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MOSThe Mosaic Company
$22.90$7.3B
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MOS logo

The Mosaic Company (MOS) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 49 analysts

22.3% Below Target

MOS trades 22.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $28.00.

Current Price$22.90
Average Target$28.00
Target
Current
Low$22.00
Median$27.50
High$35.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E27.8x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-64.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread46.4%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$22.90
Consensus$28.00
High$35.00
Low$22.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MOS achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 27.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 49 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 49 published analyst recommendations for MOS

53% hold / mixed conviction
+9
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 49 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage49 Analysts
Net Score+9
Bull / Bear33% / 14%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1633%
Hold2653%
Sell714%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1633%
Hold
2653%
Sell
714%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix33% Buy · 53% Hold · 14% Sell
Buy (16)Hold (26)Sell (7)

MOS Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, The Mosaic Company (MOS) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $28.00, based on estimates from 49 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $22.90, this represents a potential upside of +22.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.28B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $22.00 to a high of $35.00, representing a 46% spread in expectations. The median target of $27.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,26 rating it Hold, and 7 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, MOS trades at a trailing P/E of 13.5x and forward P/E of 27.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -64.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $33.28, with bear and bull scenarios of $20.97 and $43.86 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+22.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
53.5x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
NTR logo
NTRNutrien Ltd.
$30.2B$62.86$82.00
+30.4%
Buy11.0x33
CF logo
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$15.8B$102.93$111.88
+8.7%
Buy6.0x41
ICL logo
ICLICL Group Ltd
$6.6B$5.14$6.43
+25.1%
Hold12.3x4
SMG logo
SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$3.8B$64.69$72.25
+11.7%
Buy14.9x17
OLN logo
OLNOlin Corporation
$2.5B$22.01$28.30
+28.6%
Hold271.4x35
ASX logo
ASXASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
$88.7B$40.56——Buy1.2x5
UAMY logo
UAMYUnited States Antimony Corporation
$1.2B$7.85$12.63
+60.9%
Buy157.0x4
DE logo
DEDeere & Company
$159.1B$589.24$690.00
+17.1%
Hold32.6x46
ADM logo
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company
$36.2B$75.10$75.25
+0.2%
Hold16.2x36
BG logo
BGBunge Global S.A.
$21.8B$112.58$133.67
+18.7%
Buy12.1x25

MOS — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MOS stock.

What is the MOS stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for MOS is $28, representing 22.3% upside from the current price of $22.9. With 49 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is MOS a buy, sell, or hold?

MOS has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 49 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 26 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $28 implies 22.3% upside from current levels.

Is MOS stock overvalued or undervalued?

MOS trades at a forward P/E of 27.8487x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $28 (22.3% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

How high can MOS stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $35 for MOS, while the most conservative target is $22. The consensus of $28 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $44 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MOS stock?

MOS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 49 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 26 recommend Hold, and 7 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MOS stock forecast?

The 12-month MOS stock forecast based on 49 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $28, with estimates ranging from $22 (bear case) to $35 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $33, with bear/bull scenarios of $21/$44.

What is MOS's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MOS's fair value at $33 (base case), with a bear case of $21 and bull case of $44. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.

What is MOS's forward P/E ratio?

MOS trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.5x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MOS stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MOS, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $28 price target (22.3% upside). 16 of 49 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MOS price targets vary so much?

MOS analyst price targets range from $22 to $35, a 46% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $28 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $21-$44 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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