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MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.
$10.30$125.6B
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MFG logo

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 5 analysts

2.9% Above Target

MFG trades 2.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $10.00.

Current Price$10.30
Average Target$10.00
Low$10.00
Median$10.00
High$10.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E0.1x
(Value)
PEG Ratio0.00
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth+16.6%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$10.30
Consensus$10.00
High$10.00
Low$10.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MFG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 0.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 5 published analyst recommendations for MFG

60% hold / mixed conviction
0
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 5 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage5 Analysts
Net Score+0
Bull / Bear20% / 20%
Strong Buy00%
Buy120%
Hold360%
Sell120%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
120%
Hold
360%
Sell
120%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix20% Buy · 60% Hold · 20% Sell
Buy (1)Hold (3)Sell (1)

MFG Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.30, this represents a potential downside of -2.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $125.58B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $10.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, MFG trades at a trailing P/E of 15.5x and forward P/E of 0.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1501.43, with bear and bull scenarios of $945.90 and $1978.29 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
-18.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
10.1x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
7 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MUFG logo
MUFGMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.
$237.9B$21.08——Buy0.1x2
SMFG logo
SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.
$96.3B$25.23——Hold0.1x4
DB logo
DBDeutsche Bank AG
$67.5B$35.27$14.87
-57.8%
Hold10.6x33
BBVA logo
BBVABanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$137.5B$24.48——Buy12.0x13
ING logo
INGING Groep N.V.
$90.2B$31.36$22.50
-28.3%
Buy12.8x17
SAN logo
SANBanco Santander, S.A.
$198.2B$13.50$3.00
-77.8%
Buy13.0x23
JPM logo
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
$908.6B$325.22$339.75
+4.5%
Buy14.6x61
BAC logo
BACBank of America Corporation
$424.1B$56.20$61.13
+8.8%
Buy12.6x54
C logo
CCitigroup Inc.
$266.5B$143.09$140.75
-1.6%
Buy13.2x27
WFC logo
WFCWells Fargo & Company
$264.5B$82.21$99.38
+20.9%
Hold11.7x60

MFG — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MFG stock.

What is the MFG stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for MFG is $10, -2.9% from its current price of $10.3. The below-market target from 5 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is MFG a buy, sell, or hold?

MFG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies -2.9% downside from current levels.

Is MFG stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 0.1044x, MFG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10 implies -2.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can MFG stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for MFG, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1978 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MFG stock?

MFG is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MFG stock forecast?

The 12-month MFG stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1501, with bear/bull scenarios of $946/$1978.

What is MFG's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MFG's fair value at $1501 (base case), with a bear case of $946 and bull case of $1978. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

What is MFG's forward P/E ratio?

MFG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MFG stock?

Analysts are cautious on MFG, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $10 (-2.9% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MFG price targets vary so much?

MFG analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $946-$1978 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into MFG consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

Compare