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FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.
$186.01$19.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
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Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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FTAI logo

FTAI Aviation Ltd.

FTAI
NASDAQ · Rental & Leasing
$186.01
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$19.08B
P/E40.4x
52W High$323.51
Volume1.39M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Accelerating Revenue Growth Masks Cash Flow Strain

FTAI Aviation is executing a strategic pivot toward an asset-light aerospace products model, evidenced by a 40.9% YoY revenue surge in 2026Q2 to $953.1M and a dramatic reduction in net PPE from $2.5B to $134.7M. However, the company's earnings quality is under...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FTAI price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

2/12 Beats

EPS beat 2 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+34% Peers

P/E is 34% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 26 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 74% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth accelerated to 40.9% YoY in 2026Q2, reaching $953.1M, but gross margin swung from 22.8% in 2026Q1 to 45.6% in 2026Q2, reflecting volatile product mix and leading to a 28% EPS decline despite strong top-line growth.

Analyst Consensus+72.7% target
Buy(18 analysts)
18 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong stock price appreciation

FTAI's stock price has appreciated significantly, with gains of 167.34% and 68% noted in coverage, reflecting successful execution of the investment thesis.

Operational leverage benefits

The company has realized operational leverage, contributing to its stock price growth and validating the bullish thesis.

Aftermarket growth materialization

FTAI's aftermarket growth has materialized as anticipated, driving the stock's upward performance.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FTAI-10.93%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
FTAI+3.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
FTAI+455.71%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.92%
5-Year Return
FTAI+794.03%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.69%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
40.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
31.2x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
22.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
40.4x
42.8x
50th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
22.3x
18.5x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$29.50-84.1%
Base (Fair)$75.51-60.4%
Bull$83.53-55.1%
$29.50 Bear$75.51 Base$83.53 Bull
Current Market Price: $186.01
Trades at a 146.3% premium to Base DCF ($75.51)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$2.51B+43.2% YoY
Net income
$501M+5671.3% YoY
Free cash flow
-$1.06B+20.9% YoY
Operating margin
30.7%-0.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)16.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)241.2%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate2/12 (17%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 29, 2026
$1.13-16.9%
vs $1.36
$953M+6.5%
vs $895M
Q2 2026
Apr 29, 2026
$1.29-14.0%
vs $1.50
$831M+10.8%
vs $750M
Q1 2026
Feb 25, 2026
$1.08-12.9%
vs $1.24
$662M-4.5%
vs $693M
Q4 2025
Oct 27, 2025
$1.10-9.1%
vs $1.21
$667M+1.3%
vs $659M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Benzinga·6d ago
FTAI Announced a $500 Million Buyback This Month — Here's What Else Happened

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (NASDAQ:FTAI) had a busy stretch this month that included a major financing close, a new share repurchase program and recent analyst activity.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
FTAI Aviation: A Strong Buy With 9% Yield On Aerospace And AI Power

FTAI Aviation is upgraded to a Strong Buy, driven by a $500M share repurchase program signaling a capital allocation shift toward shareholder returns. Robust growth in Aerospace Products and a $1.5B anchor order for FTAI Power underpin a multi-year total-return investment case. Transitioning to an asset-light leasing model and strategic capital vehicles supports recurring, higher-margin MRO business and enhances the free cash flow outlook.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 15, 2026
FTAI Aviation Announces $500 Million Share Repurchase Program

NEW YORK, Sept. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- FTAI Aviation Ltd. (NASDAQ: FTAI; “FTAI” or the “Company”) announced today that the board of directors of the Company (the “Board”) authorized and approved a new share repurchase program (the “Share Repurchase Program”) under which the Company may repurchase up to $500 million of its outstanding ordinary shares (collectively, the “Shares”). The Share Repurchase Program will end on the earlier of the date of completion of the repurchases and September 30, 2029. The Company expects to fund repurchases under the Share Repurchase Program using cash on its balance sheet.

Filtered for FTAI Aviation Ltd.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FTAI against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FTAI logoFTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.Current
$186.01$19.08B40.4443.24%19.98%241.16%0.66%
AL logoALAir Lease Corporation
$65.00$7.26B7.0010.32%36.09%13.23%—
AER logoAERAerCap Holdings N.V.
$144.76$22.83B6.802.4%40.87%18.52%—
GATX logoGATXGATX Corporation
$185.70$6.59B20.369.77%17.94%10.83%—
WLFC logoWLFCWillis Lease Finance Corporation
$54.38$3.9B31.8018.73%12.04%12.63%—
TDG logoTDGTransDigm Group Incorporated
$1105.28$61.82B34.4511.22%21.28%——

Compare FTAI vs Peers

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs AL

Most directly comparable listed peer for FTAI.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare FTAI against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs AL, AER, GATX, WLFC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FTAI SEC Filings & Documents

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 27, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 3, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 26, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 1, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 29, 2025·SEC

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FTAI Frequently Asked Questions

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is FTAI Aviation Ltd.'s revenue?

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) reported $3.11B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 89120% increase from $3.5M in 2012.

How fast is FTAI Aviation Ltd. growing?

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) grew revenue by 43.2% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is FTAI profitable?

Yes, FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) is profitable, generating $496.3M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (20.0% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does FTAI pay dividends?

Yes, FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.66%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is FTAI's return on equity?

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) has a return on equity (ROE) of 241.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is FTAI Aviation Ltd.'s free cash flow?

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) had negative free cash flow of $1.23B in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in FTAI back in 2012?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 14+ years of data

See returns →