Watsco, Inc. (WSO) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$420.68
Price Target
$399.80
Target Range
$349.00 — $485.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E33.4x
Trailing P/E34.3x
Forward PEG2.83
Implied Growth-3.5%
Median Target$370.00
Analyst Spread34.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$349
-17.0%
Consensus
$400
-5.0%
Bull Case
$485
+15.3%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 51/100
Bear$296
Base$421
Bull$579
WSO Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $399.80, based on estimates from 26 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $420.68, this represents a potential downside of -5.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $17.10B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $349.00 to a high of $485.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $370.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, WSO trades at a trailing P/E of 34.3x and forward P/E of 33.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.83 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -3.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $420.58, with bear and bull scenarios of $295.53 and $578.59 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+17.5%
Avg Forward P/E31.3x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc. | $54.0B | $1134.78 | $1157.43 | +2.0% | Hold | 26.0x | 38 |
 MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | $5.7B | $103.01 | $97.75 | -5.1% | Hold | 23.7x | 28 |
 FASTFastenal Company | $50.9B | $44.33 | $46.57 | +5.1% | Hold | 35.8x | 31 |
 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $7.6B | $282.37 | $293.00 | +3.8% | Hold | 25.4x | 27 |
 BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $8.2B | $74.56 | $109.92 | +47.4% | Buy | 13.2x | 43 |
 POOLPool Corporation | $6.9B | $187.04 | $279.29 | +49.3% | Buy | 16.9x | 21 |
 CARRCarrier Global Corporation | $53.6B | $64.18 | $67.50 | +5.2% | Buy | 23.1x | 26 |
 TTTrane Technologies plc | $105.7B | $477.45 | $518.50 | +8.6% | Hold | 32.2x | 25 |
 LIILennox International Inc. | $18.2B | $522.20 | $553.45 | +6.0% | Hold | 21.5x | 30 |
 DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $12.0B | $24.17 | $36.88 | +52.6% | Buy | 95.0x | 48 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonWSO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying WSO stock.
What is the WSO stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for WSO is $399.8, -5.0% from its current price of $420.68. The below-market target from 26 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is WSO a buy, sell, or hold?
WSO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 26 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 16 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $399.8 implies -5.0% downside from current levels.
Is WSO stock overvalued or undervalued?
WSO trades at a forward P/E of 33.368x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $399.8 (-5.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can WSO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $485 for WSO, while the most conservative target is $349. The consensus of $399.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $579 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover WSO stock?
WSO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 26 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the WSO stock forecast?
The 12-month WSO stock forecast based on 26 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $399.8, with estimates ranging from $349 (bear case) to $485 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $421, with bear/bull scenarios of $296/$579.
What is WSO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates WSO's fair value at $421 (base case), with a bear case of $296 and bull case of $579. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
What is WSO's forward P/E ratio?
WSO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 34.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy WSO stock?
Analysts are cautious on WSO, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $399.8 (-5.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do WSO price targets vary so much?
WSO analyst price targets range from $349 to $485, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $399.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $296-$579 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.