CVCO trades 8.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $690.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CVCO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 26.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $690.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $638.55, this represents a potential upside of +8.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.92B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $650.00 to a high of $720.00, representing a 10% spread in expectations. The median target of $700.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CVCO trades at a trailing P/E of 26.8x and forward P/E of 26.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.13 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +0.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $805.38, with bear and bull scenarios of $507.39 and $1061.17 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKYChampion Homes, Inc. | $5.0B | $91.40 | $107.67 | +17.8% | Buy | 26.9x | 9 |
LESLLeslie's, Inc. | $514770 | $0.06 | — | — | — | — | — |
PATKPatrick Industries, Inc. | $2.6B | $78.79 | $96.80 | +22.9% | Buy | 19.5x | 17 |
PHMPulteGroup, Inc. | $25.6B | $132.49 | $139.55 | +5.3% | Buy | 14.1x | 44 |
DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $42.6B | $152.28 | $157.17 | +3.2% | Hold | 14.6x | 53 |
LENLennar Corporation | $22.0B | $88.74 | $77.38 | -12.8% | Buy | 18.5x | 50 |
TOLToll Brothers, Inc. | $14.3B | $152.56 | $167.75 | +10.0% | Buy | 12.0x | 46 |
SUISun Communities, Inc. | $14.8B | $120.30 | $136.36 | +13.4% | Buy | — | 21 |
ELSEquity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | $12.2B | $62.95 | $65.22 | +3.6% | Buy | 30.6x | 22 |
UMHUMH Properties, Inc. | $1.3B | $14.92 | $17.75 | +19.0% | Buy | 90.4x | 15 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CVCO stock.
The consensus price target for CVCO is $690, close to the current price of $638.55 (8.1% implied move). Based on 3 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
CVCO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $690 implies 8.1% upside from current levels.
CVCO trades at a forward P/E of 26.7993x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $690 (8.1% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $720 for CVCO, while the most conservative target is $650. The consensus of $690 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1061 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CVCO is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CVCO stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $690, with estimates ranging from $650 (bear case) to $720 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $805, with bear/bull scenarios of $507/$1061.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CVCO's fair value at $805 (base case), with a bear case of $507 and bull case of $1061. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
CVCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
CVCO appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $690 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CVCO analyst price targets range from $650 to $720, a 10% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $690 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $507-$1061 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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