MFG trades 6.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $10.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MFG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 0.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $10.74, this represents a potential downside of -6.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $130.84B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $10.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, MFG trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x and forward P/E of 0.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +6.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1501.43, with bear and bull scenarios of $945.90 and $1978.29 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MUFGMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | $257.3B | $22.82 | — | — | Buy | 0.1x | 2 |
 SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | $100.1B | $25.85 | — | — | Hold | 0.1x | 4 |
 DBDeutsche Bank AG | $67.4B | $35.87 | $43.00 | +19.9% | Hold | 10.6x | 33 |
 BBVABanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | $155.2B | $28.09 | — | — | Buy | 13.4x | 13 |
 INGING Groep N.V. | $103.8B | $35.92 | $22.50 | -37.4% | Buy | 14.3x | 17 |
 SANBanco Santander, S.A. | $208.4B | $14.20 | $3.00 | -78.9% | Buy | 13.6x | 25 |
 JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co. | $904.4B | $337.53 | $373.64 | +10.7% | Buy | 13.6x | 61 |
 BACBank of America Corporation | $397.4B | $56.00 | $66.00 | +17.9% | Buy | 12.1x | 54 |
 CCitigroup Inc. | $226.3B | $131.96 | $150.18 | +13.8% | Buy | 11.8x | 27 |
 WFCWells Fargo & Company | $250.8B | $81.95 | $98.83 | +20.6% | Hold | 11.2x | 60 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MFG stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for MFG is $10, -6.9% from its current price of $10.74. The below-market target from 5 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
MFG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies -6.9% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 0.0883x, MFG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10 implies -6.9% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for MFG, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1978 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MFG is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MFG stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1501, with bear/bull scenarios of $946/$1978.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MFG's fair value at $1501 (base case), with a bear case of $946 and bull case of $1978. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
MFG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 0.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on MFG, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $10 (-6.9% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MFG analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $946-$1978 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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