Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 1, 2026, Li Auto Inc. (LI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $21.62, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $17.59, this represents a potential upside of +22.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $35.32B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $15.00 to a high of $30.50, representing a 72% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, LI trades at a trailing P/E of 16.0x and forward P/E of 3.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $163.07, with bear and bull scenarios of $-22251.82 and $175.84 respectively. Model confidence stands at 28/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
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Start ComparisonThe consensus Wall Street price target for LI is $21.62, representing 22.9% upside from the current price of $17.59. With 15 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
LI has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $21.62 implies 22.9% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 3.7337x, LI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $21.62 implies 22.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $30.5 for LI, while the most conservative target is $15. The consensus of $21.62 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $176 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
LI is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month LI stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $21.62, with estimates ranging from $15 (bear case) to $30.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $163, with bear/bull scenarios of $-22252/$176.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LI's fair value at $163 (base case), with a bear case of $-22252 and bull case of $176. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 28/100.
LI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 3.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LI, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $21.62 price target (22.9% upside). 6 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LI analyst price targets range from $15 to $30.5, a 72% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $21.62 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-22252-$176 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.