Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$500.33
Price Target
$475.00
Target Range
$455.00 — $495.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E21.0x
Trailing P/E24.2x
Forward PEG1.02
Implied Growth-29.2%
Median Target$475.00
Analyst Spread8.4%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$455
-9.1%
Consensus
$475
-5.1%
Bull Case
$495
-1.1%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 49/100
Bear$423
Base$871
Bull$1158
CVCO Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $475.00, based on estimates from 2 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $500.33, this represents a potential downside of -5.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.74B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $455.00 to a high of $495.00, representing a 8% spread in expectations. The median target of $475.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CVCO trades at a trailing P/E of 24.2x and forward P/E of 21.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.02 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -29.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $871.36, with bear and bull scenarios of $423.42 and $1157.53 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+17.5%
Avg Forward P/E35.2x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $4.2B | $75.92 | $106.00 | +39.6% | Buy | 20.1x | 8 |
 LESLLeslie's, Inc. | $14M | $1.52 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PATKPatrick Industries, Inc. | $3.2B | $95.90 | $126.50 | +31.9% | Buy | 18.3x | 17 |
 PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $23.1B | $120.10 | $141.22 | +17.6% | Hold | 12.0x | 44 |
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $43.2B | $149.17 | $163.86 | +9.8% | Hold | 14.0x | 52 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $19.5B | $90.54 | $102.14 | +12.8% | Buy | 14.7x | 50 |
 TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $13.4B | $141.60 | $166.75 | +17.8% | Hold | 11.1x | 46 |
 SUISun Communities, Inc. | $15.5B | $125.92 | $140.29 | +11.4% | Buy | 47.1x | 20 |
 ELSEquity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | $12.3B | $63.32 | $70.57 | +11.4% | Buy | 31.1x | 21 |
 UMHUMH Properties, Inc. | $1.3B | $15.73 | $16.50 | +4.9% | Buy | 148.4x | 15 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonCVCO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CVCO stock.
What is the CVCO stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for CVCO is $475, -5.1% from its current price of $500.33. The below-market target from 2 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is CVCO a buy, sell, or hold?
CVCO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 2 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 1 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $475 implies -5.1% downside from current levels.
Is CVCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
CVCO trades at a forward P/E of 20.9984x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $475 (-5.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can CVCO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $495 for CVCO, while the most conservative target is $455. The consensus of $475 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1158 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CVCO stock?
CVCO is lightly followed, with 2 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CVCO stock forecast?
The 12-month CVCO stock forecast based on 2 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $475, with estimates ranging from $455 (bear case) to $495 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $871, with bear/bull scenarios of $423/$1158.
What is CVCO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CVCO's fair value at $871 (base case), with a bear case of $423 and bull case of $1158. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
What is CVCO's forward P/E ratio?
CVCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CVCO stock?
Analysts are cautious on CVCO, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $475 (-5.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CVCO price targets vary so much?
CVCO analyst price targets range from $455 to $495, a 8% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $475 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $423-$1158 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.