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IRDM logoIridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026

Current Price
$39.23
Market reference
Price Target
$35.50
-9.5% Upside
Target Range
$26.00 — $45.00
Wide divergence
Analyst Rating
Buy
13 analysts
Forward P/E35.3x
Trailing P/E37.0x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+12.3%
Median Target$35.50
Analyst Spread53.5%

IRDM trades 9.5% above the consensus target of $35.50. Current price reflects optimism beyond analyst expectations.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$39.23
Consensus$35.50
High$45.00
Low$26.00
Model$51.90
Bear Case
$26
-33.7%
Consensus
$36
-9.5%
Bull Case
$45
+14.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 59/100
Bear$3
Base$52
Bull$38

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 13 published analyst recommendations for IRDM

38% hold / mixed conviction
+8
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 13 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage13 Analysts
Net Score+8
Bull / Bear38% / 23%
Strong Buy00%
Buy538%
Hold538%
Sell323%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
538%
Hold
538%
Sell
323%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix38% Buy · 38% Hold · 23% Sell
Buy (5)Hold (5)Sell (3)

IRDM Price Target Analysis

Updated May 6, 2026

As of May 6, 2026, Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $35.50, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $39.23, this represents a potential downside of -9.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.15B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $26.00 to a high of $45.00, representing a 54% spread in expectations. The median target of $35.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, IRDM trades at a trailing P/E of 37.0x and forward P/E of 35.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +12.3% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $51.90, with bear and bull scenarios of $2.89 and $38.07 respectively. Model confidence stands at 59/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Communication Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+0.1%
Avg Forward P/E1228.2x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
VSAT logoVSATViasat, Inc.$8.5B$65.57$57.67-12.0%Buy—20
GSAT logoGSATGlobalstar, Inc.$10.4B$81.88$66.00-19.4%Hold—5
GILT logoGILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.$1.5B$20.07$7.00-65.1%Buy40.1x2
ASTS logoASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.$18.7B$63.87$103.65+62.3%Buy—7
SATS logoSATSEchoStar Corporation$15.4B$117.34$131.00+11.6%Buy—11
TSAT logoTSATTelesat Corporation$701M$47.70$20.00-58.1%Hold—1
LMT logoLMTLockheed Martin Corporation$117.3B$509.02$635.11+24.8%Buy17.0x37
BA logoBAThe Boeing Company$176.9B$224.38$263.67+17.5%Buy4835.8x54
NOC logoNOCNorthrop Grumman Corporation$79.3B$558.60$731.46+30.9%Buy20.0x35
SPCE logoSPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.$155M$2.45$2.65+8.2%Hold—17

Upside Potential Comparison

ASTS logoASTS
+62.3%
NOC logoNOC
+30.9%
LMT logoLMT
+24.8%
BA logoBA
+17.5%
SATS logoSATS
+11.6%
SPCE logoSPCE
+8.2%
VSAT logoVSAT
-12.0%
GSAT logoGSAT
-19.4%

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Is IRDM Undervalued?

DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.

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IRDM — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying IRDM stock.

What is the IRDM stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for IRDM is $35.5, -9.5% from its current price of $39.225. The below-market target from 13 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is IRDM a buy, sell, or hold?

IRDM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $35.5 implies -9.5% downside from current levels.

Is IRDM stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 35.2648x, IRDM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $35.5 (-9.5% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

How high can IRDM stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $45 for IRDM, while the most conservative target is $26. The consensus of $35.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $38 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover IRDM stock?

IRDM is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the IRDM stock forecast?

The 12-month IRDM stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $35.5, with estimates ranging from $26 (bear case) to $45 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $52, with bear/bull scenarios of $3/$38.

What is IRDM's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates IRDM's fair value at $52 (base case), with a bear case of $3 and bull case of $38. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 59/100.

What is IRDM's forward P/E ratio?

IRDM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 35.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 37.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy IRDM stock?

Analysts are cautious on IRDM, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $35.5 (-9.5% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do IRDM price targets vary so much?

IRDM analyst price targets range from $26 to $45, a 54% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $35.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $3-$38 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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