DHI trades 14.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $160.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes DHI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 53 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $160.00, based on estimates from 53 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $140.17, this represents a potential upside of +14.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $39.21B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $190.00, representing a 31% spread in expectations. The median target of $145.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 25 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,25 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, DHI trades at a trailing P/E of 12.1x and forward P/E of 13.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.07 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -1.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $181.12, with bear and bull scenarios of $114.10 and $238.64 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LENLennar Corporation | $20.2B | $81.52 | $79.86 | -2.0% | Buy | 14.9x | 50 |
 PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $22.9B | $118.71 | $143.86 | +21.2% | Hold | 11.7x | 44 |
 NVRNVR, Inc. | $16.9B | $6246.31 | $7148.67 | +14.4% | Buy | 17.3x | 25 |
 TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $12.6B | $135.29 | $167.67 | +23.9% | Buy | 10.6x | 46 |
 MHOM/I Homes, Inc. | $3.6B | $137.77 | $172.00 | +24.8% | Hold | 11.4x | 10 |
 SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.7B | $85.46 | $107.67 | +26.0% | Buy | 22.7x | 9 |
 KBHKB Home | $3.0B | $47.15 | $58.60 | +24.3% | Hold | 14.2x | 44 |
 TPHTri Pointe Homes, Inc. | $4.0B | $46.96 | $39.67 | -15.5% | Hold | 24.5x | 22 |
 TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corporation | $7.1B | $72.45 | $73.50 | +1.4% | Hold | 13.7x | 31 |
 CVCOCavco Industries, Inc. | $4.2B | $541.84 | $700.00 | +29.2% | Buy | 22.7x | 2 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DHI stock.
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) has a consensus 12-month price target of $160, implying 14.1% upside from $140.17. The 53 analysts covering DHI see moderate appreciation potential.
DHI has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 53 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 25 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $160 implies 14.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.3903x, DHI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $160 implies 14.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $190 for DHI, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $160 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $239 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DHI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 53 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 2 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DHI stock forecast based on 53 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $160, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $190 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $181, with bear/bull scenarios of $114/$239.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DHI's fair value at $181 (base case), with a bear case of $114 and bull case of $239. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
DHI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on DHI, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $160 price target (14.1% upside). 25 of 53 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DHI analyst price targets range from $140 to $190, a 31% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $160 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $114-$239 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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