LII trades 4.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $556.30.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes LII achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 21.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 30 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Lennox International Inc. (LII) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $556.30, based on estimates from 30 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $532.43, this represents a potential upside of +4.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $18.53B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $450.00 to a high of $650.00, representing a 36% spread in expectations. The median target of $542.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, LII trades at a trailing P/E of 24.0x and forward P/E of 21.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.14 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +8.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $552.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $347.77 and $727.33 respectively. Model confidence stands at 55/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CARRCarrier Global Corporation | $60.0B | $71.81 | $68.86 | -4.1% | Buy | 25.6x | 26 |
TTTrane Technologies plc | $107.0B | $483.40 | $525.00 | +8.6% | Hold | 32.4x | 26 |
JCIJohnson Controls International plc | $88.4B | $144.82 | $156.40 | +8.0% | Buy | 29.6x | 45 |
ALLEAllegion plc | $11.5B | $133.57 | $162.33 | +21.5% | Hold | 15.2x | 23 |
AAONAAON, Inc. | $11.2B | $136.72 | $119.00 | -13.0% | Buy | 60.4x | 5 |
WSOWatsco, Inc. | $16.3B | $401.04 | $407.00 | +1.5% | Hold | 31.6x | 26 |
SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc. | $12.2B | $242.97 | $252.00 | +3.7% | Buy | 30.3x | 12 |
NDSNNordson Corporation | $16.5B | $295.92 | $323.80 | +9.4% | Buy | 25.5x | 21 |
RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated | $20.2B | $639.18 | $598.00 | -6.4% | Buy | 52.5x | 26 |
AIXIXiao-I Corporation | $3M | $6.26 | — | — | — | — | — |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LII stock.
The consensus price target for LII is $556.3, close to the current price of $532.43 (4.5% implied move). Based on 30 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
LII has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 30 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 16 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $556.3 implies 4.5% upside from current levels.
LII trades at a forward P/E of 21.9259x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $556.3 (4.5% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $650 for LII, while the most conservative target is $450. The consensus of $556.3 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $727 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
LII is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 30 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month LII stock forecast based on 30 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $556.3, with estimates ranging from $450 (bear case) to $650 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $552, with bear/bull scenarios of $348/$727.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LII's fair value at $552 (base case), with a bear case of $348 and bull case of $727. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.
LII trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
LII appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $556.3 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LII analyst price targets range from $450 to $650, a 36% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $556.3 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $348-$727 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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