNB see moderate appreciation potential.
FMNB has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17 implies 10.2% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.834x, FMNB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17 implies 10.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $17 for FMNB, while the most conservative target is $17. The consensus of $17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $21 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FMNB is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FMNB stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $17 (bear case) to $17 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $16, with bear/bull scenarios of $10/$21.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FMNB's fair value at $16 (base case), with a bear case of $10 and bull case of $21. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
FMNB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on FMNB, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $17 price target (10.2% upside). 1 of 7 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FMNB analyst price targets range from $17 to $17, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $10-$21 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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