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$56.70$1.3B
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LGIH logo

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 13 analysts

56.6% Below Target

LGIH trades 56.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $88.80.

Current Price$56.70
Average Target$88.80
Target
Current
Low$60.00
Median$85.00
High$125.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E19.8x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-6.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread73.2%
(Wide Disagreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$56.70
Consensus$88.80
High$125.00
Low$60.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes LGIH achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 19.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 13 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 13 published analyst recommendations for LGIH

31% hold / mixed conviction
+19
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 13 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage13 Analysts
Net Score+19
Bull / Bear54% / 15%
Strong Buy00%
Buy754%
Hold431%
Sell215%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
754%
Hold
431%
Sell
215%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix54% Buy · 31% Hold · 15% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (4)Sell (2)

LGIH Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $88.80, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $56.70, this represents a potential upside of +56.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.31B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $60.00 to a high of $125.00, representing a 73% spread in expectations. The median target of $85.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, LGIH trades at a trailing P/E of 18.2x and forward P/E of 19.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -6.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $77.90, with bear and bull scenarios of $49.08 and $102.64 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+8.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
15.8x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
DHI logo
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.
$45.7B$157.81$163.86
+3.8%
Hold14.9x52
LEN logo
LENLennar Corporation
$22.3B$89.73$89.17
-0.6%
Buy15.8x50
PHM logo
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.
$24.4B$126.96$144.50
+13.8%
Hold12.7x44
TOL logo
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.
$14.7B$155.67$173.88
+11.7%
Hold12.2x46
TMHC logo
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation
$6.7B$71.58$72.75
+1.6%
Buy13.5x31
SKY logo
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.
$4.6B$83.34$93.00
+11.6%
Buy22.1x8
KBH logo
KBHKB Home
$3.4B$54.20$60.43
+11.5%
Hold16.9x43
MHO logo
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.
$3.8B$149.09$165.00
+10.7%
Hold11.3x10
CVCO logo
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.
$4.6B$601.51$700.00
+16.4%
Buy25.2x2
GRBK logo
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.
$3.2B$74.61——Hold12.8x12

LGIH — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LGIH stock.

What is the LGIH stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for LGIH is $88.8, representing 56.6% upside from the current price of $56.7. With 13 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is LGIH a buy, sell, or hold?

LGIH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $88.8 implies 56.6% upside from current levels.

Is LGIH stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 19.8252x, LGIH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $88.8 implies 56.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can LGIH stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $125 for LGIH, while the most conservative target is $60. The consensus of $88.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $103 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover LGIH stock?

LGIH is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the LGIH stock forecast?

The 12-month LGIH stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $88.8, with estimates ranging from $60 (bear case) to $125 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $78, with bear/bull scenarios of $49/$103.

What is LGIH's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates LGIH's fair value at $78 (base case), with a bear case of $49 and bull case of $103. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.

What is LGIH's forward P/E ratio?

LGIH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy LGIH stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LGIH, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $88.8 price target (56.6% upside). 7 of 13 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do LGIH price targets vary so much?

LGIH analyst price targets range from $60 to $125, a 73% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $88.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $49-$103 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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