MOG-A trades 67.4% above Wall Street's consensus target of $131.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MOG-A achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 37.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 11 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 24, 2026, Moog Inc. (MOG-A) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $131.00, based on estimates from 11 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $402.24, this represents a potential downside of -67.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $12.76B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $131.00 to a high of $131.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $131.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, MOG-A trades at a trailing P/E of 54.9x and forward P/E of 37.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.41 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +19.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $419.55, with bear and bull scenarios of $264.32 and $552.80 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation | $28.2B | $765.13 | $741.00 | -3.2% | Buy | 50.2x | 25 |
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | $9.5B | $50.80 | $110.00 | +116.5% | Buy | 66.5x | 24 |
HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $3.2B | $14.81 | $15.75 | +6.3% | Hold | 17.2x | 10 |
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $12.2B | $45.74 | $53.33 | +16.6% | Buy | 35.5x | 9 |
MRCYMercury Systems, Inc. | $6.7B | $110.84 | $98.60 | -11.0% | Buy | 103.1x | 19 |
HEIHEICO Corporation | $46.6B | $334.17 | $378.44 | +13.2% | Buy | 55.1x | 35 |
TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $72.6B | $1297.68 | $1569.30 | +20.9% | Buy | 32.4x | 39 |
WWDWoodward, Inc. | $25.5B | $428.25 | $435.00 | +1.6% | Buy | 45.8x | 20 |
ESEESCO Technologies Inc. | $8.9B | $343.08 | $350.00 | +2.0% | Buy | 41.9x | 15 |
VSECVSE Corporation | $4.9B | $213.68 | $247.00 | +15.6% | Buy | 48.6x | 11 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MOG-A stock.
MOG-A's consensus price target is $131, -67.4% below the current price of $402.24. The 11 analysts tracking MOG-A see downside risk at present valuations.
MOG-A has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 11 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $131 implies -67.4% downside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 37.9232x, MOG-A trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $131 (-67.4% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $131 for MOG-A, while the most conservative target is $131. The consensus of $131 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $553 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MOG-A is moderately covered, with 11 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MOG-A stock forecast based on 11 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $131, with estimates ranging from $131 (bear case) to $131 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $420, with bear/bull scenarios of $264/$553.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MOG-A's fair value at $420 (base case), with a bear case of $264 and bull case of $553. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
MOG-A trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 54.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on MOG-A, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $131 (-67.4% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MOG-A analyst price targets range from $131 to $131, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $131 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $264-$553 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Deep dive into MOG-A consensus models and risk factors.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.