LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$46.29
Price Target
$88.80
Target Range
$60.00 — $125.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E16.6x
Trailing P/E14.8x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-8.2%
Median Target$85.00
Analyst Spread73.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$60
+29.6%
Consensus
$89
+91.8%
Bull Case
$125
+170.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 52/100
Bear$33
Base$45
Bull$290
LGIH Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $88.80, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $46.29, this represents a potential upside of +91.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.07B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $60.00 to a high of $125.00, representing a 73% spread in expectations. The median target of $85.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, LGIH trades at a trailing P/E of 14.8x and forward P/E of 16.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -8.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $44.66, with bear and bull scenarios of $33.10 and $289.53 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+21.4%
Avg Forward P/E13.7x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $42.3B | $145.97 | $163.86 | +12.3% | Hold | 13.7x | 52 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $18.9B | $87.74 | $102.14 | +16.4% | Buy | 14.2x | 50 |
 PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $22.5B | $116.88 | $141.22 | +20.8% | Hold | 11.7x | 44 |
 TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $13.0B | $137.07 | $166.75 | +21.6% | Hold | 10.7x | 46 |
 TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation | $5.6B | $59.47 | $73.75 | +24.0% | Buy | 11.2x | 30 |
 SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.1B | $73.28 | $106.00 | +44.7% | Buy | 19.4x | 8 |
 KBHKB Home | $3.1B | $49.18 | $62.57 | +27.2% | Hold | 15.0x | 43 |
 MHOM/I Homes, Inc. | $3.4B | $130.01 | $165.00 | +26.9% | Hold | 9.9x | 10 |
 CVCOCavco Industries, Inc. | $4.6B | $482.34 | $475.00 | -1.5% | Buy | 20.2x | 2 |
 GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.8B | $65.68 | — | — | Hold | 11.0x | 11 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonLGIH — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LGIH stock.
What is the LGIH stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for LGIH is $88.8, representing 91.8% upside from the current price of $46.29. With 13 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is LGIH a buy, sell, or hold?
LGIH has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $88.8 implies 91.8% upside from current levels.
Is LGIH stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 16.5617x, LGIH trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $88.8 implies 91.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can LGIH stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $125 for LGIH, while the most conservative target is $60. The consensus of $88.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $290 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover LGIH stock?
LGIH is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the LGIH stock forecast?
The 12-month LGIH stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $88.8, with estimates ranging from $60 (bear case) to $125 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $45, with bear/bull scenarios of $33/$290.
What is LGIH's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LGIH's fair value at $45 (base case), with a bear case of $33 and bull case of $290. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is LGIH's forward P/E ratio?
LGIH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy LGIH stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LGIH, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $88.8 price target (91.8% upside). 7 of 13 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do LGIH price targets vary so much?
LGIH analyst price targets range from $60 to $125, a 73% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $88.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $33-$290 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.