Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$72.49
Price Target
$102.00
Target Range
$90.00 — $115.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E28.7x
Trailing P/E34.9x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+21.2%
Median Target$99.50
Analyst Spread24.5%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$90
+24.2%
Consensus
$102
+40.7%
Bull Case
$115
+58.6%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 51/100
Bear$0
Base$102
Bull$587
LPX Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $102.00, based on estimates from 23 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $72.49, this represents a potential upside of +40.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.06B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $90.00 to a high of $115.00, representing a 25% spread in expectations. The median target of $99.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, LPX trades at a trailing P/E of 34.9x and forward P/E of 28.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $101.88, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.35 and $586.57 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+19.7%
Avg Forward P/E38.8x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. | $4.8B | $62.73 | $80.67 | +28.6% | Buy | — | 4 |
 UFPIUFP Industries, Inc. | $4.8B | $84.26 | $103.00 | +22.2% | Buy | 16.0x | 8 |
 BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc. | $461M | $58.58 | $68.00 | +16.1% | Buy | 65.1x | 8 |
 WYWeyerhaeuser Company | $17.3B | $24.04 | $29.83 | +24.1% | Buy | 84.8x | 25 |
 PCHPotlatchDeltic Corporation | $3.2B | $41.73 | $51.00 | +22.2% | Hold | 53.8x | 13 |
 RYNRayonier Inc. | $3.3B | $21.19 | $27.75 | +31.0% | Hold | 56.1x | 27 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.2B | $39.91 | $44.50 | +11.5% | Hold | 24.4x | 31 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $7.1B | $166.23 | $197.50 | +18.8% | Buy | 20.0x | 26 |
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $43.2B | $149.17 | $163.86 | +9.8% | Hold | 14.0x | 52 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $19.5B | $90.54 | $102.14 | +12.8% | Buy | 14.7x | 50 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonLPX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LPX stock.
What is the LPX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for LPX is $102, representing 40.7% upside from the current price of $72.49. With 23 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is LPX a buy, sell, or hold?
LPX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 23 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $102 implies 40.7% upside from current levels.
Is LPX stock overvalued or undervalued?
LPX trades at a forward P/E of 28.6816x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $102 (40.7% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can LPX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $115 for LPX, while the most conservative target is $90. The consensus of $102 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $587 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover LPX stock?
LPX is well covered by analysts, with 23 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the LPX stock forecast?
The 12-month LPX stock forecast based on 23 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $102, with estimates ranging from $90 (bear case) to $115 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $102, with bear/bull scenarios of $0/$587.
What is LPX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LPX's fair value at $102 (base case), with a bear case of $0 and bull case of $587. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
What is LPX's forward P/E ratio?
LPX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 34.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy LPX stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LPX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $102 price target (40.7% upside). 10 of 23 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do LPX price targets vary so much?
LPX analyst price targets range from $90 to $115, a 25% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $102 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $0-$587 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.