RIVN trades 11.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $16.89.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes RIVN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 23, 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $16.89, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.14, this represents a potential upside of +11.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $18.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $13.00 to a high of $22.00, representing a 53% spread in expectations. The median target of $16.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, RIVN trades at a trailing P/E of -4.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.6% over the next year.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LCIDLucid Group, Inc. | $1.4B | $4.32 | $7.60 | +75.9% | Hold | — | 15 |
 TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.5T | $378.90 | $462.77 | +22.1% | Hold | 224.2x | 82 |
 FFord Motor Company | $52.2B | $13.10 | $16.38 | +25.0% | Hold | 7.1x | 47 |
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $75.5B | $83.45 | $101.00 | +21.0% | Buy | 6.2x | 51 |
 STLAStellantis N.V. | $14.0B | $4.83 | $6.43 | +33.1% | Hold | 14.0x | 16 |
 BLNKBlink Charging Co. | $84M | $0.59 | — | — | — | — | — |
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.7T | $254.98 | $326.33 | +28.0% | Buy | 20.0x | 94 |
 ALBAlbemarle Corporation | $13.8B | $116.80 | $202.63 | +73.5% | Buy | 10.2x | 45 |
 MPMP Materials Corp. | $9.1B | $51.04 | $80.70 | +58.1% | Buy | 3725.5x | 14 |
 APTVAptiv PLC | $9.4B | $44.61 | $68.90 | +54.4% | Buy | 7.8x | 33 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RIVN stock.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) has a consensus 12-month price target of $16.89, implying 11.6% upside from $15.14. The 29 analysts covering RIVN see moderate appreciation potential.
RIVN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $16.89 implies 11.6% upside from current levels.
RIVN's current price is $15.14 with a consensus target of $16.89 (11.6% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $22 for RIVN, while the most conservative target is $13. The consensus of $16.89 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
RIVN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month RIVN stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $16.89, with estimates ranging from $13 (bear case) to $22 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on RIVN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $16.89 price target (11.6% upside). 14 of 29 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
RIVN analyst price targets range from $13 to $22, a 53% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $16.89 consensus represents the middle ground.
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