13.8% Below Target

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $144.5, implying 13.8% upside from $126.96. The 44 analysts covering PHM see moderate appreciation potential.

PHM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 22 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $144.5 implies 13.8% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 12.6908x, PHM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $144.5 implies 13.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $162 for PHM, while the most conservative target is $115. The consensus of $144.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $191 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

PHM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 44 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 19 have Buy ratings, 22 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month PHM stock forecast based on 44 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $144.5, with estimates ranging from $115 (bear case) to $162 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $145, with bear/bull scenarios of $91/$191.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates PHM's fair value at $145 (base case), with a bear case of $91 and bull case of $191. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

PHM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.4x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on PHM, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $144.5 price target (13.8% upside). 19 of 44 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

PHM analyst price targets range from $115 to $162, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $144.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $91-$191 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.