WSO trades 24.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $405.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes WSO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 26.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 27 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Watsco, Inc. (WSO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $405.00, based on estimates from 27 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $325.37, this represents a potential upside of +24.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.40B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $330.00 to a high of $485.00, representing a 38% spread in expectations. The median target of $402.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, WSO trades at a trailing P/E of 26.6x and forward P/E of 26.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.28 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -3.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $408.89, with bear and bull scenarios of $257.60 and $538.76 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc. | $60.0B | $1270.67 | $1312.00 | +3.3% | Hold | 27.3x | 39 |
 MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | $6.9B | $124.10 | $145.00 | +16.8% | Hold | 26.8x | 29 |
 FASTFastenal Company | $58.5B | $50.99 | $49.00 | -3.9% | Hold | 40.2x | 32 |
 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. | $5.5B | $202.79 | $236.86 | +16.8% | Hold | 19.4x | 27 |
 BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $6.4B | $59.16 | $84.77 | +43.3% | Buy | 19.0x | 43 |
 POOLPool Corporation | $6.1B | $166.61 | $211.57 | +27.0% | Buy | 15.2x | 21 |
 CARRCarrier Global Corporation | $45.4B | $55.10 | $74.75 | +35.7% | Buy | 19.0x | 26 |
 TTTrane Technologies plc | $96.7B | $437.23 | $546.88 | +25.1% | Hold | 28.6x | 27 |
 LIILennox International Inc. | $12.9B | $372.34 | $529.67 | +42.3% | Hold | 15.8x | 30 |
 DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $10.5B | $21.25 | $33.56 | +57.9% | Buy | 181.2x | 48 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying WSO stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for WSO is $405, representing 24.5% upside from the current price of $325.37. With 27 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
WSO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 17 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $405 implies 24.5% upside from current levels.
WSO trades at a forward P/E of 26.9402x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $405 (24.5% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $485 for WSO, while the most conservative target is $330. The consensus of $405 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $539 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
WSO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 8 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month WSO stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $405, with estimates ranging from $330 (bear case) to $485 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $409, with bear/bull scenarios of $258/$539.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates WSO's fair value at $409 (base case), with a bear case of $258 and bull case of $539. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
WSO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.6x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on WSO, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $405 price target (24.5% upside). 8 of 27 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
WSO analyst price targets range from $330 to $485, a 38% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $405 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $258-$539 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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