Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 26, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 17 analysts21.2% Below Target
HRI trades 21.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $183.40.
Current Price$151.26
Average Target$183.40
Target
Current
Low$165.00
Median$189.00
High$198.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E25.2x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+4101.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread18.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes HRI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 25.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 17 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
HRI Price Target Analysis
Updated June 28, 2026As of June 28, 2026, Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $183.40, based on estimates from 17 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $151.26, this represents a potential upside of +21.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.05B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $165.00 to a high of $198.00, representing a 18% spread in expectations. The median target of $189.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, HRI trades at a trailing P/E of 4726.9x and forward P/E of 25.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4101.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $298.09, with bear and bull scenarios of $187.79 and $392.76 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+12.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
25.5x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 URIUnited Rentals, Inc. | $70.3B | $1121.66 | $1083.45 | -3.4% | Buy | 23.8x | 40 |
 KFRCKforce Inc. | $905M | $49.51 | $71.00 | +43.4% | Hold | 20.6x | 10 |
 MGRCMcGrath RentCorp | $3.0B | $123.31 | $140.00 | +13.5% | Buy | 19.4x | 5 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $464.1B | $997.47 | $895.20 | -10.3% | Buy | 40.4x | 56 |
 AHCOAdaptHealth Corp. | $1.4B | $10.29 | $14.40 | +39.9% | Buy | 12.2x | 12 |
 WSCWillScot Holdings Corporation | $5.2B | $28.86 | $26.20 | -9.2% | Buy | 26.7x | 13 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.2B | $49.72 | $49.25 | -0.9% | Hold | 29.7x | 34 |
 BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $9.9B | $89.14 | $106.38 | +19.3% | Buy | 20.9x | 43 |
 DEDeere & Company | $165.5B | $613.24 | $690.00 | +12.5% | Hold | 33.9x | 46 |
 CNHCNH Industrial N.V. | $13.7B | $11.03 | $13.39 | +21.4% | Buy | 27.2x | 14 |
HRI — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying HRI stock.
What is the HRI stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for HRI is $183.4, representing 21.2% upside from the current price of $151.26. With 17 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is HRI a buy, sell, or hold?
HRI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 13 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $183.4 implies 21.2% upside from current levels.
Is HRI stock overvalued or undervalued?
HRI trades at a forward P/E of 25.1676x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $183.4 (21.2% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can HRI stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $198 for HRI, while the most conservative target is $165. The consensus of $183.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $393 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover HRI stock?
HRI is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the HRI stock forecast?
The 12-month HRI stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $183.4, with estimates ranging from $165 (bear case) to $198 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $298, with bear/bull scenarios of $188/$393.
What is HRI's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates HRI's fair value at $298 (base case), with a bear case of $188 and bull case of $393. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
What is HRI's forward P/E ratio?
HRI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 4726.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy HRI stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on HRI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $183.4 price target (21.2% upside). 13 of 17 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do HRI price targets vary so much?
HRI analyst price targets range from $165 to $198, a 18% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $183.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $188-$393 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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