Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 24 analysts27.0% Below Target
LPX trades 27.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $98.50.
Current Price$77.56
Average Target$98.50
Target
Current
Low$90.00
Median$98.50
High$107.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E38.9x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+70.3%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread17.3%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes LPX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 38.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 24 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
LPX Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $98.50, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $77.56, this represents a potential upside of +27.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $90.00 to a high of $107.00, representing a 17% spread in expectations. The median target of $98.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, LPX trades at a trailing P/E of 37.3x and forward P/E of 38.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +70.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $106.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $67.31 and $140.78 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+20.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
37.0x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. | $5.3B | $70.20 | $80.67 | +14.9% | Buy | — | 5 |
 UFPIUFP Industries, Inc. | $4.9B | $86.58 | $97.50 | +12.6% | Buy | 18.6x | 8 |
 BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc. | $448M | $57.56 | $112.67 | +95.7% | Buy | 64.0x | 8 |
 WYWeyerhaeuser Company | $17.5B | $24.32 | $28.50 | +17.2% | Buy | 72.4x | 25 |
 PCHPotlatchDeltic Corporation | $3.2B | $41.73 | $45.00 | +7.8% | Hold | 53.8x | 13 |
 RYNRayonier Inc. | $3.2B | $20.98 | $25.75 | +22.7% | Hold | 46.3x | 27 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.9B | $47.13 | $48.43 | +2.8% | Hold | 28.1x | 31 |
 AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $6.7B | $157.88 | $197.50 | +25.1% | Buy | 19.0x | 26 |
 DHID.R. Horton, Inc. | $45.7B | $157.81 | $163.86 | +3.8% | Hold | 14.9x | 52 |
 LENLennar Corporation | $22.3B | $89.73 | $89.17 | -0.6% | Buy | 15.8x | 50 |
LPX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LPX stock.
What is the LPX stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for LPX is $98.5, representing 27.0% upside from the current price of $77.56. With 24 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is LPX a buy, sell, or hold?
LPX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $98.5 implies 27.0% upside from current levels.
Is LPX stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 38.883x, LPX trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $98.5 (27.0% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
How high can LPX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $107 for LPX, while the most conservative target is $90. The consensus of $98.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $141 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover LPX stock?
LPX is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the LPX stock forecast?
The 12-month LPX stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $98.5, with estimates ranging from $90 (bear case) to $107 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $107, with bear/bull scenarios of $67/$141.
What is LPX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LPX's fair value at $107 (base case), with a bear case of $67 and bull case of $141. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
What is LPX's forward P/E ratio?
LPX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 37.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy LPX stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LPX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $98.5 price target (27.0% upside). 12 of 24 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do LPX price targets vary so much?
LPX analyst price targets range from $90 to $107, a 17% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $98.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $67-$141 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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