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LI logo

Li Auto Inc. (LI) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 16 analysts

32.6% Below Target

LI trades 32.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.51.

Current Price$13.21
Average Target$17.51
Target
Current
Low$14.00
Median$17.75
High$22.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E17.7x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-31.2%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread45.7%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$13.21
Consensus$17.51
High$22.00
Low$14.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes LI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 16 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 16 published analyst recommendations for LI

50% hold / mixed conviction
+19
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 16 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage16 Analysts
Net Score+19
Bull / Bear44% / 6%
Strong Buy00%
Buy744%
Hold850%
Sell16%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
744%
Hold
850%
Sell
16%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix44% Buy · 50% Hold · 6% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (8)Sell (1)

LI Price Target Analysis

Updated June 20, 2026

As of June 20, 2026, Li Auto Inc. (LI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.51, based on estimates from 16 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $13.21, this represents a potential upside of +32.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.34B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 46% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.75 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, LI trades at a trailing P/E of 85.9x and forward P/E of 17.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -31.2% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $116.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $73.66 and $154.05 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+23.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
63.8x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
NIO logo
NIONIO Inc.
$11.8B$5.02$6.54
+30.3%
Buy—24
XPEV logo
XPEVXPeng Inc.
$12.5B$13.21$21.55
+63.1%
Buy—17
ZK logo
ZKZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited
$6.8B$26.73$33.25
+24.4%
Buy2.3x2
TSLA logo
TSLATesla, Inc.
$1.5T$400.49$450.45
+12.5%
Hold212.2x81
RIVN logo
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$20.4B$16.52$17.30
+4.7%
Buy—29
LCID logo
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.
$1.8B$5.36$6.00
+11.9%
Hold—15
PSNY logo
PSNYPolestar Automotive Holding UK PLC
$1.4B$20.07$15.00
-25.3%
Sell—5
QS logo
QSQuantumScape Corporation
$4.9B$8.04$9.60
+19.4%
Hold—11
APTV logo
APTVAptiv PLC
$13.5B$63.68$88.63
+39.2%
Buy10.3x33
MBLY logo
MBLYMobileye Global Inc.
$6.9B$8.46$13.32
+57.4%
Buy30.6x26

LI — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LI stock.

What is the LI stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for LI is $17.51, representing 32.6% upside from the current price of $13.21. With 16 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is LI a buy, sell, or hold?

LI has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 16 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17.51 implies 32.6% upside from current levels.

Is LI stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 17.7149x, LI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17.51 implies 32.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can LI stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for LI, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $17.51 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $154 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover LI stock?

LI is well covered by analysts, with 16 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the LI stock forecast?

The 12-month LI stock forecast based on 16 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17.51, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $117, with bear/bull scenarios of $74/$154.

What is LI's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates LI's fair value at $117 (base case), with a bear case of $74 and bull case of $154. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.

What is LI's forward P/E ratio?

LI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 85.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy LI stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LI, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $17.51 price target (32.6% upside). 7 of 16 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do LI price targets vary so much?

LI analyst price targets range from $14 to $22, a 46% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17.51 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $74-$154 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into LI consensus models and risk factors.

View Analysis

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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DCA Calculator

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

Compare