GRNT trades 134.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $11.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GRNT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $11.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.69, this represents a potential upside of +134.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $619M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $11.00 to a high of $11.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $11.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, GRNT trades at a trailing P/E of 26.1x and forward P/E of 9.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +293.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $5.86, with bear and bull scenarios of $3.69 and $7.72 respectively. Model confidence stands at 32/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTLEVital Energy, Inc. | $693M | $17.92 | $45.71 | +155.1% | Hold | 4.0x | 36 |
CIVICivitas Resources, Inc. | $2.3B | $27.38 | $33.00 | +20.5% | Hold | 6.8x | 16 |
BATLBattalion Oil Corporation | $20M | $1.20 | — | — | Buy | 5.2x | 2 |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $203M | $5.00 | $8.95 | +79.0% | Hold | 5.3x | 12 |
DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P. | $1.2B | $25.00 | — | — | — | — | — |
BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.0B | $14.01 | $16.00 | +14.2% | Buy | 19.7x | 16 |
VNOMViper Energy, Inc. | $15.5B | $43.21 | $56.89 | +31.7% | Buy | 16.4x | 42 |
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation | $24.5B | $355.11 | $639.00 | +79.9% | Buy | 38.7x | 5 |
HALHalliburton Company | $29.2B | $34.93 | $39.64 | +13.5% | Buy | 14.8x | 64 |
SLBSLB N.V. | $72.2B | $48.09 | $60.46 | +25.7% | Buy | 18.6x | 66 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GRNT stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GRNT is $11, representing 134.5% upside from the current price of $4.69. With 3 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GRNT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 2 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $11 implies 134.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.7303x, GRNT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11 implies 134.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $11 for GRNT, while the most conservative target is $11. The consensus of $11 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $8 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GRNT is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GRNT stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $11 (bear case) to $11 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $6, with bear/bull scenarios of $4/$8.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GRNT's fair value at $6 (base case), with a bear case of $4 and bull case of $8. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 32/100.
GRNT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GRNT, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $11 price target (134.5% upside). 1 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GRNT analyst price targets range from $11 to $11, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $4-$8 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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