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NTR logoNutrien Ltd. (NTR) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026

Current Price
$73.81
Market reference
Price Target
$84.25
+14.1% Upside
Target Range
$75.00 — $100.00
Moderate consensus
Analyst Rating
Buy
33 analysts
Forward P/E13.0x
Trailing P/E15.6x
Forward PEG0.32
Implied Growth+21.1%
Median Target$81.00
Analyst Spread29.7%

NTR trades near analyst consensus with +14.1% potential upside. Limited near-term catalysts may be priced in at current levels.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$73.81
Consensus$84.25
High$100.00
Low$75.00
Model$73.68
Bear Case
$75
+1.6%
Consensus
$84
+14.1%
Bull Case
$100
+35.5%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 46/100
Bear$13
Base$74
Bull$233

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 33 published analyst recommendations for NTR

30% hold / mixed conviction
+26
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 33 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage33 Analysts
Net Score+26
Bull / Bear61% / 9%
Strong Buy00%
Buy2061%
Hold1030%
Sell39%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
2061%
Hold
1030%
Sell
39%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix61% Buy · 30% Hold · 9% Sell
Buy (20)Hold (10)Sell (3)

NTR Price Target Analysis

Updated May 6, 2026

As of May 6, 2026, Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $84.25, based on estimates from 33 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $73.81, this represents a potential upside of +14.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $35.51B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $75.00 to a high of $100.00, representing a 30% spread in expectations. The median target of $81.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 20 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, NTR trades at a trailing P/E of 15.6x and forward P/E of 13.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.32 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $73.68, with bear and bull scenarios of $12.76 and $232.52 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+62.9%
Avg Forward P/E15.5x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MOS logoMOSThe Mosaic Company$7.5B$23.56$31.25+32.6%Hold16.1x49
CF logoCFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.$18.4B$119.74$108.89-9.1%Buy8.5x41
ICL logoICLICL Group Ltd$7.3B$5.62$6.15+9.4%Hold14.6x4
SMG logoSMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company$3.6B$62.85$72.00+14.6%Buy14.3x17
AVD logoAVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation$83M$2.91$17.00+484.2%Buy7.7x13
FMC logoFMCFMC Corporation$1.8B$14.79$15.58+5.3%Hold8.4x42
CTVA logoCTVACorteva, Inc.$54.9B$81.76$88.17+7.8%Buy22.3x37
UAN logoUANCVR Partners, LP$1.4B$130.40——Hold—6
DE logoDEDeere & Company$160.4B$591.64$680.54+15.0%Hold33.2x46
BG logoBGBunge Global S.A.$24.5B$126.05$133.67+6.0%Buy14.6x25

Upside Potential Comparison

AVD logoAVD
+484.2%
MOS logoMOS
+32.6%
DE logoDE
+15.0%
SMG logoSMG
+14.6%
ICL logoICL
+9.4%
CTVA logoCTVA
+7.8%
BG logoBG
+6.0%
FMC logoFMC
+5.3%

Full NTR Stock Analysis

Analyst consensus, bull case, AI-generated risk factors, and peer comparison — all in one place.

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See NTR's True Return

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Is NTR Undervalued?

DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.

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Compare NTR vs LIN

Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Linde plc.

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NTR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NTR stock.

What is the NTR stock price target for 2026?

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $84.25, implying 14.1% upside from $73.81. The 33 analysts covering NTR see moderate appreciation potential.

Is NTR a buy, sell, or hold?

NTR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 20 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $84.25 implies 14.1% upside from current levels.

Is NTR stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 12.9723x, NTR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $84.25 implies 14.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can NTR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $100 for NTR, while the most conservative target is $75. The consensus of $84.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $233 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover NTR stock?

NTR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the NTR stock forecast?

The 12-month NTR stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $84.25, with estimates ranging from $75 (bear case) to $100 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $74, with bear/bull scenarios of $13/$233.

What is NTR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NTR's fair value at $74 (base case), with a bear case of $13 and bull case of $233. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.

What is NTR's forward P/E ratio?

NTR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy NTR stock?

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on NTR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $84.25 price target (14.1% upside). 20 of 33 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do NTR price targets vary so much?

NTR analyst price targets range from $75 to $100, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $84.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $13-$233 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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