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ONBOld National Bancorp
$24.93$9.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ONB logo

Old National Bancorp

ONB
NASDAQ · Regional Banks
$24.93
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$9.63B
P/E9.9x
52W High$27.36
Volume2.33M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Merger-Driven Scale Lifts Earnings, Thin Capital Buffer Persists

Old National's earnings base has expanded sharply since the First Midwest merger, with net interest income rising from $388.4M in Q2 2024 to $584.3M in Q3 2026 and the efficiency ratio improving from 65.7% in Q3 2025 to 49.9% in Q3 2026, suggesting operating leverage is building.

GrowthExpanding
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsMixed
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ONB price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-16% Peers

P/E is 16% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 62 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 62)

04

Mixed Trend

Mixed

Price < 50DMA but > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 21
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Net interest income more than doubled to $584.3M in Q3 2026 from $388.4M in Q2 2024 and EPS of $0.67 reflects a merger-driven step-change, though the fee share of revenue fell from 20.5% in Q2 2025 to 16.0% in Q2 2026, suggesting net interest income growth has outpaced fee expansion.

Analyst Consensus+18.9% target
Buy(23 analysts)
12 Buy11 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Revenue Growth

Old National Bancorp has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 30.60% increase in revenue in 2025 compared to the previous year, reaching $2.30 billion. This significant growth reflects the bank's robust operational performance and market positioning.

Accelerating Earnings Growth

Earnings have also seen substantial growth, increasing by 24.87% in 2025. The company has shown accelerating earnings growth over the past year, exceeding its 5-year average, indicating strong profitability trends.

Record Efficiency Ratio

ONB has achieved a record efficiency ratio of 45.7%, indicating effective cost management. This strong operational efficiency supports the bank's profitability and competitive positioning in the market.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ONB+12.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ONB+23.87%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ONB+84.38%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.98%
5-Year Return
ONB+52.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+56.13%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
9.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
9.7x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
11.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
10.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
9.9x
12.0x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
11.2x
14.3x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
9.7x
10.7x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$12.23-50.9%
Base (Fair)$23.85-4.3%
Bull$38.77+55.5%
$12.23 Bear$23.85 Base$38.77 Bull
Current Market Price: $24.93
Trades at a 4.5% premium to Base DCF ($23.85)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$2.5B+32.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$669M+24.1% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$637M+7.7% YoY
Operating margin FY25
35%-1.1 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)4.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y4.8%
ROE (TTM)11.3%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 21, 2026
$0.66-0.2%
vs $0.66
$720M-1.7%
vs $732M
Q3 2026
Jul 22, 2026
$0.65+3.8%
vs $0.63
$727M+1.5%
vs $716M
Q2 2026
Apr 22, 2026
$0.61+0.8%
vs $0.60
$703M-0.5%
vs $706M
Q1 2026
Jan 21, 2026
$0.62+5.1%
vs $0.59
$714M+1.2%
vs $706M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Fool - Investing News·Oct 28, 2026
Old National: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Expense discipline is funding technology investments while the bank prioritizes organic growth over large acquisitions.

GlobeNewsWire·Oct 27, 2026
Old National Chairman and CEO Jim Ryan Named Chair-Elect of the American Bankers Association

Old National Bank is proud to announce that Chairman and CEO James “Jim” C.

GlobeNewsWire·Oct 22, 2026
Old National Honored for Innovation in Digital Client Experience

NEW YORK, Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- (NASDAQ: ONB) – Old National Bancorp (“Old National”) has been named the award winner in the “Best Innovation in Digital Client Experience” category for the 2026 Impact Awards in Wealth Management, presented by Datos Insights. The award was presented on Oct. 21 at the Wealth Management Forum in New York.

Seeking Alpha·Oct 21, 2026
Old National Bancorp Is Deserving Of An Upgrade

Old National Bancorp is upgraded from Hold to a soft Buy as valuation becomes appealing and asset quality strengthens. ONB's organic deposit and loan growth, especially in commercial real estate, signals healthy expansion post-acquisitions. Cost-cutting measures have driven net income growth, despite a decline in net interest margin and some non-interest income categories.

Filtered for Old National BancorpMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ONB against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Old National Bancorp (ONB)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ONB logoONBOld National BancorpCurrent
$24.93$9.63B9.9232.47%34.36%11.31%2.32%
WTFC logoWTFCWintrust Financial Corporation
$151.27$10.2B11.2011.23%31.57%12.54%1.66%
IBCP logoIBCPIndependent Bank Corporation
$36.31$748.21M11.254.57%29.92%13.61%2.85%
FFIN logoFFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.
$30.41$4.36B15.0216.23%42.9%15.14%2.43%
HBAN logoHBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated
$15.47$31.26B12.7210.58%24%8.17%3.9%
FNB logoFNBF.N.B. Corporation
$17.90$6.37B10.4610.59%33.01%8.93%2.69%

Compare ONB vs Peers

Old National Bancorp (ONB) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs WTFC

Most directly comparable listed peer for ONB.

Scale Benchmark

vs SPGI

Larger-name benchmark to compare ONB against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs WTFC, IBCP, FFIN, HBAN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ONB SEC Filings & Documents

Old National Bancorp (ONB) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 21, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 19, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 19, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

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ONB Frequently Asked Questions

Old National Bancorp (ONB) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Old National Bancorp growing?

Old National Bancorp (ONB) grew revenue by 21.4% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ONB profitable?

Yes. Old National Bancorp (ONB) earned $957.7M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 34.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ONB pay dividends?

Yes. Old National Bancorp (ONB) pays a dividend that yields 2.32% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is ONB's return on equity?

Old National Bancorp (ONB) had a return on equity (ROE) of 11.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Old National Bancorp's net interest margin?

Old National Bancorp (ONB) has a net interest margin (NIM) of 2.9%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Old National Bancorp's efficiency ratio?

Old National Bancorp (ONB) has an efficiency ratio of 59.5%. This is reasonable for a bank.

What if you invested $1,000 in ONB back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →